丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨建筑与工程 [Table_Title] 为什么我们持续看好上海港湾 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 近期商业航天板块关注度高。看好商业航天产业趋势。我国多个航天发射基地正在（或已部分 完成）火箭可回收系统基础设施建设，与基建对应，我国多款可回收火箭进入试飞阶段，此外， 中国计划形成数量超过万颗的卫星组网系统，包括千帆星座、国网 GW 星座、鸿鹄-3 等大型星 座计划。商业航天在基建+技术进步+需求的三重催化下的产业趋势值得充分重视。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490520080022 SAC：S0490522060005 SAC：S0490525070008 SFC：BUT917 张弛 张智杰 袁志芃 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 建筑与工程 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 为什么我们持续看好上海港湾 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 近期商业航天板块关注度高。 事件评论 ⚫ 看好商业航天产业趋势。我国多个航天发射基地正在（或已部分完 ...

1、2025年3月6日微信公众号发布，作为A股主板上市公司上海港湾基础建设（集团）股份有限公司下 属控股子公司，伏曦炘空依托集团雄厚的技术实力和积累，在商业航天能源领域走出了一条创新之路。 伏曦炘空专注于为客户提供轻、廉、高效的空间能源系统解决方案及产品研发服务。其技术团队汇聚了 航天院所、中科院及高校精英，均有着15年以上航天工程经验，确保伏曦炘空能够为卫星、探测器等空 间飞行器提供低成本高性能的能源系统。公司能源系统产品，已成功保障15颗卫星成功发射，所有产品 在轨工作正常。 2、根据2025年7月11日投资者关系活动记录表：公司旗下控股子公司上海伏曦炘空科技有限公司，聚焦 卫星、空间飞行器、无人机等领域的能源需求，专注于为客户提供轻量化、低成本、高性能的空间能源 系统解决方案，并深度参与关键产品研发服务。在技术落地与市场应用层面，该公司已取得显著成果： 其能源系统产品成功助力 15 颗卫星发射入轨，40 余套卫星电源系统、太阳帆板及结构机构持续在轨稳 定运行，充分验证了产品的可靠性与稳定性。2025年上半年，该公司卫星电源系统业务呈现快速增长态 势，订单储备丰盈且增速亮眼，已构建起"研发创新-工程验证– ...

Summary of Shanghai Port Bay Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: Shanghai Port Bay, focusing on commercial aerospace and space power systems through its subsidiary Shanghai Fuxi Starry Sky Technology Co., Ltd. [2][3] - **Industry**: Commercial aerospace, specifically in satellite power systems and solar energy technology. Key Points and Arguments - **Product Performance**: Shanghai Fuxi's core power systems have supported 19 successful satellite launches, with 49 satellite power systems and solar panels operating in orbit with zero faults. [2][3] - **New Orders**: In the first half of 2025, the company secured new orders worth 34.02 million yuan, participating in multiple national satellite constellation projects, covering nearly 21 leading commercial aerospace companies. [2][3] - **Patents and Technology**: The company holds 19 core patents related to commercial aerospace energy systems and focuses on space-grade perovskite power generation technology, which has been validated in harsh environmental tests. [2][5] - **Production Capacity**: In 2023, the company launched a space-grade solar cell production line and a flexible solar array assembly line, enabling short-cycle mass delivery to meet the rapid development needs of commercial aerospace. [2][5] - **Market Share**: The complete satellite power system accounts for approximately 15% of the total satellite value, with major clients including Changguang Satellite and Time Space Path. [2][7] - **Competitive Advantage**: The perovskite solar cells offer high cost-performance and stable power generation, with four related verification satellites currently operating in orbit. [2][9] - **Team and Incentives**: The core team holds a 20% stake, expected to reach 30%, with ongoing stock incentive plans to ensure long-term stability. [4][12] Additional Important Insights - **International Expansion**: The company is actively exploring overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Europe, and is participating in international airshows to facilitate overseas orders. [4][14] - **Future Production Plans**: The production line is expected to support a revenue of 100 million yuan, with plans for rapid expansion to meet increasing order volumes. [15] - **Technological Development**: The company anticipates that perovskite technology will gradually enter the industrialization phase in the coming years, although challenges remain in scaling up production and addressing energy bottlenecks. [9][19] - **Market Trends**: The U.S. market is exploring new aerospace-grade solar materials, which may provide opportunities for the company to enter their supply chain if sufficient in-orbit verification data is accumulated. [13][14] - **Optimistic Outlook**: The company maintains a positive outlook for future development, expecting a return to normal profit levels in its main business by 2026, despite current domestic market challenges. [20][21]

来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 12月5日，上海港湾涨停，成交额6.23亿元，换手率5.56%，总市值115.37亿元。 异动分析 卫星导航+商业航天+土壤修复+一带一路+人民币贬值受益 1、根据2025年7月11日投资者关系活动记录表：公司旗下控股子公司上海伏曦炘空科技有限公司，聚焦 卫星、空间飞行器、无人机等领域的能源需求，专注于为客户提供轻量化、低成本、高性能的空间能源 系统解决方案，并深度参与关键产品研发服务。在技术落地与市场应用层面，该公司已取得显著成果： 其能源系统产品成功助力 15 颗卫星发射入轨，40 余套卫星电源系统、太阳帆板及结构机构持续在轨稳 定运行，充分验证了产品的可靠性与稳定性。2025年上半年，该公司卫星电源系统业务呈现快速增长态 势，订单储备丰盈且增速亮眼，已构建起"研发创新-工程验证–成功交付"的良性发展闭环。目前，公司 同步推进卫星电源系统的技术研发与场景应用，核心产品关键指标通过航天级严苛环境测试，服务覆盖 二十余家卫星总体单位，合作客户包括长光卫星、钧天航宇、时空道宇、星河动力、蓝箭鸿擎、西光航 天、上光通信等行业标杆企业，形成多领域、多层次的优质客户矩阵。 2、2025年3 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Port Bay has seen a significant increase in stock price, rising by 5.42% with a trading volume of 658 million yuan and a turnover rate of 7.24%, leading to a total market capitalization of 9.372 billion yuan [1] Group 1: Company Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Shanghai Port Bay achieved a revenue of 1.13 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.64%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 27.25% to 79.203 million yuan [9] - The company has a revenue composition where foundation treatment accounts for 64.93%, pile foundation engineering 19.49%, and other services 15.58% [9] - The company has distributed a total of 1.02 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 95.9198 million yuan distributed over the past three years [10] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively involved in soil remediation and green infrastructure projects along the Belt and Road Initiative, contributing to local ecological improvements and sustainable development [2][4] - Shanghai Port Bay's subsidiary, Shanghai Fuxi Xinkong Technology Co., focuses on providing lightweight, low-cost, and high-performance energy systems for satellites and space vehicles, having successfully supported the launch of 15 satellites [3] Group 3: Market Position and Trends - The company has a strong international presence, with overseas revenue accounting for 83.01% of total revenue, benefiting from the depreciation of the yuan [5] - The company has established a robust customer base, collaborating with over 20 satellite organizations and industry leaders, indicating a diversified and stable market position [3]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Maintain "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The main business is under pressure, but the growth potential of satellite business is promising [5] - The company reported a revenue of 1.13 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.64%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 27.25% [7] - New orders signed in the first three quarters totaled 1.136 billion yuan, down 39.38% year-on-year, with overseas orders accounting for 74.31% [7] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 26.53%, a decrease of 7.96 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The satellite business is steadily developing, focusing on low-orbit satellite internet and space energy systems, with significant order growth expected in the second half of the year [7] Financial Summary - Revenue Forecast: 1.277 billion yuan in 2023, 1.297 billion yuan in 2024, and 1.580 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 44.33%, 1.51%, and 21.89% respectively [6] - Net Profit Forecast: 174 million yuan in 2023, 93 million yuan in 2024, and 118 million yuan in 2025 [6] - Earnings per Share (EPS): Expected to be 0.38 yuan in 2024, 0.48 yuan in 2025, and 0.54 yuan in 2026 [6] - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: 42.37 in 2023, 79.73 in 2024, and expected to decrease to 38.76 by 2027 [6]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.13 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.64%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 79 million yuan, down 27.25% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin experienced a temporary decline, but the main business cash flow significantly increased [1] - The company’s subsidiary, Shanghai Fuxi Xinkong, is expanding its gallium arsenide solar wings and validating perovskite power technology, with successful launches of satellites powered by new energy systems [1][2] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 314 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.15% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 12 million yuan, down 64.93% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 25.54%, a decrease of 5.07 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Operating cash flow for the first three quarters and Q3 of 2025 was 65 million yuan and 57 million yuan, respectively, compared to -72 million yuan and -57 million yuan in the same periods of 2024, indicating a positive turnaround [1] Industry Trends - The "strong aerospace nation" concept was introduced in the 15th Five-Year Plan, accelerating the development of commercial aerospace [2] - Domestic satellite launches have entered a phase of mass production, with companies like Changguang Satellite planning to launch 300 satellites by the end of 2027 [2] - The emergence of private rocket companies is expected to enhance domestic launch capabilities, addressing high costs and low frequency of launches, thereby accelerating the low-orbit satellite networking process [2] Investment Outlook - Projected revenues for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.831 billion yuan, 2.139 billion yuan, and 2.552 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 183 million yuan, 237 million yuan, and 302 million yuan [2] - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE) is expected to be 40X, 31X, and 24X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes its commitment to high-quality development and strategic internationalization while expanding into emerging industries, particularly in commercial aerospace through its subsidiary [5] Financial Data - The financial report for the third quarter is unaudited, and the company has not reported any significant changes in its financial indicators [3][6] - The total new orders signed during the reporting period amounted to 1.136 billion yuan, with 74.31% from overseas and 25.69% from domestic markets [5] Shareholder Information - The report includes details on the number of shareholders and the status of major shareholders, although specific changes in shareholding are not applicable [4] Investor Communication - The company will hold a performance briefing on November 13, 2025, to discuss the third-quarter results and address investor questions [10][11] - Investors can submit questions in advance from November 6 to November 12, 2025, through the designated online platform or via email [14]

Core Insights - The company is strategically expanding into the commercial aerospace satellite energy system sector, establishing a second growth curve through its subsidiary, Fuxi Xinkong, which focuses on lightweight, low-cost, and high-efficiency space energy solutions [1] - The company has secured new orders worth 34.02 million yuan during the reporting period and is actively pursuing overseas pilot projects in Southeast Asia and the Middle East [1][6] Group 1: Company Developments - The company has launched a subsidiary, Fuxi Xinkong, to focus on commercial aerospace, specifically in satellite and spacecraft energy systems [1] - The energy systems have successfully supported the launch of 16 satellites and are currently in stable operation for over 40 satellite power systems and solar panels [1] - The company is involved in significant satellite constellation projects, including Jilin-1 and others, serving over 20 satellite manufacturers [1] Group 2: Product Innovations - Fuxi Xinkong's product range includes various types of perovskite solar cells, flexible foldable solar wings for satellites, and power control modules, covering all aspects of satellite power systems [2] - The company has established a complete supply chain for space-grade perovskite solar cells and has passed rigorous space environment tests for its core products [2] - A new production line for space-grade perovskite solar cells and flexible solar arrays has been launched, with a production area of 6,500 square meters [2] Group 3: Market Trends - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a rapid growth phase, with increased satellite launches and a focus on low-cost satellite solutions [4] - The satellite IoT business is entering a commercial trial phase, which is expected to enhance satellite application growth [5] - The satellite constellation system is capable of supporting 340 million communications daily, with a user capacity of 20 million globally [6] Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 1.831 billion yuan in 2025, 2.139 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.552 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits expected to be 183 million yuan, 237 million yuan, and 303 million yuan respectively [6] - The company is rated with a PE of 38, 29, and 23 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [6]

Core Insights - The company showcased strong development momentum and strategic layout in the commercial aerospace energy sector during the 2025 Shanghai-listed companies collective reception day [1] - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and new orders, particularly in overseas markets, indicating a positive growth trajectory [2] Group 1: Business Progress - The company’s subsidiary, Shanghai Fuxi Xinkong Technology Co., Ltd., has established a complete development loop from R&D innovation to engineering verification and successful delivery [1] - The core energy system products have supported the successful launch of 16 satellites, with over 40 satellite power systems and solar sails currently operating stably in orbit [1] - The company has received or authorized 19 core patents related to commercial aerospace energy systems, enhancing its technological moat [1] Group 2: Market Expansion - The company is deeply involved in several national and industry-level satellite constellation projects, including the Changguang Satellite "Jilin-1" remote sensing satellite constellation [1] - The customer base has expanded to over 20 satellite system units, including several industry benchmark enterprises [1] - The company’s market strategy focuses on both stabilizing existing partnerships and expanding into emerging regions such as Southeast Asia and the Middle East [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 816 million yuan, a substantial year-on-year increase of 29.34% [2] - The company signed new orders totaling 837 million yuan in the same period, with overseas markets contributing significantly, amounting to 591 million yuan [2] - The company’s overseas business is showing a positive upward trend as infrastructure demands in related countries continue to be released [2]