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鼎捷数智(300378):收入平稳增长,AI赋能打开长期天花板
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-10-30 08:48
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company is experiencing stable revenue growth, with AI capabilities opening up long-term growth potential. The expected net profit for 2025-2027 is revised to 171 million, 206 million, and 258 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.63, 0.76, and 0.95 yuan per share. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 81.6, 67.7, and 54.0 times for the respective years [4][5] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.614 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.63%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 51.088 million yuan, up 2.40% year-on-year. The net cash flow from operating activities reached 35.5289 million yuan, a significant increase of 117.85% year-on-year, indicating a substantial improvement in operating cash flow [5] - Revenue from different segments includes 91 million yuan from R&D and design, a 7.39% increase; 877 million yuan from digital management, a 2.88% increase; 247 million yuan from production control, a 13.28% increase; and 390 million yuan from AIoT, a 3.50% decrease due to a focus on high-margin products [6] AI Integration and Future Outlook - The company is enhancing the integration of AI technology with its industrial software products, expanding its application matrix. AI applications have been incorporated into ERP, PLM, and BI systems, with several AI intelligent suite beta versions validated and deployed in mainland China. The company is also advancing its Athena digital native platform and developing various AI intelligent products for key areas such as supply chain collaboration and factory automation, indicating promising future performance [7] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The projected financial metrics for 2023A to 2027E include: - Operating revenue: 2,228 million, 2,331 million, 2,481 million, 2,815 million, and 3,237 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.7%, 4.6%, 6.5%, 13.5%, and 15.0% respectively - Net profit attributable to the parent company: 150 million, 156 million, 171 million, 206 million, and 258 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.3%, 3.6%, 9.7%, 20.6%, and 25.3% respectively - EPS: 0.55, 0.57, 0.63, 0.76, and 0.95 yuan [8][10][11]