航空武器装备
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中航沈飞(600760):Q2业绩改善明显,军贸业务空间广阔
HTSC· 2025-08-26 05:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in Q2 performance, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit compared to the previous quarter, indicating a strong recovery trend [1] - The international military trade and low-altitude economy sectors present substantial growth opportunities for the company, supporting a positive long-term development outlook [1] - The company successfully raised 4 billion RMB in July, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge and support the development of aviation weaponry [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 146.28 billion RMB, a year-over-year decrease of 32.35%, with a net profit of 11.36 billion RMB, down 29.78% year-over-year. However, Q2 showed a revenue of 87.95 billion RMB, a year-over-year decline of 27.51% but a quarter-over-quarter increase of 50.76% [1] - The core aviation manufacturing business generated revenue of 145.39 billion RMB with a gross margin of 12.25%, slightly down by 0.18 percentage points year-over-year. The decline in revenue is attributed to product delivery schedules and structural adjustments [2] Cost and Cash Flow - The company's expense ratio increased slightly to 3.68%, up 0.43 percentage points year-over-year. Notably, sales expenses surged by 185.67% due to increased exhibition costs, while R&D expenses decreased by 67.88% due to project timelines [3] - Operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 30.87 billion RMB, compared to a negative 58.95 billion RMB in the same period last year [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 35.22 billion RMB, 43.69 billion RMB, and 54.50 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.24, 1.54, and 1.92 RMB. The target price has been raised to 80.96 RMB, reflecting a 65 times PE valuation for 2025 [5]