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“十五五”,中国量子科技开启新周期
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-30 12:36
Core Insights - The United Nations has officially designated 2025 as the "International Year of Quantum Science and Technology," coinciding with the centenary of quantum mechanics [1] - The recent Nobel Prize in Physics awarded to scientists in superconducting quantum circuits highlights the significant advancements in quantum technology, indicating a transformative era for the industry [2] Industry Developments - Quantum technology is expected to address complex problems that classical computers cannot solve, with potential applications in drug development, materials science, and financial modeling, potentially creating trillions of dollars in economic value [2] - Major tech companies like Microsoft and Google are making significant strides in quantum computing, with Microsoft announcing a new topology quantum processor and Google achieving a milestone in running verifiable algorithms on hardware [2] - China is emerging as a key player in the quantum technology sector, with substantial government support and a growing number of companies like GuoDun Quantum and Benyuan Quantum making progress [2][3] Market Trends - The Chinese quantum computing market is experiencing explosive growth, with the market size projected to increase from RMB 0.24 billion in 2019 to RMB 50.21 billion in 2023, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 281.79% [6] - A strategic fund led by China Guoxin Holdings has been established with an initial fundraising target of RMB 51 billion, emphasizing quantum technology as a key investment area alongside AI and high-end equipment [4] Challenges and Opportunities - Despite the high growth potential, the quantum computing sector faces challenges in commercializing research outcomes, with many companies struggling to generate sustainable revenue [7][8] - The integration of quantum computing with classical computing is seen as a promising path forward, with companies like NVIDIA exploring hybrid computing solutions [10][11] Future Outlook - The industry is shifting focus from achieving "quantum supremacy" to delivering practical value to customers, with ongoing collaborations between quantum startups and academic institutions to tackle real-world problems [12][13] - The success of quantum computing will depend on building a robust software and application ecosystem, with expectations for significant breakthroughs in the near future [14]