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北京人力(600861):降费提效,业绩稳健
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-02 12:12
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 11.116 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.74%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.94 billion yuan, down 6.58% year-on-year. However, the net profit after deducting non-recurring items increased by 10.25% year-on-year to 1.39 billion yuan. For the first three quarters, revenue reached 33.807 billion yuan, up 1.89% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.007 billion yuan, a significant increase of 57.02% year-on-year, and a 7.94% increase in net profit after deducting non-recurring items to 4.34 billion yuan [2][6][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company demonstrated stable operational performance with a slight decline in Q3 revenue but a modest increase in the first three quarters. The company has maintained a solid business rhythm in its outsourcing, personnel management, and compensation management services, showcasing its advantages in expanding new clients and maintaining relationships with existing major clients [2][11]. Profitability - In Q3, the overall gross margin remained stable with a slight decrease, while the sales and management expense ratios improved significantly, leading to a year-on-year increase in net profit after deducting non-recurring items. The gross margin was 5.71%, down 0.17 percentage points year-on-year. The sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios changed by -0.13, -0.35, +0.04, and +0.05 percentage points year-on-year, respectively. The reduction in sales and management expense ratios is attributed to the company's continuous improvement in internal digitalization and optimization of expense management [2][11]. Strategic Outlook - The company is committed to a strategic direction of "market-oriented, professional, digital, and international," leveraging its strong professional service capabilities, unique ecological resource advantages, and rich data asset value. The company aims to align with "world-class and top domestic" development principles, focusing on stability while actively promoting refined operations to enhance operational efficiency and reduce operational costs, thereby achieving continuous and steady revenue growth [2][11]. Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.097 billion yuan, 1.054 billion yuan, and 1.142 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 9.68, 10.07, and 9.30 times [2][11].