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智驾平权系列五:智驾与机器人共振,激光雷达乘风起势
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-21 10:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [13] Core Insights - The dual drivers of advanced intelligent driving and robotics are expected to significantly boost the demand for LiDAR, which is a core component of perception systems. The trend towards affordability is likely to accelerate market penetration [4][11] - Domestic leaders in the LiDAR market, such as Suoteng and Hesai Technology, are well-positioned to benefit from technological advancements in digitalization and solid-state solutions, with multiple competitive products being launched [4][11] Summary by Sections LiDAR: Core Component of Perception Systems - LiDAR, known as the "mechanical eye," is essential for high-precision perception in advanced driving systems. Its applications have expanded from military and research to autonomous driving, robotics, and smart security [7][20] - The multi-sensor fusion approach, which includes LiDAR, emphasizes redundancy and safety, making it a dominant choice in high-level driving solutions [7][36] Market Potential - The combination of intelligent driving and robotics presents a vast market opportunity, with LiDAR demand expected to grow rapidly. The penetration rate for advanced driving in passenger vehicles is projected to reach between 10% and 50% [8][41] - The Robotaxi and specific commercial applications are anticipated to further expand the LiDAR market, with the number of LiDAR units per vehicle typically exceeding that of passenger cars [8][49] Competitive Landscape - Chinese companies are leading the LiDAR market, with domestic firms expected to capture over 90% of the global market share by 2024. Major players include Suoteng and Hesai Technology, with a combined market share exceeding 95% [9][41] - The report highlights the strong competitive positioning of Suoteng and Hesai, with projected market shares of 33.5% and 25.6% respectively by 2024 [9] Trends and Innovations - The report identifies a shift towards digitalization and solid-state LiDAR technologies, which are expected to enhance performance while reducing costs. The introduction of next-generation digital SPAD-SoC LiDAR products is underway [10][11] - The affordability trend in LiDAR is driven by technological advancements and economies of scale, with significant cost reductions expected as solid-state solutions replace traditional mechanical systems [11][53] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the dual drivers of advanced intelligent driving and robotics will create substantial growth opportunities for LiDAR, with domestic leaders poised to benefit from ongoing technological transformations [11][41]