Core Insights - The sugar production in Guangxi for the 2024-2025 season is projected to reach 6.465 million tons, an increase of 283,600 tons year-on-year, with the sugarcane planting area expanding to 11.35 million acres, up by 110,000 acres, reflecting ongoing technological innovation and transformation in the sugar industry [1] - China is a significant producer and consumer of sugar, with an annual production of approximately 10 million tons, accounting for 5.6% of global output, while the consumption ranges from 15 to 16 million tons, indicating a supply gap that needs to be filled through imports [1] - Guangxi, as the largest sugarcane planting base and main sugar production area in China, contributes around 60% of the national sugarcane planting area and sugar production, playing a crucial role in ensuring national sugar supply security [1] Industry Transformation - Historically, the sugar industry's profits were concentrated in the crude processing of "white sugar," characterized by a short industrial chain and low added value. Guangxi is breaking this dependency by developing deep processing of sugarcane and comprehensive utilization of by-products, leading to a diversified development of the sugar industry [2] - The utilization rates of sugarcane by-products in Guangxi have reached 100% for bagasse, molasses, and filter mud, while the comprehensive utilization rate of cane leaves has surpassed 40%, indicating a shift from a raw material-oriented approach to a full-chain value enhancement [2] - The sugar industry in Guangxi is not limited to agriculture but is integrated into regional economic planning, promoting deep collaboration among agriculture, industry, culture, tourism, and technology [2] Cultural and Economic Integration - Guangxi is leveraging its "sugar culture" to develop cultural tourism projects, such as establishing "Sugar Museums" and "Cane Harvest Festivals," attracting urban tourists to experience sugar production, thereby enhancing the emotional value and outreach of traditional sugar industry [3] - The region's proximity to Vietnam provides a natural advantage for cross-border agricultural cooperation, with Guangxi actively promoting a new cross-border model of "Vietnamese sugarcane planting + Guangxi sugar processing," effectively alleviating domestic sugar supply tensions and enhancing regional integration [3] - The quantity of sugarcane imported from Vietnam is expected to nearly double in the 2024-2025 season, reflecting Guangxi's proactive integration into international agricultural division of labor under the RCEP framework [3] High-Quality Development - The high-quality development of Guangxi's sugar industry represents a significant exploration of the modern agricultural path characterized by "technology + green + integration," transitioning from a "sweet economy" to a "strong industry" [4] - This transformation not only boosts farmers' income and rural revitalization but also provides a "Guangxi model" for agricultural transformation across the country, positioning sugarcane as a source of innovation for the future sugar industry [4]

本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 【巴西生产偏慢但糖醇比高，国内外糖市多空因素交织】当前，巴西生产进度偏慢，不过糖醇比拉得较 高，使得海外市场对巴西新榨季产量下降预期仍强烈。市场对印度、泰国25/26榨季预期增产情绪高， 抑制了糖价。国内配额外利润窗口打开，内盘稍强，但反弹力度有限。 截至5月底，广西累计销糖 464.53万吨，同比增53.71万吨；产销率71.85%，同比提高5.39个百分点。印度全国合作糖厂联合会预 计，2024/25榨季印度食糖期末库存480 - 500万吨，能满足2025年10 - 11月国内消费需求，尽管本榨季产 量下滑。 我国暂停从泰国进口糖浆及预混粉，虽泰国表示愿改正。2025/26榨季截至5月上半月，巴西 中南部累计入榨量7671.4万吨，同比降20.24%；累计产糖量398.9万吨，同比降22.68%。 5月进口糖浆预 混粉合计6.42万吨，同比大减15.07万吨，为近五年同期第二低。巴西将汽油中乙醇强制掺混比例从27% 提至30%，柴油中生物柴油比例从14%提至15%。 2024/25年榨季，广西累计入榨甘蔗4859.54万吨，同 比减258.47 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guangxi aims to promote high-quality development in the sugar industry by focusing on good varieties, good practices, and good fields, with a total funding of over 2.6 billion RMB planned for 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Funding and Investment - Guangxi's financial department has allocated approximately 2 billion RMB to support the revitalization of sugarcane seed varieties, emphasizing the integration of good varieties and good practices [1]. - Over 400 million RMB will be used to support the construction of high-standard farmland in sugarcane production protection areas, improving the production conditions for sugarcane [1]. - More than 200 million RMB is designated for subsidies to support the establishment of mechanized demonstration bases for sugarcane production, promoting full mechanization [1]. Group 2: Technological Advancement - Guangxi is promoting the integration of agricultural machinery and practices, with over 200 million RMB allocated for projects including the purchase of sugarcane harvesters and water-fertilizer integration [1]. - Nearly 80 million RMB is set aside for key areas such as the breeding system for sugarcane varieties and foundational research in sugarcane [1]. Group 3: Financial Mechanisms - Guangxi has established a dual guarantee mechanism of "insurance + guarantee" to alleviate financing difficulties for growers, with a cumulative guarantee amount exceeding 9.3 billion RMB by May 2025 [2]. - The revised management measures for special funds for sugar industry development will create a closed-loop management system for fund usage, supervision, and performance [2]. - Continuous tracking of fund usage related to sugar industry development will be maintained to ensure effective financial support and management [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Guangxi has achieved significant progress in high-quality sugar industry development through measures such as improving sugarcane production efficiency, technological innovation, and upgrading sugar enterprises [1] - In the 2024/25 sugar season, Guangxi's sugarcane planting area is expected to reach 11.35 million acres, an increase of 110,000 acres year-on-year, with sugar production exceeding 6.4 million tons, an increase of 280,000 tons year-on-year [1] - The coverage rate of quality sugarcane varieties in Guangxi is close to 99%, with self-bred varieties accounting for over 92% [1] Group 2 - The sugar industry chain is extending rapidly, with the establishment of the largest bagasse-based eco-friendly tableware production and export base in Laibin City, and the development of new products such as sugarcane vinegar and sugarcane beer in Chongzuo City [2] - Guangxi is exploring international cooperation in the sugar industry, signing framework agreements for sugarcane planting with regions in Vietnam, and developing raw material bases of approximately 36,000 acres in Vietnam [2] - The utilization rates of bagasse, molasses, and filter mud have reached 100%, while the comprehensive utilization rate of sugarcane leaves has exceeded 40% [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that Guangxi's sugar production for the 2024/2025 season is expected to exceed 6.465 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 283,600 tons [1] - The area planted with sugarcane in Guangxi is projected to be 11.35 million acres, which represents an increase of 110,000 acres compared to the previous year [1]

Core Viewpoint - Brazil's sugar production is lagging, but the sugar-to-ethanol ratio is rising, leading to strong expectations of reduced production for the new season, while markets anticipate increased production from India and Thailand, which is suppressing sugar prices [1] Group 1: Production and Market Dynamics - Brazil's sugar production progress is slow, with a significant decline in the crushing volume, down 20.24% year-on-year to 76.714 million tons as of mid-May 2025/26 [1] - The sugar production rate in Guangxi has improved, with cumulative sugar sales reaching 4.6453 million tons by the end of May, an increase of 537,100 tons year-on-year, and a production-to-sales ratio of 71.85%, up 5.39 percentage points [1] - The Indian Sugar Mills Association forecasts an ending stock of 4.8 to 5 million tons for the 2024/25 season, sufficient to meet domestic consumption needs in late 2025, despite a decline in production this season [1] Group 2: Import and Export Trends - China has suspended imports of Thai sugar syrup and premixed powder, although Thailand has expressed willingness to rectify the situation [1] - Sugar imports in May reached 350,000 tons, an increase of 333,100 tons year-on-year, indicating a favorable profit window for imports outside of quotas [1] - The import of sugar syrup and premixed powder in May was 64,200 tons, a significant decrease of 150,700 tons year-on-year, marking the second-lowest level for the same period in five years [1] Group 3: Future Production Expectations - Analysts predict a 5% increase in Brazil's sugar production for the 2025/26 season, reaching 46 million tons [1] - Thailand's sugar production for the 2024/25 season is expected to rise to 10.39 million tons [1] - India's early monsoon rains are anticipated to lead to a strong recovery in sugar production for the 2025/26 season, potentially reaching around 35 million tons [1]

Group 1 - The report from Itaú BBA predicts a 5% decrease in sugarcane crushing volume in Brazil's central-southern region for the 2025/26 season, amounting to 590 million tons, with significant declines in the western and northwestern parts of São Paulo state [1] - Despite the decrease in crushing volume, sugar production is expected to increase by 2.7% to 41.2 million tons, with a sugar-to-cane ratio of 52% and an ATR (Total Recoverable Sugar) of 141 kg/ton [1] - Current spot prices for sugar in China show an increase, with Guangxi Sugar Group reporting prices between 6000 - 6080 yuan/ton, up by 10 - 20 yuan/ton, while Yunnan Sugar Group's prices remain stable at 5790 - 5830 yuan/ton [1] Group 2 - The cotton market is experiencing upward movement, with ICE cotton prices rising by 0.78% to 68.32 cents per pound, and domestic cotton prices in Xinjiang increasing by 65 yuan/ton to 14832 yuan/ton [1] - The overall market sentiment is improving, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1% for two consecutive days, and cotton prices in Zhengzhou breaking through 13600 yuan/ton due to low commercial inventories and weather disturbances in Xinjiang [1] - The macroeconomic environment is showing signs of improvement, with expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which has led to a slight strengthening of cotton prices, although the fundamental drivers remain limited [1]

进口糖陆续到港 郑糖被动跟随原糖走势 研究员：黄莹 期货从业证号：F03111919 投资咨询证号：Z0018607 目录 第二章 核心逻辑分析 4 第一章 综合分析与交易策略 2 第三章 周度数据追踪 9 GALAXY FUTURES 1 综合分析与交易策略 【综合分析】 国际方面，考虑到巴西即将迎来供应高峰，预计全球库存即将进入累库阶段，预计原糖整体维持震荡运行，短期则根据阶 段性生产数据影响盘面节奏，后续还需关注巴西生产进度及实际增产幅度。 国内方面，产销速度偏快，预计对糖价有所支撑。不过考虑到进口糖即将大量进入国内市场，或拖累糖价下行。叠加原糖 近期走势偏弱，短期糖价维持偏弱运行。 【逻辑分析】 原糖近期受全球供应增加预期拖累有所下跌，糖价中枢下移。反观国内，夏季备货需求滞后，叠加原糖短期弱势运行，配 额外进口利润再度走高，加工糖供应压力即将兑现，预计郑糖短期被动跟随原糖价格波动。 【交易策略】 GALAXY FUTURES 2 第二章 核心逻辑分析 4 第一章 综合分析与交易策略 2 第三章 周度数据追踪 9 GALAXY FUTURES 3 全球糖市新榨季丰产预期令糖价承压 数据来源：ISO，Cz ...

每经记者｜彭斐 每经编辑｜杨夏 中国市场对外资的"磁吸力"在持续增强。 在谈及当前国际形势时，周学军指出，人口增长、气候变化、宏观经济波动等因素为全球粮食供应安全 带来了严峻挑战。他强调，加速绿色低碳发展，推动绿色创新与合作，是稳定全球农业与食品供应链、 保障粮食安全的关键。路易达孚集团正通过农业全产业链变革，打造绿色产品链和供应链，以实现可持 续发展目标。 "中国通过营造公平竞争环境、扩大内需和加速产业升级，已经成为跨国企业的'投资沃土'，投资中国 就是投资未来。"6月18日—20日第六届跨国公司领导人青岛峰会期间，路易达孚集团全球首席商务官兼 亚太区总裁周学军在演讲时称。 周学军还提到，路易达孚集团在2023年3月宣布了2030温室气体减排目标，以2022年为基准，至2030年 将范围1和范围2的温室气体排放减排达到33.6%。他希望在新项目建设及运营中，能够引入绿电、天然 气等清洁能源，并呼吁政府加快建设鼓励绿色低碳发展的政策支撑及考核体系，出台节能减排、绿电交 易等配套支持政策。 就在上周五（6月13日），路易达孚集团位于青岛董家口的食品科技产业园刚刚完成土地竞拍，项目一 期计划投资14亿元，总投资约 ...

金十数据整理：每日期货市场要闻速递（6月20日） 7. 新加坡企业发展局（ESG）：截至6月18日当周，新加坡燃料油库存下降221.1万桶，至2150.3万桶的5 周低点。 8. 截至6月19日，国内纯碱厂家总库存172.67万吨，环比周增4.04万吨（+2.40%），较周一增加1.72万 吨。 9. 6月19日，雅保电池级碳酸锂拍卖活动结束，拍卖300吨容汇锂业及300吨永杉锂业碳酸锂，成交价格 为59910元/吨和60010元/吨。 3. 全国30家独立焦化厂平均吨焦盈利-23元/吨；山西准一级焦平均盈利-3元/吨，山东准一级焦平均盈利 31元/吨。 4. 巴西航运机构Williams周四发布的数据显示，巴西港口等待装运的食糖数量为285.39万吨，此前一周 为291.04万吨。 5. 加拿大谷物委员会发布的数据显示，截至06月15日当周，加拿大油菜籽出口量较前周减少17.05%至 13.14万吨。 6. 截止到6月19日，全国浮法玻璃样本企业总库存环比增加20.2万重箱或0.29%至6988.7万重箱，创下8 个半月高位。 1. 河钢集团6月硅锰定价5650元/吨，首轮询盘5500元/吨。5月硅锰定价： ...