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【东吴电新】钧达股份:钧达股份收购卫星整星总体企业巡天千河母公司60%股权
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 10:21
加大算力卫星研发,战略空间广阔。将巡天千河打造为国内行业前三,目标占据国内卫星市场10%–20%份额;扩团队、扩产 能、引战略股东(运营商、互联网、政府等)、加大算力卫星研发。1)遥感星:服务水利、电力、边境、部委等,成本下行 驱动需求爆发。2)通信星:预计星网与垣信两大星座合计规划约 4-5万颗卫星,公司已成为星网的合格供应商并承担验证星 研制,后续计划采取主动垫资、'带轨交付'的策略,以快速抢占后续批量订单。3)算力星:打造自主方案,钧达+光机所负 责能源,巡天千河负责整星,院所/高校配套发射与算力芯片。算力星座起步规模为近4000颗,目标至少达到5000颗以上。 4)海外:聚焦中东、东南亚、一带一路,首颗中东卫星已签约在研。 盈利预测:巡天千河核心团队来自八院,技术实力雄厚,是全链条自研卫星公司;钧达+巡天千河+尚翼合作,强强联合,可 加速产能扩建及新技术验证,推动中国通感遥卫星发射提速及算力卫星研发。我们维持预计公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别 为-12.7/4.7/10.4亿元。基于公司电池片行业地位稳固,且海外产能本地化布局有望带来新增长极,维持"买入"评级。 风险提示:竞争加剧、原材料价格 ...
钧达股份(002865):钧达股份收购卫星整星总体企业巡天千河母公司60%股权
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-09 09:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for JunDa Co., Ltd. is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - JunDa Co., Ltd. has acquired a 60% stake in the satellite company XunTian QianHe, which covers the entire chain of satellite development, communication, remote sensing, data processing, and system integration [7] - The core team has strong capabilities with over 50 satellite orders in hand and aims to produce hundreds of satellites annually through automation [7] - The company plans to enhance its satellite computing power research and aims to capture 10%-20% of the domestic satellite market [7] - Profit forecasts indicate a net profit of -1.27 billion in 2025, followed by 471 million in 2026 and 1.04 billion in 2027, reflecting a recovery trend [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 18.657 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 60.90% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 815.64 million in 2023, with a growth rate of 13.77% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 2.79 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 30.22 [1] - The company anticipates a significant drop in revenue in 2024 to 9.952 billion, followed by a gradual recovery in subsequent years [8]