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康冠科技(001308):创新业务持续高增,期待家居陪护机器人落地
CMS· 2025-11-11 15:11
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [1][3]. Core Insights - The company's short-term innovation business is driving performance beyond expectations, with accelerated AI hardware innovation catalyzing a valuation reassessment. Long-term, the company is transforming its proprietary brand and optimizing its profit structure, fully embracing AI and robotics innovation to create a new growth curve [1]. - The company has achieved significant growth in its innovative product lines, with a 37.11% year-on-year revenue increase in the innovation segment, driven by successful overseas expansion of its proprietary brands [7]. - The company is actively investing in the home care robotics sector, having secured seven related patents, indicating a strategic focus on capturing opportunities in the aging economy [7]. Financial Data and Valuation - The projected total revenue for 2023 is 13,447 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 16%. However, a decline of 3% is expected in 2025, followed by a recovery in subsequent years [2][15]. - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to decrease to 707 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a 15% decline from the previous year, but is expected to rebound to 937 million yuan in 2026 [2][15]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 22.5 for 2025, with a projected PE of 17.0 in 2026, indicating potential for valuation improvement as earnings recover [2][15]. Shareholder Returns - The company has returned 17 billion yuan to shareholders through dividends since its IPO, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder value [7]. - The company plans to reward shareholders with AI products based on their holdings, further emphasizing its focus on shareholder engagement [7].