国泰海通证券研报指出，海光信息是国内领先的高端处理器厂商，产品覆盖通用处理器（CPU）和协处 理器（DCU）。曙光X640性能出色，或加速国产卡训练场景突破，海光DCU芯片加速多场景拓展，业 绩预计快速增长。考虑到国内AI需求加速增长，伴随国产替代趋势增强，业绩有望加速成长。维持公 司2025/2026/2027年EPS为1.36/2.92/4.49元。参考可比公司PE估值，考虑到公司营收、净利润规模与寒 武纪接近，给予其2026年120倍PE，上修目标价至350.4元，维持"增持"评级。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [5][21]. Core Views - The performance of Shuguang X640 is outstanding and is expected to accelerate breakthroughs in domestic training scenarios, while Haiguang DCU chips are expanding applications across multiple scenarios, leading to rapid growth in performance [2][12]. - The company is a leading domestic high-end processor manufacturer, with products covering general processors (CPU) and co-processors (DCU). The accelerating growth in domestic AI demand, coupled with the trend of domestic substitution, is expected to drive significant growth in performance [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 6,012 million in 2023 to 40,426 million in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 27.7% [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 1,263 million in 2023 to 10,439 million in 2027, with a CAGR of about 53.6% [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.54 yuan in 2023 to 4.49 yuan in 2027 [4]. Market Data - The target price for the company's stock is set at 350.40 yuan [5]. - The stock has a market capitalization of 471,841 million yuan and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 373.53 at the current price [6][4]. Performance Drivers - The Shuguang X640 features high computing density and strong compatibility with mainstream AI computing software, which is expected to enhance the performance of domestic chips in large model training scenarios [12]. - Haiguang DCU chips are facilitating the establishment of AI computing centers in various sectors, including oil and gas, electricity, and telecommunications, indicating a broad application of the technology [12].

Core Viewpoint - The recent decision by Haiguang Information to terminate the acquisition of Shuguang Co. reflects a strategic choice influenced by the current high valuation cycle in the AI chip and computing power industry, rather than a failure in technical collaboration or increasing conflicts of interest [1][19][37] Group 1: Market Context - The AI chip and computing power industry in China has entered a rare valuation uplift period, with significant price increases and market enthusiasm for AI hardware technology [1][19] - Companies like Cambrian and Moer Thread have seen substantial stock price increases, with Cambrian's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reaching 4.607 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2386% [2][21] - Moer Thread's stock surged 425.46% on its debut, reflecting high market expectations despite its current losses [4][22] Group 2: Haiguang's Position - Haiguang Information, as a mature CPU manufacturer, possesses high technical barriers and significant replacement potential, making it attractive in the current market [7][25] - The company's stock price rose from 136.13 yuan per share in May to 219.3 yuan by December 9, 2025, indicating a 61% increase in market capitalization [6][25] Group 3: Reasons for Termination - The termination of the merger was influenced by concerns from Haiguang's shareholders about the dilution of its technology value and the potential shift from a "scarce technology" valuation to a "hardware engineering" model [8][26] - The differing business models and profit structures of Haiguang and Shuguang create challenges in merging their valuations, as Haiguang focuses on high R&D and long-term growth, while Shuguang operates in a more traditional hardware engineering space [9][27] Group 4: Strategic Implications - Maintaining independence allows Haiguang to fully benefit from its unique valuation and enhances its negotiating power for future capital operations [8][26] - The relationship between Haiguang and Shuguang is characterized by strong collaboration rather than dependency, allowing both companies to pursue their strategic goals without being constrained by a merged capital structure [14][32] Group 5: Future Outlook - The decision to remain independent is seen as a rational choice that aligns with industry trends, enabling both companies to innovate and collaborate more effectively in the evolving AI infrastructure landscape [19][37] - The flexibility gained from this strategic "unbinding" may lead to increased innovation and cooperation opportunities within the domestic CPU and computing power ecosystem [19][37]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock performance that will exceed the market index by more than 15% over the next six months [9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.464 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 45.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.201 billion yuan, up 40.78% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company's main business, which includes the development, design, and sales of high-end processors, is progressing well, with a notable expansion in the market for high-end processors [6][7]. - The company is undergoing a strategic merger with Zhongke Shuguang, which is expected to enhance its capabilities in the integrated chip and server market, promoting the domestic chip industry's growth [7]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.064 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.66% [6]. - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 696 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 23.14% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 37.49% [6]. - R&D expenses for the first half of 2025 amounted to 1.711 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.68%, with R&D expenses accounting for 31.31% of revenue, a decrease of 5.84 percentage points compared to the same period last year [6][7]. Business Development - The company’s CPU series is compatible with the x86 instruction set and major operating systems, providing high performance, good compatibility, and high security, making it widely applicable across various industries [6][7]. - The DCU series, based on GPGPU architecture, is primarily deployed in server clusters or data centers, supporting high-performance computing tasks in big data processing and artificial intelligence [6][7]. - The ongoing expansion of the company's high-end processor market presence is supported by deepening collaborations with original equipment manufacturers and ecosystem partners [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock performance that will exceed the market index by more than 15% over the next six months [7]. Core Insights - The company, Haiguang Information (688041.SH), reported a revenue of 5.464 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 45.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.201 billion yuan, up 40.78% year-on-year [2][4]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 3.064 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.15% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.66%, with a net profit of 696 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.14% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 37.49% [4]. - The demand for domestic high-end chips continues to rise, with the company expanding its market presence through deeper collaborations with OEMs and ecosystem partners [4]. - The company’s main business involves the research, design, and sales of high-end processors, including CPUs and DCUs, which are widely used across various industries such as telecommunications, finance, and education [4][5]. - The report highlights a strategic merger plan with Zhongke Shuguang, aiming to create a closed-loop industry chain from chip production to cloud services, enhancing the integration of domestic information industry resources [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.464 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.201 billion yuan, with significant growth rates of 45.21% and 40.78% respectively [2][4]. - The second quarter results showed a revenue of 3.064 billion yuan and a net profit of 696 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 41.15% and 23.14% respectively [4]. Business Development - The company’s main products include high-end processors that are compatible with x86 instruction sets and widely applicable in various sectors, supporting both high-end and mid-range server applications [4]. - The report notes a decrease in the proportion of R&D expenses relative to revenue, with R&D investment reaching 1.711 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 24.68% [4]. Strategic Outlook - The planned merger with Zhongke Shuguang is expected to enhance the company's capabilities in the domestic market, facilitating the large-scale application of domestic chips in various sectors [5]. - Earnings per share are projected to be 1.26 yuan and 1.76 yuan for 2025 and 2026 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 113 times and 81 times [5][6].

Summary of Key Points Group 1: Unlocking Scale and Impact - In August, 112 listed companies in A-shares will face unlocking, with a total market value of 517.205 billion yuan, significantly higher than the unlocking values of June and July, which did not exceed 290 billion yuan [1][2] - The unlocking value in August is the highest for the remaining months of the year, with September, October, November, and December estimated at approximately 284.1 billion yuan, 364.6 billion yuan, 148.3 billion yuan, and 384.2 billion yuan respectively [1] - The major contributor to the unlocking scale is Haiguang Information, with an unlocking value of 198.054 billion yuan, accounting for 38.3% of the total unlocking value for the month [1][2] Group 2: Significant Companies and Their Unlocking Values - Among the 112 companies, 50 have unlocking values exceeding 1 billion yuan, with Haiguang Information, Runze Technology, and United Imaging Medical leading the way [2] - The total unlocking value of the top seven companies, including Xugong Machinery and Dazhu CNC, exceeds 366.6 billion yuan, representing 70.88% of the total unlocking for August [2] - Xugong Machinery has the highest unlocking quantity at 3.569 billion shares, which is 30.37% of its total share capital, with a current unlocking yield of 68.7% [2][3] Group 3: High Unlocking Ratios and Their Implications - A significant number of companies have a high proportion of unlocking shares, with 35 companies having unlocking ratios exceeding 30%, and 13 companies exceeding 60% [3] - Dazhu CNC has the highest unlocking ratio at 84.39%, followed by Hualan Vaccine at 76.37% [3] - Haiguang Information's unlocking includes 1.438 billion shares, which is 61.85% of its total share capital, marking the first unlocking of original shareholders' restricted shares since its IPO [3] Group 4: Performance of Specific Stocks - Kema Technology has the highest unlocking yield at 575.5%, with a total unlocking of 86.5827 million shares valued at 4.679 billion yuan [4] - Other semiconductor companies like GeKongwei and Jiangbolong also have unlocking values exceeding 10 billion yuan, with Jiangbolong unlocking 1.55 billion shares valued at 13.6 billion yuan [4] - The unlocking of shares from strategic placement shareholders in Kema Technology includes significant holdings from companies like Zhongwei and Tuojing Technology [4] Group 5: Trends in Financing and Market Performance - Among the 18 stocks with unlocking shares from private placements, 14 have positive yields, with Runze Technology, Leshan Power, and Nanya New Materials leading with yields of 384.56%, 170.06%, and 215.27% respectively [6] - Runze Technology's stock price has increased by 114% since 2022, with a significant unlocking of 1.075 billion shares valued at 51.8 billion yuan [6] - The semiconductor sector is experiencing heightened interest, with several companies seeing substantial stock price increases due to market trends [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - The merger between Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang marks a significant event in the A-share market, driven by government policies supporting mergers and acquisitions, aiming to strengthen the information technology industry [1][2]. Company Summaries Haiguang Information - Haiguang Information, established in 2014, is a leading domestic CPU processor chip design company, having formed a joint venture with AMD in 2016 to gain access to high-end CPU technology and x86 instruction set [1][2]. - The company was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board in August 2022, with its main products including x86-compatible general-purpose processors and GPGPU-based co-processors, primarily used in data center infrastructure [1][2]. - Haiguang's market capitalization is approximately 316.4 billion yuan, and it has experienced a stock price increase of over 90% in the past year, driven by rapid growth in the AI computing sector [3]. Zhongke Shuguang - Zhongke Shuguang, founded in 2006 and listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 2013, specializes in data center rack servers and integrated solutions related to data center operations [2]. - The company ranks around 5th to 6th in the Chinese server market, holding approximately 10% market share, with major competitors like Inspur and Huawei dominating the market [2]. - Zhongke Shuguang is the largest shareholder of Haiguang Information, holding about 28% of its shares, indicating a strong pre-existing business relationship [2]. Industry Insights - The computing power industry has seen rapid growth in domestic demand over the past two years, with Haiguang's DCU products ranking highly in the procurement of computing chips for intelligent data centers [3]. - The merger is expected to enhance Haiguang's production capabilities and expand its market reach through Zhongke Shuguang's established sales channels [3]. - The recent revision of the "Major Asset Restructuring Management Measures" and various government policies encourage industry consolidation, particularly among leading companies [2]. Future Trends - The semiconductor industry in China is witnessing a trend towards consolidation, with over 200 listed semiconductor companies, indicating a potential for mergers between listed firms and acquisitions of unlisted companies to enhance competitiveness and manage existing assets [4].