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贝壳-W(2423.HK):经纪为核根基深厚 三翼齐飞行以致远
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-11 04:17
Core Viewpoint - The company is a leading integrated online and offline real estate transaction service platform, with a strong market position and growth potential in various business segments [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - The company began operations in 2001 and launched its integrated platform in 2018, going public on the New York Stock Exchange in 2020 and completing a dual listing in Hong Kong in 2022 [1]. - The company has established a strategic direction of "one body and three wings," focusing on real estate brokerage while simultaneously driving growth in home renovation, rental services, and data-driven residential development [1][3]. - In 2024, the company expects total transaction volume to reach 3.3 trillion yuan, with net revenue projected at 934.6 billion yuan, marking a historical high [1]. Group 2: Market Position and Performance - The company maintains a dominant position in the real estate brokerage industry, with a significant market share in both the second-hand and new housing markets [2]. - In 2024, the transaction volume for second-hand homes is expected to reach 2.2 trillion yuan, accounting for 31% of the national market, while new home transactions are projected at 970 billion yuan, representing 11.4% of the national total [2]. - The company has implemented standards and networks that enhance service quality and create competitive advantages, addressing industry pain points [2]. Group 3: Growth Drivers - The home renovation and furnishing segment is rapidly growing, with projected transaction volume and net revenue of 16.9 billion yuan and 14.77 billion yuan, respectively, from 2021 to 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 329.7% and 321.3% [3]. - The rental business has expanded significantly, with the number of managed rental units increasing from 70,000 in 2022 to 420,000 by 2024 [3]. - The company is exploring new growth opportunities through its data-driven residential development platform, which aims to provide comprehensive solutions based on consumer needs [3]. Group 4: Financial Outlook - The company is expected to deliver earnings per share (EPS) of 1.58 yuan, 1.83 yuan, and 2.11 yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 28.7, 24.8, and 21.5 [3].
贝壳-W(02423):经纪为核根基深厚,三翼齐飞行以致远
Ping An Securities· 2025-06-10 07:06
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company is a leading integrated online and offline real estate transaction service platform, with a strong foundation in real estate brokerage and a strategic focus on three wings of growth [6][11] - The company is expected to achieve a total transaction volume of CNY 3.3 trillion in 2024, with net revenue reaching CNY 934.6 billion, marking a historical high [6][20] - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, with a significant cash reserve and a share buyback plan in place [27] Summary by Sections 1. Leading Integrated Real Estate Transaction and Service Platform - The company began operations in 2001 and has expanded its services to include second-hand and new home transactions, home decoration, and rental services [11] - The total transaction volume is projected to reach CNY 3.3 trillion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.6% [20] 2. Real Estate Brokerage: Strong Leadership and Operational Advantages - The company holds a dominant position in the real estate brokerage industry, with a total transaction volume of CNY 3.3 trillion in 2024, significantly ahead of competitors [48] - The company has established a unique competitive advantage through its "True Source" standard and ACN network, addressing industry pain points [51] 3. Three Wings Business: Home Decoration and Rental Services - The home decoration segment is rapidly growing, with a projected transaction volume of CNY 169 billion in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 329.7% from 2021 to 2024 [6] - The rental service has expanded significantly, with managed properties increasing from 70,000 in 2022 to 420,000 in 2024 [6] 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company forecasts EPS of CNY 1.58, CNY 1.83, and CNY 2.11 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 28.7, 24.8, and 21.5 [7] - The report highlights the company's commitment to shareholder returns, with a cash dividend of USD 600 million in 2023 and USD 400 million in 2024 [27]