注散信念众号 | 贵金属期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格: 证监许可 【 2011】1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年11月21日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 国内期货收盘价 | | | | | | | 品种 | 11月20日 | 11月19日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | AU2512合约 | 932.56 | 937.00 | -4.44 | -0.47% | 7L/5 | | AG2512合约 | 12050 | 12148 | -98 | -0.81% | 元/干克 | | 外盘期货收盘价 | | | | | | | 品种 | 11月20日 | 11月19日 | 涨跌 | 张联帽 | 单位 | | COMEX黄金主力合约 | 4076.70 | 4078.30 | -1.60 | -0.04% | | | COMEX白银主力合约 | 50.36 | 51.07 | -0.71 | -1.39% | 美元/盎司 | | 现货价格 | | | | | | | ...

研究所 农产品研发报告 粕类日报 2025 年 11 月 20 日 【粕类日报】美豆压力体现 盘面逐步回落 研究员：陈界正 期货从业证号： F3045719 投资咨询证号： Z0015458 联系方式： | 粕类价格日报 | | | | | | 2025/11/20 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期 货 | | | | | | 现货基差 | | | 品 种 | 合 约 | 收盘价 | 涨 跌 | 地 区 | 今 日 | 昨 日 | 涨 跌 | | 0 1 | | 3017 | - 5 | 天津 | 3 0 | 3 0 | 0 | | 0 5 | | 2811 | -13 | 东莞 | -40 | -40 | 0 | | 豆粕 | 0 9 | 2926 | -11 | 张家港 | -40 | -50 | 1 0 | | | | | | 日照 | -30 | -20 | -10 | | 0 1 | | 2412 | - 7 | 南通 | 8 | 2 1 | -13 | | 菜粕 | 0 5 | 2377 | -10 | 广东 | 9 ...

光期研究 光期黑色：铁矿石基差及价差监测日报 2025 年 1 1 月 2 0 日 1 光大证券 2020 年 半 年 度 业 绩 E V E R B R I G H T S E C U R I T I E S 1.1 合约价差 | 期货合约 | 今日收盘价 | 上日收盘价 | 变化 | 合约价差 | 今日价差 | 上日价差 | 变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | I05 | 755.0 | 757.5 | -2.5 | I05-I09 | 25.0 | 23.5 | 1.5 | | I09 | 730.0 | 734.0 | -4.0 | I09-I01 | -61.5 | -58.0 | -3.5 | | I01 | 791.5 | 792.0 | -0.5 | I01-I05 | 36.5 | 34.5 | 2.0 | 图表1：05-09合约价差（单位：元/吨） 图表2：01-05合约价差（单位：元/吨） p 2 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 01 2101-210 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core View - Not provided in the given content. 3. Summary by Categories Metals - **Ferrous Metals**: For silicon - manganese (SM601), the futures price is 5870, the spot price is 5642, with a change of 150 and a rate of 4.89%, and a historical quantile of 63.10%. For hot - rolled coil (HC2601), the futures price is 3280, with a change rate of 19.10% and a historical quantile of 64. Other ferrous metals like iron ore, coke, and coking coal also have their corresponding price, change, and quantile data [1]. - **Non - Ferrous Metals**: Copper (CU2601) has a futures price of 86080, a spot price of 86115, with a historical quantile of 49.58%. Aluminum (AL2601) has a futures price of 21570, a spot price of 21550, with a historical quantile of 52.91%. Other non - ferrous metals such as zinc, tin, and nickel also have detailed price and quantile information [1]. Precious Metals - Gold (AU2512) has a futures price of 937.0, a spot price of 934.3, with a historical quantile of 26.40%. Silver (AG2602) has a futures price of 12150.0, a spot price of 12148.0, with a historical quantile of 89.80% [1]. Agricultural Products - For soybeans, the futures price of soybean meal (M2601) is 2980, and the spot price of common protein soybean meal in Jiangsu Zhangjiagang is 3022.0, with a historical quantile of 32.00%. For oils, the futures price of soybean oil (Y2601) is 8356.0, and the spot price of fourth - grade soybean oil in Jiangsu Zhangjiagang is 8560, with a historical quantile of 41.60%. Other agricultural products like palm oil, rapeseed meal, and corn also have relevant price and quantile data [1]. Energy and Chemicals - For petrochemicals, the futures price of paraxylene (PX601) is 6818.0, and the spot price of paraxylene at China's main port is 6870.0, with a historical quantile of 17.10%. For plastics, the futures price of linear low - density polyethylene (LLDPE) (L2601) is 6833.0, and the spot price in Shandong is 6855.0, with a historical quantile of 28.90%. Other energy and chemical products such as PTA, ethylene glycol, and PVC also have their price and quantile details [1]. Financial Futures - For stock index futures, IF2512.CFE has a futures price of 4555.0, with a historical quantile of 32.30%. For bond futures, 2 - year bond (TS2512) has a futures price of 102.46, with a historical quantile of 23.20%. Other financial futures like 5 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year bonds also have corresponding data [1].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Report Core Views No clear core views are presented in the given reports. The reports mainly provide daily data on various financial products including stock index futures, bond futures, precious metals, and container shipping, without explicit investment - related core views. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **Futures - Spot Spreads**: For example, the F futures - spot spread was - 13.19, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 52.00% and an all - time quantile of 32.30%. Different contracts like H, IC, IM also had their respective futures - spot spreads and quantiles [1]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: Such as the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts for different varieties, with values and historical quantiles provided. For instance, the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts of a certain variety was - 14.60, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 28.60% and an all - time quantile of 29.30% [1]. - **Cross - variety Ratios**: Ratios like the ratio of IC to IF was 1.5543, with a change of - 0.0049, and 1 - year and all - time historical quantiles of 86.80% and 86.70% respectively [1]. 3.2 Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **Basis**: The basis of different bond futures contracts such as TS, TF, T, TL was reported, along with their values, changes, and historical quantiles. For example, the T basis was 1.5950, with a historical quantile of 54.70% [2]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: Spreads between different contract periods (current - quarter, next - quarter, etc.) of bond futures were given, including values, changes, and historical quantiles. For example, the spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts of TS was 0.0020, with a historical quantile of 21.40% [2]. - **Cross - variety Spreads**: Spreads between different bond futures varieties like TS - TF, TS - T were reported, with values, changes, and historical quantiles [2]. 3.3 Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Futures and Spot Prices**: Domestic and foreign futures closing prices, as well as spot prices of gold and silver, were presented, along with their changes and percentage changes. For example, the AU2512 contract of domestic gold futures closed at 937.00 yuan/gram on November 19, with a 2.01% increase [3]. - **Basis**: The basis between different gold and silver contracts (e.g., gold TD - Shanghai gold futures main contract) was reported, including values, changes, and historical quantiles. For example, the basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold futures main contract was - 2.72, with a historical quantile of 48.50% [3]. - **Ratios and Yields**: Ratios such as COMEX gold/silver and yields of US Treasury bonds (10 - year and 2 - year) were provided, along with their changes and percentage changes. For example, the COMEX gold/silver ratio was 79.86, with a - 0.76% change [3]. 3.4 Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Shipping Indexes**: Settlement price indexes of container shipping (SCFIS for European and US - West routes) and Shanghai export container freight rates (SCFI) were reported, along with their changes and percentage changes. For example, the SCFIS (European route) was 1357.67 points on November 17, with a - 9.78% decrease compared to November 10 [5]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of different container shipping contracts (e.g., EC2602) and their basis were presented, along with changes and percentage changes. For example, the EC2602 (main contract) was 1640.1 on November 19, with a - 2.26% decrease [5]. - **Fundamental Data**: Data on global container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators (port on - time rate, port calls), export balances, and overseas economic indicators (PMI, consumer confidence index) were provided, along with their changes and percentage changes. For example, the global container shipping capacity supply was 3342.26 million TEU on November 19, with a 0.01% increase [5].

| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年11月18日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 价差 | 品中 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | 上期到价差 | -16.65 | 11.09 | 47.90% | 27.20% | | 期现价差 | H期到价差 | -2.87 | 5.15 | 39.30% | 41.40% | | | IC期到价差 | -91 05 | 6.11 | 27:40% | 4.50% | | | IM期到价差 | -128.68 | 2.08 | 65.0096 | 14.30% | | | 次月-当月 | . 14.40 | -0.80 | 29.0096 | 29.60% | | | 李月-当月 | -43.40 | -1.80 | 26.60% | 25.80% | | | 元月-当月 | -82.60 | -0.20 | 22.90% | 22.90% | | IF跨期 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views The reports mainly present the daily price differences, price changes, and relevant data of various financial products including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, and container shipping indices. These data can help investors understand the market trends and relative valuations of different products. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **IF, IH, IC, IM期现价差**: The latest values of IF, IH, IC, and IM期现价差 are -16.65, -2.87, -91.05, and -128.68 respectively, with changes of 11.09, 5.15, 6.11, and 2.08 compared to the previous day. Their historical 1 - year percentiles are 47.90%, 39.30%, 27.40%, and 65.00% respectively, and the full - historical percentiles are 27.20%, 41.40%, 4.50%, and 14.30% respectively [1]. - **IF, IH, IC, IM跨期价差**: Different combinations of IF, IH, IC, and IM跨期价差 show various values, changes, and percentiles. For example, the IF跨期价差 of “次月 - 当月” is -14.40, with a change of -0.80, a historical 1 - year percentile of 29.00%, and a full - historical percentile of 29.60% [1]. - **跨品种比值**: Ratios such as “中证500/沪深300”, “IC/IF” etc. are presented, with corresponding changes and percentiles. For instance, “中证500/沪深300” is 1.5736, with a change of 0.0102, a historical 1 - year percentile of 90.10%, and a full - historical percentile of 67.90% [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **基差**: The latest values of TS, TF, T, and TL基差 are 1.6915, 1.5952, 0.0842, and 1.9316 respectively, with changes of -0.0256, -0.0166, -0.0315, and -0.0414 compared to the previous day. Their percentiles since listing are 32.00%, 42.70%, 52.60%, and 71.30% respectively [3]. - **跨期价差**: Different combinations of TS, TF, T, and TL跨期价差 have different values, changes, and percentiles. For example, the TS跨期价差 of “当季 - 下季” is 0.0640, with a change of 0.0080 and a percentile of 37.50% [3]. - **跨品种价差**: Values and changes of “TS - TF”, “TS - T” etc. are provided. For example, “TS - TF” is -3.4250, with a change of -0.0040 and a percentile of 10.60% [3]. Precious Metals - **期货收盘价**: The 11 - 17 closing prices of AU2512 and AG2512 contracts are 929.46 and 11933 respectively, with changes of -23.74 (-2.49%) and -418 (-3.38%) compared to 11 - 14. The 11 - 17 closing prices of COMEX黄金 and silver主力 contracts are 4045.10 and 50.05 respectively, with changes of -39.30 (-0.96%) and -0.35 (-0.69%) compared to 11 - 14 [5]. - **现货价格**: The 11 - 17 prices of London gold and silver are 4044.51 and 50.18 respectively, with changes of -37.65 (-0.92%) and -0.34 (-0.67%) compared to 11 - 14. The 11 - 17 prices of gold and silver TD are 930.22 and 11970 respectively, with changes of -17.76 (-1.87%) and -356 (-2.89%) compared to 11 - 14 [5]. - **基差**: The values, changes, and historical 1 - year percentiles of “黄金TD - 沪金主力”, “白银TD - 沪银主力” etc. are given. For example, “黄金TD - 沪金主力” is 0.76, with a change from -5.22 and a historical 1 - year percentile of 96.70% [5]. - **比值、利率与汇率、库存与持仓**: Ratios like “COMEX金/银”, “上期所金/银”, interest rates of 10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury bonds, dollar index, and inventory and持仓 data of precious metals are presented with corresponding changes [5]. Container Shipping - **集运指数**: The 11 - 17 values of SCFIS (European route) and SCFIS (US West route) are 1357.67 and 1238.42 respectively, with changes of -147.1 (-9.78%) and -91.3 (-6.87%) compared to 11 - 10. The 11 - 14 values of SCFI综合指数, SCFI (European), and SCFI (US West) etc. are also provided with corresponding changes [7]. - **期货价格及基差**: The 11 - 13 prices of EC2602, EC2604 etc. contracts are presented with changes compared to 11 - 12. The 11 - 13基差(主力) is -125.4, with a change of -11.0 compared to the previous value [7]. - **基本面数据**: Data on global container运力供给, Shanghai port准班率, 港口挂靠情况, monthly出口舍额, overseas economic indicators such as eurozone综合PMI, EU consumer confidence index, US制造业PM指数, and OECD综合领先指标 are provided with their respective changes [7].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report No explicit core view is presented in the provided reports. The reports mainly offer data on various financial products such as stock index futures, bond futures, precious metals, and container shipping, including prices, price changes, and historical quantiles. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **Price and Spread Data**: The report provides current values, changes from the previous day, 1 - year historical quantiles, and all - time historical quantiles for various stock index futures price spreads, including IF, IH, IC, and IM. For example, the IF spot - futures spread is - 27.74, with a 15.60% change from the previous day [1]. - **Cross - variety Ratios**: It also presents cross - variety ratios such as CSI 200/CSI 300, CSI 500/CSI 300, etc., along with their current values, changes, and historical quantiles [1]. Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **Basis and Spread Data**: The report shows basis data for TS, TF, T, and TL bond futures, including current values, changes from the previous day, and historical quantiles since listing. For instance, the TS basis is 1.3494, with a 0.0020 change from the previous day [2]. - **Cross - period and Cross - variety Spreads**: It provides cross - period spreads (e.g., current quarter - next quarter) and cross - variety spreads (e.g., TS - TF) for different bond futures, along with their values, changes, and historical quantiles [2]. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Price Data**: The report includes domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, gold - to - silver ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions for precious metals (gold and silver). For example, the AU2512 contract closed at 953.20 on November 14, down 0.83% from the previous day [3]. - **Basis and Ratio Changes**: It shows changes in basis and gold - to - silver ratios, such as the gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract basis being - 5.22, with a - 2.67 change [3]. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Index and Price Data**: The report provides settlement price indices for container shipping (SCFIS for European and US - West routes), Shanghai export container freight rates, futures prices, and basis for container shipping contracts. For example, the SCFIS (European route) settlement price index was 1504.80 on November 10, up 24.50% from November 3 [5]. - **Fundamental Data**: It includes fundamental data such as global container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators (quasi - on - time rate, port calls), monthly export amounts, and overseas economic indicators (PMI, consumer confidence index) [5].

1. Report Information - Report Title: "Guangqi Black: Iron Ore Basis and Spread Monitoring Daily Report" [1] - Report Date: November 13, 2025 [1] 2. Core Viewpoints - The report provides a daily monitoring of iron ore futures contract prices, spreads, and basis data, along with information on changes in deliverable brands and their associated rules [3][5][10] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Contract Prices and Spreads - Futures Contract Prices: I05 closed at 747.5 yuan/ton, up 10.5 yuan from the previous day; I09 closed at 724.5 yuan/ton, up 7.5 yuan; I01 closed at 774.0 yuan/ton, up 11.0 yuan [3] - Contract Spreads: The I05 - I09 spread was 23.0 yuan/ton, up 3.0 yuan; the I09 - I01 spread was -49.5 yuan/ton, down 3.5 yuan; the I01 - I05 spread was 26.5 yuan/ton, up 0.5 yuan [3] 3.2 Basis Data - Various iron ore varieties' basis data are presented, including today's price, previous day's price, change, delivery cost, today's basis, previous day's basis, and change. Most basis values decreased compared to the previous day [5] 3.3 Changes in Deliverable Brands and Rules - Starting from December 2, 2025, the main iron ore contract is I2205. Four new deliverable varieties (Benxi Concentrate, IOC6, KUMBA, and Ukrainian Concentrate) are added with a brand premium of 0, effective from the I2202 contract [10] - Brand premiums for existing varieties are adjusted. Only PB powder, BRBF, and Carajas powder have a brand premium of 15 yuan/ton, while others are 0 yuan/ton [10] - Quality difference and premium rules for substitutes are modified, including adjusting the allowable range of iron grade and other element indicators, and introducing a dynamic adjustment mechanism for iron element premium values [10] 3.4 Variety Spreads - Multiple variety spreads are provided, such as PB block - PB powder, Newman block - Newman powder, etc. Some spreads increased while others decreased compared to the previous day [12]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given reports. 2. Core Views - The reports present the latest data on various financial products including stock index futures spreads, precious metal futures and spot prices, container shipping industry indices, and related market indicators, offering a snapshot of the market conditions on November 13, 2025 [1][4][6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures Spreads - **IF**: The current - spot spread was -17.91, up 7.46 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 44.60% and an all - time quantile of 25.70%. Different inter - period spreads also showed specific values and changes [1]. - **IH**: The current - spot spread was -1.50, up 0.13, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 46.30% and an all - time quantile of 48.10%. Inter - period spreads had their own values and changes [1]. - **IC**: The current - spot spread was -88.05, up 30.56, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 28.60% and an all - time quantile of 5.30%. Inter - period spreads also had corresponding data [1]. - **IM**: The current - spot spread was -116.58, down 8.14, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 95.00% and an all - time quantile of 16.20%. Inter - period spreads were presented as well [1]. - **Cross - variety Ratios**: Ratios such as CSI 500/CSI 300, IC/IF, etc., showed specific values and changes, along with their historical quantiles [1]. Bond Futures Spreads - **Basis**: TS basis had an IRR of 1.5571, down 0.0174, with a historical quantile of 24.30%. Other bond basis data like TF, T, and TL also had their values and changes [3]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: For different bonds like TS, TF, T, and TL, inter - period spreads had specific values and changes, along with their historical quantiles [3]. - **Cross - variety Spreads**: Spreads between different bond futures such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc., were reported with their values and changes [3]. Precious Metals - **Domestic Futures**: AU2512 contract closed at 945.76 yuan/g on November 12, down 0.33% from the previous day. AG2512 contract closed at 12073 yuan/kg, up 1.62% [4]. - **Foreign Futures**: COMEX gold主力 contract closed at 4201.40, up 1.65%. COMEX silver主力 contract closed at 53.23 dollars/ounce, up 4.22% [4]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold was at 4194.61 dollars/ounce, up 1.68%. London silver was at 53.26 dollars/ounce, up 3.99% [4]. - **Basis**: Gold TD - Shanghai gold主力 had a basis of -1.45, up 0.93, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 74.20%. Silver TD - Shanghai silver主力 had a basis of 19, up 34, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 98.30% [4]. - **Ratios**: COMEX gold/silver ratio was 78.93, down 2.47%. Shanghai Futures Exchange gold/silver ratio was 78.34, down 1.92% [4]. - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.08%, down 1.2%. The US dollar index was 99.48, unchanged [4]. - **Inventory and Positions**: Inventories of gold and silver in domestic and foreign exchanges showed different changes, and ETF positions also had slight changes [4]. Container Shipping Industry - **Indices**: SCFIS (European route) was 1504.80, up 24.50% compared to November 3. SCFI comprehensive index was 1495.10, down 3.59% compared to October 31 [6]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures contracts like EC2602, EC2604, etc., had price changes. The basis of the main contract was 32.7, up 72.9 from the previous day [6]. - **Fundamentals**: Global container shipping capacity supply was 3339.88 million TEU, up 0.04%. Shanghai port on - time rate was 49.08%, up 14.75% [6].