钙钛矿1m×2m叠层组件

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协鑫科技(3800.HK):短期业绩承压 颗粒硅核心优势强化 静待行业拐点
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-22 19:01
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry chain is experiencing significant price declines in 2024, leading to short-term pressure on company performance, with a projected revenue drop of 55.2% year-on-year to 15.1 billion yuan and a net loss of 4.75 billion yuan compared to a profit of 2.51 billion yuan in the previous year [1][2] Group 1: Company Performance - The company has demonstrated strong resilience operationally, achieving a continuous reduction in losses quarter-on-quarter since Q2 2024 [1] - The company's polysilicon sales increased by 24.7% year-on-year to 282,000 tons, with granular silicon production rising by 32.2% [1] - Granular silicon market share increased from 12.1% at the beginning of 2024 to 25.8% by February 2025, with over 40% application ratio among top clients, indicating strong product competitiveness [1] Group 2: Cost and Profitability - The cash cost of granular silicon has significantly decreased, averaging 33.52 yuan/kg in 2024 and dropping to 27.14 yuan/kg by early 2025, showcasing a notable industry-leading advantage [1] - The proportion of high-quality products has risen to over 95%, effectively supporting the demand for N-type products [1] Group 3: New Business Developments - The company has made significant breakthroughs in perovskite research, achieving a conversion efficiency of 26.36% for 1m×2m stacked components, which is globally leading [1] - The production cost of perovskite cells is 50% lower than that of crystalline silicon cells, and the product has received certification from TÜV Rheinland [1] Group 4: Financial Health - The company completed a lightning placement and issued convertible bonds at the end of 2024, raising over 700 million USD for R&D and to navigate through the industry cycle [2] - The net debt ratio remains at a healthy level of 24.7% [2] Group 5: Future Profit Projections - The company forecasts net profits of -496 million yuan, 839 million yuan, and 2.17 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 89.6%, 269.0%, and 158.8% respectively, with corresponding EPS of -0.02, 0.03, and 0.08 yuan [2]