Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the intense competition and risks in the Hong Kong insurance market, particularly focusing on the high return promises made by insurance companies and the regulatory responses to curb these practices [2][7][55]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong insurance market has seen a surge in demand from mainland customers post-pandemic, leading to fierce competition among insurers [4][12]. - AIA, the leading insurer, has raised its "century return rate" to 7%, despite regulatory limits set by the Hong Kong Insurance Authority [6][13]. - The competition has resulted in a "cat-and-mouse game" between insurers and regulators, highlighting the anxiety and risks associated with high return promises [7][31]. Group 2: Return Promises and Risks - The 7% return rate is based on optimistic assumptions and is not guaranteed, with the actual guaranteed return being less than 0.5% annually [17][18]. - A significant portion of the returns is derived from equity investments, which introduces high uncertainty and volatility in actual returns [15][29]. - Early withdrawal penalties and the structure of policies can significantly reduce the actual cash value received by customers [26][30]. Group 3: Regulatory Responses - In response to the aggressive marketing of high return rates, the Hong Kong Insurance Authority has set a cap on demonstration return rates to 6% and 6.5% for different types of policies [32][39]. - Despite these regulations, AIA quickly launched a new product that promises faster returns, raising concerns about whether this undermines the regulatory intent [34][40]. - The ongoing competition and regulatory measures have left consumers confused about the best products available, as new offerings frequently outpace existing ones [41][55]. Group 4: Long-term Implications - The current focus on short-term performance may lead to long-term risks for the industry, as companies prioritize immediate results over sustainable practices [54][52]. - The article suggests that the management of these companies may not be concerned about the long-term viability of the products sold, as they may not be in their positions when the consequences arise [52][53].

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