证券研究报告 2025 年 06 月 27 日 湘财证券研究所 公司研究 指南针（300803.SZ）首次覆盖报告 证券业务开启第二增长曲线 公司评级：买入（首次覆盖） 近十二个月公司表现 -20% 30% 80% 130% 180% 230% 2024/06/27 2024/08/27 2024/10/27 2024/12/27 2025/02/27 2025/04/27 指南针 沪深300 | % | 1 个月 | 3 个月 | 12 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 相对收益 | 39 | 34 | 195 | | 绝对收益 | 41 | 35 | 209 | 注：相对收益与沪深 300 相比 分析师：张智珑 证书编号：S0500521120002 Tel：(8621) 50295363 Email：zzl6599@xcsc.com 地址：上海市浦东新区银城路88号 中国人寿金融中心10楼 核心要点： ❑ 证券业务开启第二增长曲线，完成"一体两翼"业务布局 2022年是公司重要战略转折点，公司通过破产重整投资完成对网信证券（后 更名为麦高证券）的收购，获取了稀缺的券商牌照 ...

公司研究 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入(百万) | 1,529 | 1,961 | 2,376 | 2,796 | | 同比增速(%) | 37.4% | 28.3% | 21.2% | 17.7% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 104 | 294 | 372 | 479 | | 同比增速(%) | 43.5% | 182.1% | 26.4% | 28.9% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.17 | 0.49 | 0.62 | 0.80 | | 市盈率(倍) | 344 | 122 | 96 | 75 | | 市净率(倍) | 16.0 | 13.1 | 11.6 | 10.0 | 资料来源：公司公告，华创证券预测 注：股价为 2025 年 5 月 19 日收盘价 行业应用软件 2025 年 05 月 20 日 证 券 研 究 报 告 指南针（300803）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 推荐（维持） 业绩增长 ...

公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 指南针（300803）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 推荐（维持） 业绩增长稳健，全牌照协同效应显现 当前价：59.89 元 事项： ❖ 公司发布 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报：2024 年，公司实现营业收入 15.29 亿 元（同比+37.37%），归母净利润 1.04 亿元（同比+43.50%），其中第四季度单 季贡献营收 7.52 亿元（同比+75.18%）、净利润 2.14 亿元（同比+89.25%）；2025 年一季度公司实现营收 5.42 亿元（同比+84.68%），归母净利润 1.39 亿元（同 比+725.93%）。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入(百万) | 1,529 | 1,961 | 2,376 | 2,796 | | 同比增速(%) | 37.4% | 28.3% | 21.2% | 17.7% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 104 | 294 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved significant growth in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, driven by a recovery in the domestic capital market and effective marketing strategies [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total revenue in Q1 2025 increased by 85% year-on-year to 542 million yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 726% to 139 million yuan [1]. - The company's financial information service revenue grew by 76% year-on-year to 424 million yuan, primarily due to concentrated marketing of high-end products [2]. - The net income from brokerage and proprietary trading activities rose significantly, with net commission income increasing by 143% to 97 million yuan and investment income soaring by 259% to 106 million yuan [2]. Cost Structure - Operating costs rose by 45% year-on-year to 42 million yuan, driven by increases in employee compensation and communication expenses [3]. - Research and development expenses increased by 49% to 51 million yuan, with the R&D expense ratio decreasing by 2 percentage points to 9% [3]. - Sales expenses grew by 80% to 260 million yuan, while the sales expense ratio decreased by 1 percentage point to 48% [3]. Strategic Developments - The company is transitioning from a software provider to a comprehensive financial services provider, exploring intelligent stock selection tools and enhancing its investment strategy recommendations [3]. - The "one body, two wings" strategy has been deepened with the acquisition of a 95% stake in Pioneer Fund [3]. - The company’s major shareholder provided loans to support business expansion and enhance liquidity, with commitments to increase returns through dividends and buybacks over the next three years [3]. Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - Based on Q1 2025 performance, profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upward, with expected net profits of 306 million, 414 million, and 539 million yuan respectively [4]. - The company’s rating has been upgraded to "Buy," reflecting confidence in its long-term growth potential [4].

Group 1 - The company's Q1 total revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders were 540 million and 140 million yuan, respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 85% and 726% [1] - The non-recurring net profit was 72 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 347%, aligning with expectations, primarily due to a non-recurring investment income of 66 million yuan from the acquisition of Pioneer Fund [1] - The company adjusted its profit forecast for 2025, expecting net profits of 360 million, 560 million, and 770 million yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 249%, 55%, and 37% respectively [1] Group 2 - The company achieved a revenue of 420 million yuan in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 76%, with cash inflow from sales reaching 510 million yuan, up 93% year-on-year [2] - The pre-receivable accounts (contract liabilities + non-current liabilities) amounted to 870 million yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4% and a year-on-year increase of 25% [2] - Sales expenses increased to 260 million yuan, a year-on-year rise of 80%, primarily due to higher advertising and online promotion costs [2] Group 3 - The company's net commission income and net interest income for Q1 were 97 million and 21 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 143% and 67% [3] - The average daily trading volume of stock funds increased by 72% year-on-year, and the number of new accounts opened rose by 32% [3] - The company's investment income, including fair value changes, reached 100 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 228%, with 66 million yuan attributed to non-recurring investment income from the acquisition [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, driven by improved market conditions and strategic acquisitions [1][2][5]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 542 million yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 84.68% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 28% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 139 million yuan, marking a year-over-year increase of 725.93% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 35% [1][2]. - The non-recurring net profit was 72 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 347% [1][2]. Strategic Acquisitions - The company completed the acquisition of 22.5% and 33.3% stakes in Pioneer Fund, increasing its ownership to 95.01%, thus becoming the controlling shareholder [2]. - The acquisition led to the recognition of 65.54 million yuan in non-recurring investment income due to goodwill from the consolidation of Pioneer Fund [2]. Business Segments - The financial information services segment saw significant improvement due to a recovery in trading activity, with cash received from sales and services amounting to 508 million yuan, a 93.09% increase year-over-year [2]. - In the securities business, the brokerage income, net interest income, and net investment income for McGow Securities were 97 million yuan, 21 million yuan, and 100 million yuan respectively, with year-over-year increases of 143%, 67%, and 228% [3]. Cost Structure - The company increased its investment in research and development, leading to a rise in costs. Sales, management, and R&D expenses were 259 million yuan, 122 million yuan, and 51 million yuan respectively, with year-over-year increases of 80%, 49%, and 49% [4]. - The expense ratios for sales, management, and R&D were 47.8%, 22.4%, and 9.4%, showing slight decreases year-over-year [4]. Future Outlook - The company maintains a "buy" rating, projecting revenues of 1.415 billion yuan, 1.547 billion yuan, and 1.751 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding year-over-year growth rates of 16.78%, 9.38%, and 13.14% [5]. - Expected net profits for the same period are 273 million yuan, 282 million yuan, and 304 million yuan, with growth rates of 161.73%, 3.27%, and 7.99% [5].

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's total revenue for Q1 2025 increased by 85% year-on-year to 542 million yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 726% to 139 million yuan [1] - The company is transitioning from a software vendor to a comprehensive financial service provider, with significant growth in both software sales and brokerage services [7] - The report anticipates a strong growth trajectory for the company, projecting net profits of 306 million yuan, 414 million yuan, and 539 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 1,113 million yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 11.33%, followed by a recovery in 2024 with an increase of 37.37% to 1,529 million yuan [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 73 million yuan in 2023, with a significant recovery to 104 million yuan in 2024, representing a 43.50% increase [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.12 yuan in 2023 to 0.17 yuan in 2024, and further to 0.51 yuan in 2025 [1] Revenue Breakdown - The financial information service revenue for Q1 2025 was 424 million yuan, reflecting a 76% increase year-on-year [7] - The net commission income from brokerage services increased by 143% year-on-year to 97 million yuan in Q1 2025 [7] - Investment income saw a remarkable increase of 259% year-on-year to 106 million yuan in Q1 2025 [7] Cost and Expense Analysis - Operating costs for Q1 2025 rose by 45% year-on-year to 42 million yuan, primarily due to increased employee compensation and communication expenses [7] - Research and development expenses increased by 49% year-on-year to 51 million yuan, with a slight decrease in the R&D expense ratio [7] - Sales expenses surged by 80% year-on-year to 259 million yuan, driven by higher advertising and sales personnel costs [7] Strategic Developments - The company is enhancing its brand promotion and customer acquisition efforts, leading to a significant increase in registered and paying users [7] - The acquisition of a 95% stake in Pioneer Fund is part of the company's strategy to deepen its "one body, two wings" approach [7] - The company is committed to enhancing shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks over the next three years [7]

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's total revenue in Q1 2025 increased by 85% year-on-year to 542 million yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 726% to 139 million yuan [1] - The company is transitioning from a software tool provider to a comprehensive financial service provider, enhancing its product offerings and expanding its market presence [7] - The report anticipates significant growth in net profit for 2025-2027, with projections of 306 million yuan, 414 million yuan, and 539 million yuan respectively, reflecting a strong long-term growth outlook [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 542 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 85%, and a net profit of 139 million yuan, up 726% [1][7] - The company's total revenue for 2023 is projected at 1,113 million yuan, with a forecasted growth to 2,022 million yuan by 2025 [1][22] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.51 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 112.72 [1][22] Business Segments - The software segment saw a significant increase in revenue, driven by active capital markets and targeted marketing of high-end products, with a 76% year-on-year growth in financial information service revenue [7] - Brokerage and proprietary trading businesses also experienced rapid growth, with net commission income rising by 143% to 97 million yuan in Q1 2025 [7] Cost and Efficiency - Operating costs increased by 45% year-on-year to 42 million yuan, primarily due to rising employee compensation and communication expenses [7] - The report notes a decrease in expense ratios despite rising costs, indicating improved operational efficiency [7] Strategic Initiatives - The company is deepening its "one body, two wings" strategy, including acquiring a 95% stake in Pioneer Fund to enhance its service offerings [7] - The company is exploring advanced tools for stock selection, leveraging AI and deep learning to optimize investment strategies [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 operating revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders were 540 million and 140 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 85% and 726%. The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 72 million yuan, up 347% year-on-year, meeting expectations. The difference in these figures is primarily due to non-recurring investment income of 66 million yuan generated from the acquisition of Pioneer Fund [6][8] - The company benefits from the increased trading activity of individual investors, and its growth potential continues to be validated. The report maintains a "Buy" rating [6][8] Financial Performance Summary - Q1 2025 total revenue was 540 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 85%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 140 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 726%. The non-recurring net profit was 72 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 347% [6] - The company's financial information service revenue and cash flow showed significant growth, with a sales cash inflow of 510 million yuan, up 93% year-on-year. The pre-receivable accounts (contract liabilities + non-current liabilities) reached 870 million yuan, increasing by 4% quarter-on-quarter and 25% year-on-year [7] - The company's net income from commission fees and interest income for Q1 was 97 million and 21 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 143% and 67%. The average daily trading volume of the market increased by 72% year-on-year, and the number of new accounts opened rose by 32% [8] Earnings Forecast - The company’s projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 360 million, 560 million, and 770 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 249%, 55%, and 37%. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.6, 0.9, and 1.3 yuan for the same period [6][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 total revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders were 540 million and 140 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 85% and 726%. The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 72 million yuan, up 347% year-on-year, aligning with expectations. The difference in figures is primarily due to non-recurring investment income of 66 million yuan generated from the acquisition of Pioneer Fund [6][8] - The company benefits from increased trading activity among individual investors, and its growth potential continues to be validated. The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 360 million, 560 million, and 770 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 249%, 55%, and 37% [6][7] Financial Summary - For 2025, the expected operating revenue is 2,185 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 42.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected at 364 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 249% [9] - The gross margin is expected to improve to 91.1% in 2025, while the net margin is projected to reach 16.7% [9] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.6 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 94.7 times [9] Business Performance - The company's financial information services revenue was 420 million yuan in Q1 2025, up 76% year-on-year, with cash inflow from sales reaching 510 million yuan, a 93% increase year-on-year. The pre-receivable accounts (contract liabilities + non-current liabilities) stood at 870 million yuan, up 4% quarter-on-quarter and 25% year-on-year [7] - The net income from commission and interest for Q1 2025 was 97 million and 21 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 143% and 67%. The average daily trading volume in the market increased by 72% year-on-year, and the number of new accounts opened rose by 32% [8]