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上海港湾(605598):商业航天业务推进顺利 钙钛矿电源技术将得到持续验证
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 14:38
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.13 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.64%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 79 million yuan, down 27.25% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin experienced a temporary decline, but the main business cash flow significantly increased [1] - The company’s subsidiary, Shanghai Fuxi Xinkong, is expanding its gallium arsenide solar wings and validating perovskite power technology, with successful launches of satellites powered by new energy systems [1][2] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 314 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.15% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 12 million yuan, down 64.93% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 25.54%, a decrease of 5.07 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Operating cash flow for the first three quarters and Q3 of 2025 was 65 million yuan and 57 million yuan, respectively, compared to -72 million yuan and -57 million yuan in the same periods of 2024, indicating a positive turnaround [1] Industry Trends - The "strong aerospace nation" concept was introduced in the 15th Five-Year Plan, accelerating the development of commercial aerospace [2] - Domestic satellite launches have entered a phase of mass production, with companies like Changguang Satellite planning to launch 300 satellites by the end of 2027 [2] - The emergence of private rocket companies is expected to enhance domestic launch capabilities, addressing high costs and low frequency of launches, thereby accelerating the low-orbit satellite networking process [2] Investment Outlook - Projected revenues for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.831 billion yuan, 2.139 billion yuan, and 2.552 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 183 million yuan, 237 million yuan, and 302 million yuan [2] - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is expected to be 40X, 31X, and 24X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [2]