Core Viewpoint - Modern warfare is increasingly focused on shaping favorable post-conflict situations rather than mere conquest or military occupation [1] Group 1: Historical Context - The U.S. made a significant error during the 2003 Iraq War by not adequately assessing the post-war situation, leading to the rapid expansion of Iranian influence in the region over the past two decades [2] - The current strategy of the Trump administration involves targeting Iranian nuclear facilities, which could define his legacy in Middle Eastern diplomacy [3] Group 2: Military Deployment and Strategy - As of June 2025, over 40,000 U.S. troops are stationed in the Middle East, primarily from the Navy, with few personnel deployed at fixed military bases [6] - Trump's previous deadlines for military action may serve multiple purposes, including creating a diversion, assessing the situation, and preparing for potential military strikes [7][8] Group 3: Domestic and International Reactions - There is a significant domestic push for large-scale military action against Iran, viewed as a unique opportunity to reshape the Middle Eastern geopolitical landscape [12] - Conversely, opposition voices argue that Israel's conflicts should not justify U.S. military intervention, advocating for a more restrained approach [13] Group 4: Potential Outcomes of Conflict - A major military engagement could lead to a restructured geopolitical landscape, potentially forming a new axis of "U.S.-Israel-Arab" cooperation, enhancing security for Israel and Arab nations [30][32] - Alternatively, prolonged conflict could result in chaos in the Middle East, with Iran and its proxies engaging in a drawn-out war against U.S. and allied forces [34] - Another scenario could see a power struggle among Turkey, Israel, and Saudi Arabia, as they vie for regional dominance following a significant weakening of Iran [39][48]