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东华软件(002065):算力应用双驱,多行业解决方案落地见效
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-03-30 10:04
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a rating of "Buy" for the company [5]. Core Insights - Donghua Software is a comprehensive digital intelligence service provider in China, deeply integrated with the ecosystems of Tencent and Huawei, achieving breakthroughs in computing power delivery and ecological collaboration, with strong barriers in traditional industries such as healthcare and finance [2][11]. - The company is expected to see revenue growth driven by its strong capabilities in various sectors, including healthcare and finance, with a target price set at 11.41 yuan based on valuation methods [11][25]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E are as follows: 11,524 million yuan, 13,323 million yuan, 13,979 million yuan, 15,613 million yuan, and 17,799 million yuan, with growth rates of -2.6%, 15.6%, 4.9%, 11.7%, and 14.0% respectively [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 438 million yuan, 500 million yuan, 415 million yuan, 522 million yuan, and 601 million yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 9.7%, 14.0%, -17.0%, 26.0%, and 14.9% respectively [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.14 yuan, 0.16 yuan, 0.13 yuan, 0.16 yuan, and 0.19 yuan from 2023A to 2027E [4]. Revenue and Profitability Forecast - The system integration equipment business is expected to grow at rates of 10.0%, 13.5%, and 16.0% from 2025 to 2027, with revenue reaching 10,522 million yuan, 11,942 million yuan, and 13,853 million yuan respectively [15]. - The technology service business is projected to experience a decline of 12.0% in 2025, followed by growth of 5.0% and 6.5% in 2026 and 2027, with revenues of 2,302 million yuan, 2,417 million yuan, and 2,574 million yuan respectively [16]. - The self-developed and customized software business is expected to grow by 1.0%, 8.3%, and 9.2% from 2025 to 2027, with revenues of 1,144 million yuan, 1,239 million yuan, and 1,353 million yuan respectively [17]. Valuation Analysis - The report employs both PE and PS valuation methods, estimating a reasonable valuation of 365.75 billion yuan, corresponding to a target price of 11.41 yuan [21][25]. - The PE valuation method anticipates an average PE of 70 times for 2026, reflecting the company's strong competitive position in key industries [21]. - The PS valuation method suggests a valuation of 421.55 billion yuan based on a PS of 2.7 times for 2026 [23]. Industry Position and Competitive Advantage - Donghua Software has a robust presence in various sectors, including healthcare, finance, and smart cities, with a strong focus on integrated solutions and information technology services [26][27]. - The company has established long-term partnerships with major clients and has a significant number of proprietary software products, enhancing its competitive edge [27]. - The company’s control structure is stable, with a clear ownership chain that supports strategic continuity and operational decision-making [29].