港股开盘，恒生指数高开1.06%，恒生科技指数高开1.31%。协鑫科技高开超14%，消息面上，协鑫科技 拟就RWA的全球发行与太保资管香港达成战略合作。 ...

中央财经委员会第六次会议将"无序竞争"问题提上议程，明确提出加快落后产能退出，推动行业向高质 量方向发展。 工信部于7月3日召集制造业重点企业召开座谈会，部领导强调要加强产品质量、提升产业结构效能，并 推动行业进入有序、可持续发展通道。 东吴证券发布研报称，2025年全球光伏装机预计达610GW（同比+13%），但中国因抢装后增速放缓， 海外新兴市场贡献主要增量。供给侧政策引导行业自律，反内卷措施或推动价格上行。该行重点推荐高 景气度方向；供给侧改革受益、成本优势明显的硅料龙头、渠道优势强的组件龙头和优势辅材龙头等新 技术龙头。 智通财经APP获悉，广期所发布关于调整工业硅、多晶硅期货部分合约交易手续费标准的通知。 广期所：经研究决定，自 2025 年 7 月 21 日交易时起，对部分期货合约交易手续费标准作出如下调整： 工业硅期货 SI2509 合约的日内平今仓交易手续费标准调整为成交金额的万分之一。多晶硅期货 PS2508 合约的交易手续费标准调整为成交金额的万分之二，日内平今仓交易手续费标准调整为成交金额的万分 之二。多晶硅期货 PS2509 合约的交易手续费标准调整为成交金额的万分之一点五，日内平今仓 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the strategic cooperation memorandum signed between GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited and China Pacific Insurance (601601) Investment Management (Hong Kong) Limited to develop infrastructure for real-world asset (RWA) tokenization solutions [1] - The collaboration aims to promote the adoption of compliant digital asset products and services, including the development of stablecoin applications and integration of decentralized finance [1]

近期在政策聚焦与市场关注下，沉寂多年的光伏板块得益于"反内卷"风口，久违地迎来了修复上涨行 情。部分坚守光伏赛道的主动权益类基金净值迅速反弹，比如知名基金经理陆彬管理的多只产品净值近 三周累积涨幅均在20%以上，位居全市场前列。 在6月的调研活动中，多家光伏龙头公司表示，目前光伏行业面临阶段性供需失衡、能源政策调整等诸 多挑战，总体仍然处于深度调整的阶段。在研究机构看来，推动产业链价格回升是实现光伏行业"反内 卷"的有效措施和重要一步。但只有在严控落后产能复产的前提下，市场供需关系出现实质性改善，产 业链价格才能具备进一步回升的能力。 ● 本报记者 王鹤静 长期"坚守"迎来净值修复 在"反内卷"等供给侧改革措施的推动下，公募基金曾经的"心头好"——光伏板块沉寂多时后迎来了久违 的上涨。 2020年至2022年，汇丰晋信基金陆彬、广发基金郑澄然等知名基金经理都曾在光伏为代表的新能源板块 大行情中收获颇丰，并且跻身百亿基金经理行列。伴随着此后产业的发展变化，对这一板块的坚守反而 给相关基金产品的净值带来了拖累。但得益于近期光伏板块的反弹，这些基金产品净值迎来了显著修 复。 Wind数据显示，6月23日至7月14日 ...

证券研究报告 公用事业 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 07 月 13 日 证券分析师 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 戴映炘 SAC：S1350524080002 daiyingxin@huayuanstock.com 邱达治 SAC：S1350525050001 qiudazhi@huayuanstock.com 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——大能源行业 2025 年第 28 周周报（20250713） 豆鹏超 doupengchao@huayuanstock.com 储能招投标延续高增，光伏"反内卷"或助板块反弹 投资要点： | | | 投资分析意见：目前光伏制造业困境原因主要有 2 点：下游需求预期不明以及上游 产能过剩。各地 136 号文落地后，光伏需求预期有望明确，进而可以更好引导上游 "反内卷"方案实施，光伏行业需求和供给双重矛盾有望同时好转，行业基本面有 改善趋势。当前建议关注供给过剩且最有可能形成自救方案的硅 ...

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is expected to accelerate towards mass production due to breakthroughs in AI technology and increasing domestic and international enterprise layouts, with strong demand for domestic replacement of core components [12][15] - The domestic new energy vehicle (NEV) market is experiencing rapid growth, with production and sales in June exceeding 25% year-on-year, driven by technological advancements in vehicle performance [16][18] - The photovoltaic industry chain has seen a significant price increase across the board, with policies promoting orderly competition and a solidified industry foundation [24][29] - The approval of the UK's 1.5GW Mona offshore wind project marks a significant advancement in the European offshore wind sector, with expectations for further auctions and orders in the second half of the year [25][27] Humanoid Robots - The humanoid robot sector is witnessing increased participation from major tech companies, with a focus on the T-chain and domestic supply chain developments, indicating a robust market opportunity [12][15] - Key components such as dexterous hands and lightweight materials are expected to see significant advancements, enhancing the efficiency and application of humanoid robots [13][15] New Energy Vehicles - The NEV sector is in a growth phase, with new models enhancing performance and cost-effectiveness, supported by advancements in solid-state batteries and other technologies [16][18] - The demand for lithium battery materials is expected to expand due to the recovery of the consumer electronics market and the growth of energy storage applications [20][22] Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a price surge due to supply chain adjustments and policy support, with specific beneficiaries identified in the silicon material and battery sectors [24][29] - The market is expected to stabilize as inventory levels decrease and production capacity is adjusted, with a focus on high-efficiency products and new technologies [30][32] Offshore Wind Power - The approval of the Mona offshore wind project is anticipated to stimulate further developments in the offshore wind sector across Europe, with domestic companies poised to benefit from upcoming orders [25][27] - The demand for offshore wind components is expected to rise, driven by both domestic and international projects, creating opportunities for companies involved in the supply chain [43][45]

作者 | 独行侠 数据支持 | 勾股大数 据（www.gogudata.com） 自7月1日召开中央财经委员会后，多晶硅期货市场反应最为迅猛。 短短八个交易日，主力合约价格从3.2万元暴力拉涨至4.1万元上方，累计涨幅近30%。商品期货有11倍左右的杠杆，实际回报可能超300%， 而期权市场更为暴力，深度虚值期权涨幅超100倍的也不少见。 股票市场反应要比期货更慢，涨幅也明显小一些。一来，股票参与方包括众多机构、散户等，不像期货市场基本全是专业机构，定价迅速有 效。二来，股票除受产品价格影响外，还与大盘行情、市场情绪等多方面有关。 不过，通威股份、协鑫科技、大全能源等多晶硅龙头在8个交易日内依旧大涨了23%以上。行且至今，市场对接下来多晶硅龙头的表现又有不 少分歧了。 01 目前，市场对光伏要进行供给侧改革，已经没有偏见与分歧了。但对于接下来的产能出清进展、价格上涨空间依旧抱有怀疑。 第一，产能出清节奏。 有人认为，高层定调要反内卷，下面根据这个方针制定具体细则，还要跟企业沟通、组织开会，听取各方意见，到最后 落地公布，一般快则几个月，慢则一年。 上一次供给侧改革是2015年11月提出的，而煤炭、钢铁产能出清 ...

Group 1 - The top three companies with the highest short positions are WuXi AppTec (22.57%), CATL (17.76%), and COSCO Shipping Holdings (14.27%) [1][2] - The companies with the largest absolute increase in short positions are Alibaba Health (4.45%), China Liansu (2.54%), and Hong Kong Travel (2.02%) [1][2] - The companies with the largest absolute decrease in short positions are Far East Horizon (-1.62%), ZhongAn Online (-1.55%), and Rongchang Biologics (-1.32%) [1][3] Group 2 - The latest short position data shows that WuXi AppTec has 87.35 million shares, CATL has 27.69 million shares, and COSCO Shipping Holdings has 411 million shares [2] - Alibaba Health's short position increased from 6.97% to 11.42%, while China Liansu's increased from 0.61% to 3.15% [2] - Far East Horizon's short position decreased from 4.43% to 2.82%, and ZhongAn Online's decreased from 7.43% to 5.88% [3][4]

如何看待反内卷进程？ 当前光伏投资机会展望 20250710 摘要 Q&A 光伏行业目前的供给侧改革进展如何？ 多晶硅行业通过 CPI 年度大会及月度例会，对企业生产配额进行管控， 旨在恢复产业链报价并降低开工率，类似于 OPEC 模式，通过行政手段 干预市场供需关系。 协鑫科技提出产能并购整合方案，通过金融机构支持，头部公司联合并 购低效产能，以实现产能出清和可控，该方案已获政府确认并推进。 近期多晶硅价格显著上涨，n 型居民料报价从 33.5 元/公斤上涨至 40 元 /公斤，预计本周内最高报价可能达到 45 元/公斤，安泰科对报价的严格 要求进一步支撑价格上涨趋势。 光伏需求总体稳定，地面电站需求受集中式项目企稳支撑，工商业分布 式项目自发自用未受政策影响，海外需求预计自 7 月起环比复苏，出口 退税取消政策亦有助推作用。 2025 年 7 月全行业多晶硅排产为 10.4 万吨，环比小幅上升，主要由于 云南地区丰水期产能复产，预计八九月份西南、西北地区部分产能将持 续复产。 哪些光伏标的值得关注？ 多晶硅价格未来几个月的走势如何？ 多晶硅价格预计将继续上涨。根据 SMM 官方报价，上周 n 型居民料报价 ...

Group 1 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a meeting on July 3 to discuss the photovoltaic industry, emphasizing the implementation of the Central Financial Committee's decisions to promote a unified national market [1] - The photovoltaic glass industry is responding positively to the "anti-involution" policy, with the top ten domestic photovoltaic glass manufacturers planning to collectively reduce production by 30% starting in July [1][2] - As of June 29, the industry has a silicon material inventory of approximately 400,000 tons, which is sufficient to meet two months of downstream demand [1] Group 2 - The price of 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass has reached a historical low of 10.5-11 yuan per square meter, potentially below the cash costs of leading companies, leading to significant losses for second-tier companies [2] - To avoid intensified competition among photovoltaic glass companies and prevent a vicious market cycle, most glass manufacturers plan to reduce production starting in July, with an industry-wide initiative targeting a 30% reduction [2] - According to Guangfa Securities, the current market conditions will rely more on market-driven measures for supply contraction, with outdated production capacity largely eliminated during the previous downturn [2] Group 3 - Related Hong Kong stocks in the photovoltaic industry include GCL-Poly Energy (03800) and New Special Energy (01799) [3] - Photovoltaic glass-related Hong Kong stocks include Fuyao Glass (06865), Kaisa New Energy (01108), Rainbow New Energy (00438), and Xinyi Solar (00968) [3]