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东北证券:四大因素将助推太空算力高景气 建议关注能源材料等三个方向
智通财经网· 2025-12-30 02:46
传统卫星主要定位于数据采集以及转发终端,其价值在于获取和传输数据;算力卫星作为"太空AI大 脑",可在轨完成数据智能处理,解决传统模式传输量大、时效性差的痛点,实现从"天感地算"向"天数 天算"的范式跃迁,利用太空优势破解地面AI数据中心面临的瓶颈。 算力卫星组网,规模部署在即 相较于地面数据中心,太空数据中心可利用低成本的太阳能供电,依托模块化部署模式快速组网,拓展 规模几乎不受物理条件限制,商业逻辑坚实,中美已启动布局。 智通财经APP获悉,东北证券发布研报称,太空算力本质是近地轨道分布式太空数据中心。该行认为四 大因素将助推太空算力高景气:1)政策驱动;2)经济效益驱动;3)应用场景驱动;4)可复用火箭+新材料 驱动。太空算力赛道正从技术验证走向规模化部署兑现,产能释放是驱动价值跃升的关键变量,建议关 注三个方向:1)能源材料;2)抗辐射材料/芯片;3)热管理材料。 该行认为四大因素将助推太空算力高景气 东北证券主要观点如下: 1)政策驱动:11月国家航天局发布的《推进商业航天高质量安全发展行动计划(2025—2027年)》。国家 通过准入松绑、千亿级基金支持等政策托举算力卫星技术攻关与场景开拓。2)经 ...
商业航天走出主升浪行情!卫星ETF(159206)近五日资金净流入超6亿元!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 02:42
12月10日,卫星ETF(159206)冲击5连涨。成分股中科星图(688568)领涨,航宇微(300053)、盟升电子(688311)、航天电子 (600879)等个股跟涨。 机构表示,算力卫星作为算力新基建,全球产业化进程逐步推进,国内政策细则出台引领。海外来看,科技巨头争相布 局,太空算力逐渐成为共识。国内来看,算力星座发射加速,产业化进程加快。国家政策来看,国家航天局印发《国家航 天局推进商业航天高质量安全发展行动计划(2025-2027年)》,细则进一步明确。建议关注算力卫星相关标的。 卫星ETF(159206)聚焦商业航天+卫星通信,有望在"航天强国"背景下率先爆发。卫星ETF(159206)也是全市场首支的 卫星ETF,其联接基金A类024194,C类024195。 注:卫星ETF(159206)成立日期为2025/3/6,早于同类产品,卫星ETF同类指追踪国证商用卫星通信产业指数的所有ETF 基金。 基金有风险,投资需谨慎。本文所包含的分析基于各种假设,不同假设可能导致分析结果出现重大不同。在任何情况下, 本文中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。 以上内容与数据,与有连云立场无关 ...
政策利好推动指数止跌!跨年行情来临,还有哪些投资机会?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 07:29
算力卫星作为算力新基建,全球产业化进程逐步推进,国内政策细则出台引领。海外来看,科技巨头争相布局,太空算力逐渐成为共识。国内来看,算力星 座发射加速,产业化进程加快。国家政策来看,国家航天局印发《国家航天局推进商业航天高质量安全发展行动计划(2025-2027年)》,细则进一步明 确。建议关注算力卫星相关标的。 在居民存款搬家持续演绎、机构投资者加大入市力度、全球资本流向重塑叠加政策工具护航下,A股市场仍将受益于流动性向上逻辑。当前A股估值处于相 对合理区间,从全球主要权益市场比较来看仍处于中等偏低水平。2026年,盈利有望接棒估值,成为市场聚焦的关键点。预计上市公司基本面延续改善态 势,中国经济转型的深化与新兴产业的持续发展将成为盈利增长的关键驱动力,PPI降幅收窄也有望带动企业利润率水平进一步回升。同时,关注美国中期 选举、地缘风险、国内经济修复节奏等因素的阶段性扰动。2026年,A股市场有望呈现出向上动能。 在经历年内一轮强势上涨后,医药板块的上行势头近期有所放缓,"翻倍基"数量也明显收缩。数据显示,三季度医药主题基金一度出现翻倍数量的阶段性高 点,但截至11月28日仅剩两只产品维持年内翻倍收益。近三个 ...
商业航天司正式成立!政策指引下商业航天有望迎来高质量发展,跟踪同指数规模最大的卫星ETF广发(512630)盘中最高涨超2%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 03:56
Group 1 - The establishment of the "Commercial Space Administration" by the National Space Administration aims to regulate and manage the commercial space industry, overseeing key processes such as launch approvals and operational licenses [1] - The action plan for promoting high-quality and safe development of commercial space from 2025 to 2027 aims to achieve significant advancements in the commercial space sector by 2027 [1] - The launch of a new generation of space perception satellites will begin in the first half of next year, with plans to deploy 156 satellites to create a global near-Earth orbit detection network [1] Group 2 - The maturity of reusable rockets in China is expected to lower launch costs and enhance satellite production capacity, leading to a rapid growth phase for the satellite industry chain [1] - The acceleration of satellite constellation launches and the introduction of domestic policy details are driving the industrialization of computing satellites, which are becoming a new infrastructure for computing [1] - The rapid development of satellite internet is anticipated to facilitate applications such as direct satellite connections for mobile phones and Beidou messaging services, aligning with the construction of 6G networks [2] Group 3 - The satellite ETF from Guangfa closely tracks the CSI Satellite Industry Index, which focuses on the upstream satellite industry and includes 50 listed companies across various satellite-related sectors [3] - The index's components are primarily concentrated in the computer, electronics, and communication equipment industries, reflecting the core competitiveness and overall development of China's satellite industry [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 59.23%, with significant gains observed in stocks such as Aerospace Microelectronics and Guokai Microelectronics [2][3]
光启技术涨停,通用航空ETF南方(159283)强势涨超2%,国家航天局设立商业航天司,我国商业航天高质量发展有望加速
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 02:41
Core Viewpoint - The establishment of a dedicated regulatory body for commercial aerospace by the National Space Administration of China marks a significant step towards promoting high-quality development in the commercial aerospace industry, which is expected to benefit the entire industry chain [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Southern General Aviation ETF (159283) rose by 2.26%, with a turnover of 5.72% and a transaction volume of 8.1561 million yuan [1]. - The CSI General Aviation Theme Index increased by 1.99%, with notable gains from constituent stocks such as Leike Defense (up 10.05%), Guangqi Technology (up 10.01%), and Huali Chuantong (up 4.73%) [1]. Group 2: Policy Developments - The National Space Administration has recently established a Commercial Aerospace Department, which will gradually develop related businesses, indicating a structured approach to the commercial aerospace sector [1]. - The action plan for promoting high-quality and safe development in commercial aerospace (2025-2027) has been released, aiming to integrate commercial aerospace into the national aerospace development framework and enhance overall aerospace development efficiency [2]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The acceleration of commercial aerospace construction is expected to facilitate the widespread adoption of applications such as satellite direct connection for mobile phones and Beidou messaging [2]. - The issuance of satellite internet licenses marks a critical step towards commercial operation in China's satellite internet sector, which is anticipated to drive the entire industry chain towards scaling up [2]. - The development of computing satellites as a new infrastructure is progressing globally, with domestic policies guiding the acceleration of satellite constellation launches [2].
航宇微20CM涨停,卫星产业ETF(159218)成交超8000万!中信证券疾呼:关注算力卫星!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 02:22
Core Insights - The satellite sector is experiencing significant growth, with the satellite industry ETF (159218) rising by 2.04% as of 10:03 AM on December 1, indicating strong market interest and trading activity [1] - The ETF's trading volume reached over 84 million CNY, with a turnover rate of 12.52%, reflecting increased investor engagement [1] - The report from CITIC Securities highlights the global industrialization of computing satellites and the acceleration of domestic satellite constellation launches, driven by supportive national policies [2] Industry Overview - The satellite industry ETF (159218) is the first ETF tracking the CSI Satellite Industry Index, including top companies across satellite manufacturing, launching, and navigation communication applications [3] - Key component stocks of the ETF include Aerospace Electronics, China Satellite, Huace Navigation, China Satcom, and others, representing a diverse range of upstream and downstream enterprises in the satellite sector [3] Policy and Market Trends - The National Space Administration has issued a plan for the high-quality and safe development of commercial space from 2025 to 2027, providing clearer guidelines for the industry [2] - Major technology companies are increasingly investing in space computing, indicating a growing consensus on the importance of space computing capabilities [2]
组网与技术日益清晰,卫星互联预计将密集发射
Tebon Securities· 2025-08-19 05:36
Investment Strategy - The report indicates that China's satellite internet is entering a phase of intensive launches, with multiple satellite constellation plans advancing. The recent successful launches by China Star Network and the procurement announcement by Yuanxin Satellite are expected to drive demand in the industry [5][12][17] - The trend of laser networking has emerged, with computational satellites expected to enhance adaptive routing algorithms. China's technology reserves are not lagging behind, and the development of adaptive routing algorithms using machine learning and AI is seen as a key area for improving network performance [5][13][20] - Infrastructure for commercial launches is becoming increasingly robust, with reusable rockets set to be tested soon. The payload capacity of some Chinese rockets is approaching that of SpaceX's Falcon 9, which may lead to a synergistic development with accelerated satellite launches [5][14][15] Industry News - China successfully launched the low Earth orbit 08 group of satellites on August 13, marking the eighth batch of the China Star Network's GW constellation. This launch demonstrates China's capability for high-frequency launches, with a nine-day interval since the last launch [5][16] - The three major telecom operators in China reported stable performance in the first half of 2025, with China Telecom's revenue reaching 271.5 billion yuan, China Unicom's at 200.2 billion yuan, and China Mobile's at 543.8 billion yuan. The growth in their second curve businesses is expected to provide ongoing growth momentum for the companies and the downstream industry [5][17] - Kyivstar, Ukraine's largest telecom operator, completed a direct device connection test with Starlink, planning to commercialize the service in Q4. This test validates the feasibility of satellite mobile connectivity services in overseas markets [5][18][19] - Major AI companies are increasing their token consumption, with OpenAI's GPT-5 and xAI's Grok 4 being made available for free to users. This trend is expected to accelerate the demand for computational power in the AI sector [5][20] Weekly Review and Focus - The communication sector saw a 7.11% increase this week, outperforming major indices. Key areas of growth included IDC and optical modules, with respective increases of 12.90% and 10.04% [5][21] - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the satellite internet and commercial aerospace sectors, highlighting companies such as Aerospace Universe, Mengsheng Electronics, and others [5][25]
星链卫星坠落,低轨卫星新型基础设施价值凸显
Tebon Securities· 2025-06-16 07:18
Investment Strategy - The satellite sector is showing a trend of "East rising, West falling," indicating that China may achieve a latecomer advantage in low Earth orbit satellites. The number of Starlink satellites falling has increased significantly, with 316 expected to fall in 2024, compared to only 2 in 2020. This trend correlates with heightened solar activity [12][16] - The "computing satellite" sector is emerging as a new avenue, with China potentially holding a first-mover advantage. The "Star Computing" plan aims to establish a space-based computing network with 2,800 satellites, while the "Three-body Computing Constellation" will achieve a total computing power of 1,000 POPS [13][14] - Four key advantages are expected to establish satellites as a new type of infrastructure: universal connectivity, high-speed communication, large-scale user access, and safety and reliability. Satellite internet can provide access in remote areas, with latency as low as 20-50 milliseconds and peak speeds reaching 500 Mbps [14][15] Industry News - Starlink satellites have been falling at an increasing rate, with over 500 reported to have fallen between 2020 and 2024. This trend provides valuable insights for China's satellite development, helping to avoid similar risks in the future [16][17] - China Mobile has initiated a procurement project for 170,000 data center switches, with Huawei and ZTE among the winning bidders. This reflects ongoing investments in infrastructure to support AI demand [17][18] - China Mobile has successfully launched a trusted data space project for data annotation, which aims to support various sectors including smart vehicles and healthcare, marking a shift towards a more skill-intensive data industry [18][19] - China Post has successfully conducted long-distance cargo transport using fixed-wing drones, marking a significant breakthrough in low-altitude logistics [19] Market Review and Focus - The communication sector saw a slight decline of 0.5% this week, with notable performances in optical modules and low-altitude economy sectors. The satellite internet sector is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity [20][21] - Recommended stocks for next week include companies involved in satellite internet, such as Aerospace Universe and Tianyin Machinery, as well as long-term focus on major telecom operators like China Mobile and China Telecom [24]