Workflow
苯乙烯(EB2601)
icon
Search documents
广发期货日评-20251125
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 05:28
Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The domestic stock index shows resilience, with the A - share market in a repricing adjustment after the third - quarter reports, having short - term fluctuations and limited downside risks [2]. - The bond market is in a box - shaped oscillation phase, with specific interest rate ranges for different bonds and corresponding trading strategies [2]. - Precious metals are strengthening due to increased calls for interest rate cuts within the Fed, with gold and silver having specific price ranges and trading suggestions [2]. - Various commodities such as steel, iron ore, coal, and non - ferrous metals have different price trends and trading recommendations based on their supply - demand fundamentals [2]. 3. Summary by Categories Financial - **Stock Index**: After the third - quarter reports, the A - share market is in adjustment, with short - term fluctuations. It is recommended to wait and see as the market is in a weak state overall [2]. - **Treasury Bonds**: The short - term bond market is in a box - shaped oscillation. The 10 - year and 30 - year active bond yields have specific fluctuation ranges. Single - side strategies suggest range operations, and short - position investors are advised to speed up the position - shifting process near the end of the month [2]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold is oscillating between $4000 - $4150, and may rise above $4200 if it breaks through the resistance. Silver's resistance is at $52.5, and short - term long - position trials can be made if the volatility increases [2]. Commodities - **Shipping**: The container shipping index (European line) is expected to oscillate upward in the short term, and short positions are advised to be closed [2]. - **Steel and Iron Ore**: Steel prices are expected to stabilize with improved apparent demand. Iron ore is expected to oscillate upward in the range of 750 - 810 [2]. - **Coal and Coking**: Coking coal is viewed as oscillating downward in the range of 1050 - 1150, and coke is also oscillating downward in the range of 1550 - 1700, with a strategy of going long on coke and short on coking coal [2]. - **Non - Ferrous Metals**: Copper prices are oscillating narrowly in the range of 85500 - 86800. Aluminum prices may have further downward space if the position continues to be reduced. Other non - ferrous metals also have their respective price ranges and trends [2]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: Different energy and chemical products such as PTA, short - fiber, and ethanol have various price trends and trading strategies based on their supply - demand situations [2]. - **Agricultural Products**: Agricultural products like soybeans, corn, and palm oil also have different price trends and trading suggestions according to their supply - demand fundamentals [2].
全品种价差日报-20251120
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 02:02
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core View - Not provided in the given content. 3. Summary by Categories Metals - **Ferrous Metals**: For silicon - manganese (SM601), the futures price is 5870, the spot price is 5642, with a change of 150 and a rate of 4.89%, and a historical quantile of 63.10%. For hot - rolled coil (HC2601), the futures price is 3280, with a change rate of 19.10% and a historical quantile of 64. Other ferrous metals like iron ore, coke, and coking coal also have their corresponding price, change, and quantile data [1]. - **Non - Ferrous Metals**: Copper (CU2601) has a futures price of 86080, a spot price of 86115, with a historical quantile of 49.58%. Aluminum (AL2601) has a futures price of 21570, a spot price of 21550, with a historical quantile of 52.91%. Other non - ferrous metals such as zinc, tin, and nickel also have detailed price and quantile information [1]. Precious Metals - Gold (AU2512) has a futures price of 937.0, a spot price of 934.3, with a historical quantile of 26.40%. Silver (AG2602) has a futures price of 12150.0, a spot price of 12148.0, with a historical quantile of 89.80% [1]. Agricultural Products - For soybeans, the futures price of soybean meal (M2601) is 2980, and the spot price of common protein soybean meal in Jiangsu Zhangjiagang is 3022.0, with a historical quantile of 32.00%. For oils, the futures price of soybean oil (Y2601) is 8356.0, and the spot price of fourth - grade soybean oil in Jiangsu Zhangjiagang is 8560, with a historical quantile of 41.60%. Other agricultural products like palm oil, rapeseed meal, and corn also have relevant price and quantile data [1]. Energy and Chemicals - For petrochemicals, the futures price of paraxylene (PX601) is 6818.0, and the spot price of paraxylene at China's main port is 6870.0, with a historical quantile of 17.10%. For plastics, the futures price of linear low - density polyethylene (LLDPE) (L2601) is 6833.0, and the spot price in Shandong is 6855.0, with a historical quantile of 28.90%. Other energy and chemical products such as PTA, ethylene glycol, and PVC also have their price and quantile details [1]. Financial Futures - For stock index futures, IF2512.CFE has a futures price of 4555.0, with a historical quantile of 32.30%. For bond futures, 2 - year bond (TS2512) has a futures price of 102.46, with a historical quantile of 23.20%. Other financial futures like 5 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year bonds also have corresponding data [1].