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金沃股份(300984):点评报告:25年业绩中枢同比预增87%,丝杠、绝缘轴承套圈有望打开空间
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-01-17 15:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Insights - The company expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a range of CNY 0.46-0.52 billion, which represents a year-on-year growth of 76%-99%, with a midpoint of CNY 0.49 billion, indicating an 87% increase [2] - The company has received approval for a private placement to raise up to CNY 7.21 billion, aimed at expanding its production capacity and enhancing its manufacturing capabilities [3] - The company is positioned to benefit from the high growth in the humanoid robot sector, with expectations of a market demand exceeding CNY 300 billion by 2030 [5] Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of CNY 12.7 billion, CNY 15.6 billion, and CNY 18.4 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 23%, and 18% [7] - The projected net profit for 2025 is CNY 0.49 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 85% from 2024 to 2027 [7] - The company's sales profit margin is expected to improve, with a year-on-year increase of 1.5 percentage points anticipated in the first half of 2025 [4] Business Segments - The company is focusing on the humanoid robot market, which is expected to see explosive growth, particularly in key components like planetary roller screws, with a projected CAGR of 141% from 2025 to 2030 [5] - The insulated bearing sleeve business is progressing well, with the global market expected to reach CNY 1.38 billion in 2026 and CNY 6.907 billion by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 166% [6]