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中诚信国际宏观资讯双周报-20260120
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji· 2026-01-20 08:16
Economic Insights - India's government plans to lift restrictions on Chinese companies participating in government contract bidding, potentially opening a market valued at $750 billion[9] - South Korea's economy shows signs of recovery for three consecutive months, with industrial production increasing by 0.9% and service sector production rising by 0.7% in November[13] - Australia's inflation rate in November was 3.4%, down from 3.8% in October, but still above the central bank's target of 2% to 3%[15] - Egypt's inflation rate stabilized at 12.3% in December, creating potential for further interest rate cuts in 2026[18] Investment and Growth Projections - The UAE's economy is projected to grow by 5% in 2026, outpacing major global economies, driven by diversification and non-oil sector development[20][21] - Turkey's minimum wage will increase by 27% to 28,075 lira (approximately $655) in 2026, although it remains below the poverty line[22][23] - Indonesia's fiscal deficit in 2026 may exceed the legal limit of 3%, reaching 3.5% of GDP due to increased welfare spending[25][26] Sovereign Credit Ratings - Fitch upgraded Benin's sovereign credit outlook to positive, maintaining a B+ rating, reflecting strong economic growth prospects and prudent fiscal policies[43][44] - Fitch also upgraded Armenia's sovereign credit outlook to positive, maintaining a BB- rating, supported by increased international reserves and stable growth[45]