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思源电气(002028)2025年中报点评:出海持续兑现 备货准备旺季
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 00:35
Core Insights - The company reported strong financial performance for H1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit [1][2][4] Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 8.497 billion, a year-on-year increase of 37.80%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.293 billion, up 45.71%; and net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.236 billion, an increase of 47.04% [1] - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 5.270 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 50.21%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 846 million, up 61.53%; and net profit excluding non-recurring items was 799 million, an increase of 59.97% [1] Profitability - The company's gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 31.74%, remaining stable year-on-year; the net profit margin was 15.64%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points [2] - In Q2 2025, the gross profit margin was 32.61%, up 0.07 percentage points year-on-year; the net profit margin was 16.43%, an increase of 1.18 percentage points [2] Inventory and Market Strategy - The company increased its inventory to 4.715 billion for H1 2025, a year-on-year rise of 35.61%, primarily due to increased orders [2] - The company is preparing for a delivery peak in the second half of the year by actively stocking up [2] International Market Performance - In H1 2025, overseas revenue reached 2.862 billion, a year-on-year increase of 88.91%, with international sales accounting for 33.68% of total revenue, a record high [3] - The gross profit margin for overseas markets was 35.69%, up 1.87 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company has identified significant opportunities for infrastructure upgrades in developed regions and new construction in underdeveloped areas [3] New Product Development - The automotive electronics segment generated revenue of 45.45 million in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 216.58% [4] - The company is focusing on expanding its product offerings in automotive electronics and flexible direct current transmission [4] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing domestic and international grid construction, with projected revenues of 20.26 billion, 24.81 billion, and 30.09 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 31%, 22.5%, and 21.3% [4] - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 2.65 billion, 3.43 billion, and 4.07 billion, with expected growth rates of 29.5%, 29.2%, and 18.9% [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 30, 23, and 20 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]