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连续性血液净化管路
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山外山(688410):业绩高速增长,期待耗材放量
Guotou Securities· 2025-11-04 05:04
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating with a 6-month target price of 22 yuan, which corresponds to a dynamic price-to-earnings ratio of 44 times for 2025 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 61.66% year-on-year for Q3 2025, reaching 227 million yuan, while net profit surged by 205.5% to 49 million yuan, driven by a recovery in industry procurement activities and an increase in market share [2][4]. - The company has been focusing on the development and layout of blood purification consumables, achieving a 91.9% year-on-year growth in self-produced consumables revenue, amounting to 65 million yuan by mid-2025 [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023A, the main revenue is projected at 690 million yuan, with net profit at 194 million yuan and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.61 yuan. The revenue growth rate is expected to be 80.7% [9]. - The forecast for 2025E includes a main revenue of 801 million yuan, net profit of 160 million yuan, and an EPS of 0.50 yuan, with a net profit growth rate of 125% [9]. - The company anticipates revenue growth rates of 41.2%, 29.6%, and 26.5% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profit growth rates of 125%, 31.3%, and 30.7% during the same period [4][9].