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开源证券2026年度策略会召开!全面解读2026年宏观大势和投资机会
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-11-05 05:45
Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Annual Strategy Conference of Kaiyuan Securities will focus on macroeconomic trends, the "14th Five-Year Plan" completion, and the "15th Five-Year Plan" initiation, emphasizing high-quality development and investment strategies in the capital market [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Outlook - The chairman of Kaiyuan Securities, Li Gang, highlighted that the "14th Five-Year Plan" has led to a resilient Chinese economy, with the capital market providing robust financial support for the transformation and upgrading of the real economy [3]. - The "15th Five-Year Plan" will prioritize high-level technological self-reliance, modern industrial system construction, and the development of new productive forces, expanding the significance of the capital market [3][4]. Group 2: Research and Services - Kaiyuan Securities aims to establish itself as a leading comprehensive financial service provider for small and medium-sized enterprises, focusing on market-oriented and legal development while preventing financial risks [4]. - The research department has developed a comprehensive research framework covering over 30 areas, enhancing its ability to support national strategies and the real economy [4][6]. Group 3: Macroeconomic Analysis - The chief macroeconomic analyst, He Ning, anticipates that the actual GDP target for 2026 will remain around 5%, with a more proactive macro policy and a potential expansion of the broad deficit scale [7]. - He emphasized the importance of achieving a new balance between supply and demand, with a focus on enhancing service supply and addressing excess capacity [8]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - The strategy chief analyst, Wei Jixing, indicated that the capital market will transition from "asset revaluation" to "profit recovery," predicting a "flat slow bull" market rather than a "sharp peak short bull" in 2026 [10][11]. - The focus on technology as a primary investment theme will continue, with an emphasis on domestic demand and consumption recovery as key drivers for market performance [9][12]. Group 5: Sector-Specific Insights - The fixed income chief analyst, Chen Xi, recommended a focus on short-term bonds, suggesting that the central bank's intentions will stabilize the liability side, while maintaining a neutral duration for long-term bonds [12]. - The conference will also feature discussions on various sectors, including AI computing, chips, humanoid robots, and new consumption trends, providing a comprehensive analysis of investment strategies across different fields [13].