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计算机行业2026年度投资策略:追逐星辰大海的科技浪潮
Guotou Securities· 2025-11-17 08:04
Industry Overview - The report rates the industry as "Leading the Market - A" indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [1]. Key Investment Themes - The report emphasizes the ongoing global competition in technology, particularly in the computer industry, with a focus on AI and robotics as key growth areas [2][3]. - The domestic production process in critical areas such as chips, operating systems, and databases is expected to accelerate, creating opportunities for companies with lower levels of localization [3]. AI and Robotics - The AI and robotics sectors are highlighted as having vast development potential, with rapid iterations of various models and applications in both China and the US [3]. - The report identifies the need for standard upgrades in the robotics industry, presenting both challenges and investment opportunities [3]. Quantum Technology - Quantum computing is anticipated to bring disruptive innovations in computing power, with applications in quantum secure communication and anti-quantum encryption gaining traction [3][58]. - The report outlines the potential of quantum technology across four main areas: computing, communication, measurement, and anti-quantum encryption, each showing significant growth prospects [58][59]. Database Market - The database market is projected to grow significantly, with the global market size expected to exceed $100 billion in 2023, and China's market reaching approximately 74.1 billion yuan [11]. - The report forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.23% for China's database market, reaching 93.03 billion yuan by 2028 [11]. R&D Software and Measurement Instruments - The R&D design software and electronic measurement instruments sectors are characterized by high barriers to entry, strong business models, and low localization rates, indicating a favorable environment for domestic manufacturers [5]. - The report suggests that the push for technological self-sufficiency will lead to sustained growth in these sectors [5]. Cybersecurity and Encryption - The introduction of new regulations in cybersecurity is expected to drive the growth of the encryption industry, with specific guidelines enhancing the demand for secure communication solutions [21][23]. - The report highlights the importance of establishing a robust regulatory framework to support the development of the cybersecurity sector [21]. AI Glasses and Edge AI - AI glasses are identified as a promising entry point for edge AI applications, with global sales expected to reach 90 million units by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 97.42% from 2024 to 2030 [36]. - The report notes the increasing integration of AI capabilities into consumer products, enhancing user interaction and experience [36]. Recommended Companies - The report lists several companies to watch in various sectors, including R&D software (e.g., Huada Jiutian, Gacron Electronics), cybersecurity (e.g., Sanwei Xinan, Xinan Century), and quantum technology (e.g., IonQ, Rigetti) [78][80].