Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company is a leading player in the domestic pulp molding industry, with a revenue CAGR of 22.79% and a net profit CAGR of 23.89% from 2019 to 2024, maintaining over 85% of its sales from exports [2] - The pulp molding industry is expected to benefit from global trends towards reducing plastic use, with the company positioned to capitalize on this shift due to its fully biodegradable and recyclable raw materials [3][45] - The company's strong mold design and manufacturing capabilities, along with a complete supply chain from mold to raw materials to production, provide a competitive edge and high profitability [4] - The establishment of production capacity in Thailand helps mitigate risks from trade disputes and enhances profit margins due to advanced production technology [5] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has maintained industry-leading performance and has a robust management team with significant experience in mold design and production [2][21] - The company has a market share of approximately 16% in the global pulp molding food service sector and about 20% in the domestic market [21] Investment Logic - The global consensus on reducing plastic production and consumption is driving demand for pulp molding products, which are environmentally friendly and cost-effective alternatives [3][39] - The company’s products are primarily made from natural fibers like sugarcane and bamboo, which are fully biodegradable and recyclable, positioning them favorably against other alternatives like PLA and PBAT [45][46] Production and Capacity - The company has developed a comprehensive supply chain that includes strong control over raw materials, mold design, and production processes, ensuring cost efficiency and high-quality output [4][24] - The Thai production facility, with an initial capacity of 35,000 tons, is operational and a second phase of 65,000 tons is planned, which will further enhance the company's growth potential [5][18] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.568 billion, 2.505 billion, and 3.131 billion RMB, with corresponding net profits of 296 million, 568 million, and 755 million RMB [6][10] - The expected EPS for the same period is 2.89, 5.56, and 7.38 RMB, with a target price set at 88.89 RMB based on a PE ratio of 16X for 2026 [6]

| | 付至蔗农手中。 | | --- | --- | | | 4、公司是否考虑并购重组？ | | | 答：并购重组事宜需综合多方因素决策，并非公司单方面可决 | | | 定。当出现合适机会时，公司将秉持审慎原则进行研判，视情况择 | | | 机考虑相关事项，并严格按照规定履行信息披露义务。 | | | 5、公司围绕"一根甘蔗"吃干榨尽拓展产业链，大力发展附加 | | | 值高的增量项目如何实现的？ | | | 答：公司通过燃烧甘蔗渣提供蒸汽及电力，发展循环经济、实 | | | 现资源综合利用。同时，将蔗渣浆用于生产一次性环保纸杯、餐盘 | | | 等纸浆模塑制品，有效提高了蔗渣的产业化利用量，实现了甘蔗渣 | | | 从废弃物到高附加值环保产品的转变。 | | | 6、公司是否考虑通过期货等工具提高公司的经营业绩？ | | | 答：公司作为国有企业，对食糖在期货市场的投放比例受相关 | | | 规定限制。公司将密切关注期货市场动态，结合实际情况，择机运 | | | 用期货等工具进行操作。 | | 关于本次活动是否涉及应披 | 本次活动不涉及未公开披露的重大信息 | | 露重大信息的说明 | | | 活动过程 ...