高级驾驶辅助系统ADAS

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伯特利(603596):制动为基品类扩张,海外提供重要增量
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-09-19 11:05
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Buy" rating for the company for the first time [2][45]. Core Views - The company has a strong foundation in the braking industry and is rapidly expanding its intelligent electronic control business, which is expected to drive significant revenue growth [7][45]. - The company is diversifying its product offerings based on its core braking business, with ongoing international expansion expected to contribute significantly to revenue [7][45]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been deeply engaged in the braking market for over 20 years and has established itself as a leading domestic manufacturer [11]. - The main business segments include mechanical braking, intelligent electronic control, and mechanical steering [15]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 51.64 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 30% [7][19]. - The intelligent electronic control segment's revenue share has increased significantly, from 27% in 2020 to 47% in 2024, while mechanical braking's share has decreased from 72% to 46% during the same period [18]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 128.2 billion yuan, 160.4 billion yuan, and 193.9 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 14.1 billion yuan, 17.2 billion yuan, and 21.1 billion yuan [6][41]. - The company expects to maintain a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29% in revenue from 2025 to 2027 [6]. Product Expansion and Internationalization - The company is expanding its product categories based on its braking technology, including steering and suspension systems, and has developed three ADAS solutions [29][33]. - The company has successfully entered international markets, initially supplying General Motors and later expanding to other major clients like Stellantis and Volvo [36][37]. Valuation and Comparables - The report provides a relative valuation analysis, comparing the company with peers such as Desay SV and Top Group, with projected PE ratios for 2025-2027 at 22.7, 18.6, and 15.2 times, respectively [6][46].