每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 值得注意的是，自2024年9月以来，"可月月评估分红"的红利港股ETF（159331）已连续分红15个 月，值得关注。 注：分红情况具体详见基金分红公告，基金分红规则以基金法律文件为准，鉴于本基金的特点，本 基金分红不一定来自基金盈利，基金分红并不代表总投资的正回报。 如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 连续分红15个月的红利港股ETF（159331）涨超1%，关注高息策略"压舱石"价值。 相关机构表示，高息红利策略是当前港股市场环境下攻守兼备的选择。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that southbound capital has accumulated a net inflow of 1.2 trillion HKD this year, marking a new high since the launch of the Stock Connect program [1] - The HIBOR has stabilized after being at a high level, and the Federal Reserve's initiation of a rate-cutting cycle has improved global liquidity, marginally boosting risk appetite for Hong Kong stocks [1] - Despite short-term fluctuations due to differing expectations regarding the December rate cuts, the trend of improving capital flow remains unchanged, suggesting a potential continuation of a slow bull market for Hong Kong stocks [1] Group 2 - From an allocation perspective, the current stage favors a combination of technology growth and low-volatility dividend stocks as a relatively optimal choice [1] - In the technology sector, AI applications and internet software are more concentrated in Hong Kong stocks, with narratives driven by performance and capital expenditure expected to strengthen, particularly in the fourth quarter [1] - The dividend-focused Hong Kong stock ETF (159331) tracks the high dividend index (930914), which selects 30 securities with consistent dividends, good liquidity, and outstanding dividend yields from the Stock Connect universe, primarily covering traditional high-dividend sectors such as finance, energy, and industrials [1]

Group 1 - The attractiveness of high dividend strategies depends on the combination of dividend yield and EPS growth, with an implied return rate of up to 10% if EPS maintains a growth rate of over 5% [1] - High dividend assets in the Hong Kong stock market are benefiting from the expansion of cross-border ETFs and foreign capital inflow, leading to significant improvement in liquidity [1] - Over the next decade, the AH premium rate may gradually approach 100%, enhancing the relative attractiveness of high dividend assets in the Hong Kong stock market as tax systems improve and capital inflows continue [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index (930914), which selects 30 securities with continuous dividends, good liquidity, and outstanding dividend yields from the Stock Connect range, focusing on traditional high-dividend sectors such as finance, energy, and industry [1] - Since September 2024, the Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331) has distributed dividends for 13 consecutive months, indicating a noteworthy trend [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.10% to close at 3916.23 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.25% to 13086.41 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.38% to 3037.44 points [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets dropped below 2 trillion, with a total of 193.11 billion, a decrease of 141.7 billion from the previous day [1] Sector Performance - The insurance, coal, shipping, and banking sectors saw the highest gains, while small metals, precious metals, wind power equipment, steel, mining, and fertilizer sectors experienced the largest declines [1] - The coal ETF (515220) rose by 2.97%, with a five-day change of 7.28% [2][3] Seasonal Trends and Demand - There is an increasing expectation of a cold winter, which is anticipated to boost winter demand for coal [4] - The China Electricity Council predicts that electricity consumption growth in the second half of the year will exceed that of the first half, with a projected year-on-year increase of 5% to 6% for 2025 [4] Policy and Market Dynamics - The National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation have announced measures to regulate price competition and maintain market order [4] - Analysts from Guosheng Securities expect coal prices to rebound in the second half of 2025, improving coal company profits [4] Investment Opportunities - The coal sector is viewed as having dual attributes of cyclical and dividend investments, making it an attractive area for investment [5] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector remains a key focus, with significant growth in overseas contracts, totaling over 100 billion USD in the first nine months of the year, a 170% increase year-on-year [7] - Upcoming international conferences are expected to provide catalysts for the innovative drug sector, with a notable increase in research presentations from China at the ESMO conference [8]

Group 1 - The article highlights a preference for low-volatility dividend assets in the Hong Kong stock market, particularly during market fluctuations, with several dividend ETFs showing gains of over 1% [1] - Recent market dynamics indicate a shift in investor sentiment towards value and dividend sectors, as evidenced by significant net inflows into high-dividend sectors, particularly in the financial industry, which saw a net purchase of 783.81 billion HKD from southbound funds [1] - The technology sector, which had previously led the market, is experiencing a pullback, prompting a rotation towards more stable dividend-paying stocks [1] Group 2 - Historical data over the past 20 years shows that cyclical industries like white goods and food processing have seen an upward trend in the fourth quarter over 65% of the time, driven by year-end profit-taking and expectations surrounding macroeconomic policies [2][3] - According to CITIC Securities, the fourth quarter of 2025 may present a critical opportunity for positioning in dividend stocks, as pessimistic expectations may have been fully priced in, leading to a valuation bottom [3] - The yield on 10-year government bonds has remained low between 1.6% and 1.9%, while leading A/H shares in sectors like highways are projected to have dividend yields of 5% to 6% by 2025, enhancing their attractiveness [3]

Core Insights - The high dividend strategy is currently viewed as a balanced choice in the Hong Kong stock market environment, with a shift from foreign capital dominance to a more domestic-centric investment logic [1] - High dividend-paying stocks, particularly quality state-owned enterprises, are seen as deep value assets that support the steady increase of market valuation [1] Group 1 - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index (930914), which selects 30 securities with continuous dividends, good liquidity, and outstanding dividend yields from the Stock Connect range [1] - The index focuses on traditional high-dividend sectors such as finance, energy, and industrials, reflecting the overall performance characteristics of the high dividend, low valuation segment of the Hong Kong market [1] Group 2 - Since September 2024, the Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331) has distributed dividends for 13 consecutive months, highlighting its consistent performance [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that high-dividend strategies are currently a balanced choice in the Hong Kong stock market, with a shift from foreign capital dominance to a more domestic-centric investment logic [1] - The trend of wealth reallocation in China and the increasing influence of southbound capital are driving this transition, making high-dividend assets, particularly quality state-owned enterprises, attractive for their stable earnings and substantial dividends [1] - High-dividend stocks are seen as a "shield" and "ballast" that support the steady rise of market valuation, providing stable cash flow returns and demonstrating strong defensive attributes during market volatility [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index (930914), which selects 30 securities with continuous dividends, good liquidity, and high dividend yields from the Stock Connect range [1] - This index focuses on traditional high-dividend sectors such as finance, energy, and industrials, reflecting the overall performance characteristics of the high-dividend, low-valuation segment of the Hong Kong market [1] - Since September 2024, the Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331) has distributed dividends for 13 consecutive months, highlighting its consistent performance [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hong Kong stock market is expected to benefit from the continuous inflow of southbound funds, with clear signs of valuation recovery [1] - In a low interest rate environment, the attractiveness of high dividend sectors in the Hong Kong stock market has increased, particularly in the upstream resource industry, which has performed well overall [1] - Recent market sentiment has been improving, with rising expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut further boosting risk appetite for Hong Kong stocks [1] Group 2 - In the medium to long term, the valuation advantages of the Hong Kong stock market and the trend of industrial transformation and upgrading remain promising, with the technology and consumer sectors likely to continue rising under dual support from policies and funds [1] - The current market maintains a "Hong Kong dividend" allocation, with certain upstream resource sectors benefiting from "anti-involution" sentiment and capital inflows, showing notable performance [1] - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index (930914), which selects high dividend companies that meet continuous dividend criteria from the Stock Connect range, covering multiple industries such as finance, energy, and industrials [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hong Kong stock market, particularly high dividend stocks, presents long-term investment value in the current liquidity easing environment [1] - The banking sector is expected to maintain stable earnings and continue existing dividend levels, which will attract low-cost funds [1] - High dividend assets are becoming an important allocation direction amid declining non-standard investment returns [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Dividend ETF (159331) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index (930914), which selects 30 high dividend yield securities from companies that meet Stock Connect criteria [1] - The index focuses on large and mid-cap companies with significant dividend yield advantages and stable cash flows, covering various sectors including transportation and resources [1] - Investors without stock accounts can consider related ETFs such as the Cathay CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment ETF Initiated Link A (022274) and Link C (022275) [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Connect high dividend sector offers defensive allocation value in the current market environment, particularly suitable for investors seeking stable cash flow [1] Group 1: Market Environment - The expectation of economic recovery in mainland China and the continued downtrend in interest rates enhance the attractiveness of high dividend strategies [1] - Traditional high dividend industries such as energy, telecommunications, and public utilities exhibit strong earnings stability, with Hong Kong stock valuations being more cost-effective compared to similar A-share counterparts [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Certain financial sectors under the Hong Kong Stock Connect mechanism show significantly higher dividend yields than the domestic market, coupled with ongoing demand for southbound allocation from mainland funds due to RMB exchange rate fluctuations [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend ETF (159331) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index (930914), which selects quality securities with high dividend characteristics from the Hong Kong Stock Connect universe [1] - The index is composed of leading companies in mature industries such as finance and energy, demonstrating sustained stable profitability and cash flow performance [1] Group 3: Investment Products - Investors without stock accounts can consider the Cathay CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment ETF Initiated Link A (022274) and Cathay CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Investment ETF Initiated Link C (022275) [1]