Core Viewpoint - The domestic chemical market is expected to face an oversupply in 2025, with prices of various chemical products hitting new lows in November, indicating a weak market driven primarily by macroeconomic factors rather than crude oil prices [1][8]. Market Trends - The chemical market experienced fluctuations from January to March, with a peak in January followed by a decline due to geopolitical tensions and tariff impacts, leading to a low opening after the Spring Festival [3][4]. - In the second quarter, the market was heavily influenced by U.S. tariffs and trade tensions, resulting in significant volatility, with a brief recovery in June due to positive trade negotiations [5]. - The third quarter saw a weak overall market, but a slight recovery was noted due to domestic supply-side reforms and the elimination of outdated production capacity [7]. - The fourth quarter continued to reflect weak demand against high supply, with a notable decline in prices across multiple chemical products, although a slight rebound was expected towards the end of December [8]. Price Movements - As of November 18, 2025, 116 out of 131 monitored chemical products had decreased in price since the beginning of the year, representing 89% of the total, while only 15 products saw price increases [8]. - The leading price increase was observed in the sulfur market, with a rise of 2,420 yuan/ton (+156.13%), while products like SEBS and butadiene experienced significant declines of -26.44% and -39.69%, respectively [9]. Profitability - Most chemical products are operating at marginal or negative profit margins, with many experiencing increased losses compared to the beginning of the year, indicating a challenging operational environment for chemical companies [8].