长征十二号甲)
Search documents
中信建投证券:预计我国可回收火箭年内迎来密集试飞 更好满足卫星发射需求
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-12 02:31
Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities predicts that China's reusable rockets will undergo intensive test flights by 2026, which will help reduce launch costs and increase launch frequency to better meet the surging demand for satellite launches [1] Group 1: Reusable Rocket Development - By 2025, China successfully completed the maiden flights of two reusable rockets, Zhuque-3 and Long March 12A, with both launches achieving success [1] - Further technological iterations and validations are needed for the recovery of the first stage of these rockets [1] - It is expected that around 10 models of reusable rockets will be ready for their maiden or recovery flights by 2026, with some models anticipated to achieve successful recovery [1] Group 2: Launch Frequency and Infrastructure - The gradual construction and utilization of domestic commercial rocket launch sites, along with the improvement of related support systems, are expected to shorten the rocket test flight cycle [1] - The total number of launches in 2026 is projected to exceed 100, up from 92 launches in 2025, laying a solid foundation for the normalization of reusable rocket launches and enhancing satellite transportation capacity [1]
开源证券:卫星产业迎来组网加速、成本拐点的黄金窗口期
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 01:37
Group 1 - The satellite industry is experiencing significant growth, particularly in the upstream satellite manufacturing and launch segments, which are benefiting first from the low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite network peak [1][3] - The investment opportunities in the satellite sector are characterized by strong market potential, robust policy support, accelerated technological iteration, and expanded application scenarios, making it a strategic investment opportunity [1][3] - The current commercial space sector is witnessing a rapid acceleration, indicating that now is an optimal time to invest in the satellite industry [1] Group 2 - The frequency of low Earth orbit satellite launches in China has significantly increased this year, particularly in the satellite internet sector, with a notable "three launches in seven days" achievement [2] - The successful launch of the reusable rocket Zhuque-3 marks a milestone in China's space endeavors, indicating a substantial reduction in satellite launch costs and rapid growth in the commercial space sector [2] - The satellite industry is poised for substantial growth, with the market space targeting trillions due to the competition for frequency resources, transitioning from an "investment incubation period" to a "profit realization period" [3] Group 3 - The satellite industry is driven by dual forces of policy and technology, with top-level policy design and industry support facilitating the competition for low Earth orbit satellites [3] - Key technological breakthroughs, including rocket recovery, satellite mass production, and innovations in materials and communication technology, are essential for reducing launch costs and increasing launch frequency [3] - The expansion of application scenarios, including military and civilian uses, is crucial for the mid-to-late stage growth of the satellite market, with applications rapidly extending from government/military to consumer and industry levels [3]