Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue and net profit showing significant year-on-year growth, driven by the success of cream products and the restaurant channel [1][4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.07 billion yuan, up 16.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 171 million yuan, up 26.24% year-on-year [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue reached 1.02 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.4% year-on-year increase, while net profit was 82 million yuan, marking a 40.84% year-on-year growth [1][2]. Product Performance - In H1 2025, frozen baked goods generated revenue of 1.13 billion yuan, a 6.08% increase year-on-year, while baking ingredients saw revenue growth of over 30% [1]. - The cream and sauce product lines experienced nearly 40% growth in Q2 2025, driven by the UHT cream series [2]. Channel Performance - In H1 2025, revenue distribution by channel was approximately 50% from bakery, 30% from supermarkets, and 20% from restaurants, with restaurant revenue growing by about 40% year-on-year [2]. - The restaurant channel showed a significant acceleration in growth, nearly 70% year-on-year in Q2 2025, due to increased orders from core clients and new customer acquisitions [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 30.4%, with a slight decline due to changes in channel and product mix, as well as rising raw material costs [3]. - The net profit margin improved to 8.0% in Q2 2025, reflecting effective cost management and a shift towards lower-cost direct sales channels [3]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued revenue growth in the second half of 2025, particularly in the bakery channel, supported by new product launches and seasonal demand [4]. - The company has locked in most raw material prices to manage cost pressures, while ongoing efficiency improvements are expected to enhance profitability [4]. Investment Recommendation - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 4.42 billion, 5.06 billion, and 5.73 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 350 million, 430 million, and 510 million yuan, indicating strong growth potential [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 18.072 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.80%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 417 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.26%. However, the net profit excluding non-recurring items decreased by 9.81% to 391 million yuan [5][11] - In the second quarter of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 10.711 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 18.84%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 236 million yuan, down 9.66%, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items fell by 11.88% to 217 million yuan [5][11] - The company’s air conditioning business generated approximately 11.575 billion yuan in revenue, growing by 36.18%, while the refrigerator business saw a decline of 4.10% to 4.545 billion yuan. The washing machine segment grew by 32.70% to 1.040 billion yuan [11] - The company’s gross profit margin decreased by 0.37 percentage points to 10.44% in the first half of 2025, with the air conditioning segment's gross margin improving by 0.24 percentage points to 6.98% [11] - The company is expected to benefit from structural opportunities in the industry, with projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 being 772 million yuan, 856 million yuan, and 945 million yuan respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 10.84, 9.78, and 8.86 times [11]