美油(WTI)
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贺博生:黄金原油震荡回落最新行情走势分析及今日操作建议
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-18 13:55
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The spot gold price experienced a decline, trading around $4867 per ounce, with a daily drop of approximately 0.8% due to low liquidity from market closures in the US and China [1][6] - Gold reached an intraday high of $5032 per ounce but failed to attract sufficient buying momentum, leading to a steady selling pressure thereafter [1][6] - Analysts expect limited volatility in gold prices due to the US market being closed for Presidents' Day and reduced participation from Canadian markets [1][7] Group 2: Gold Technical Analysis - Key support for gold is noted at $4965, which aligns with the weekly MA5 moving average, while resistance is observed at $5046 and $5100 [2][7] - Technical indicators show a slight downtrend in the 5-day moving average, with MACD and RSI indicating bearish signals, suggesting that gold's rebound faces pressure [2][7] - The market's expectation of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June provides short-term support for gold, with trading strategies recommended to focus on short positions during rebounds [2][7] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil prices showed an upward trend, with WTI trading at $62.23 per barrel, up by $0.92, driven by geopolitical risks and a weaker dollar [3][8] - Concerns over potential supply disruptions due to geopolitical tensions in the Red Sea and Iran have contributed to the market's risk appetite [3][8] - Year-to-date, oil prices have increased by approximately 10%, with geopolitical premiums acting as a key support factor [3][8] Group 4: Oil Technical Analysis - Brent crude oil may face downward pressure towards the $60 range as global production increases in the first half of the year [4][9] - The current oil price environment is characterized by mixed signals, with geopolitical risks providing support while high inventory levels and potential production increases limit price gains [4][9] - WTI is expected to trade within the $62.00 to $64.50 range, with key resistance at $63.80 and support at $62.50 and $62.00 [4][9]