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宁德时代(300750):电池龙头地位稳固,海外工厂进展顺利
Guotou Securities· 2025-10-24 15:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 401.65 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 376.45 CNY as of October 23, 2025 [5][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 283.07 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.28%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 49.03 billion CNY, up 36.20% year-on-year. In Q3 2025 alone, the revenue reached 104.19 billion CNY, a 12.90% increase year-on-year and a 10.62% increase quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 18.55 billion CNY, reflecting a 41.20% year-on-year growth [1][4]. Market Position - The company maintains a stable market share in both global and domestic markets, holding a 36.8% share globally and a 42.75% share domestically as of September 2025. The domestic share of ternary power batteries is 70.78%, while the share of lithium iron phosphate batteries is 36.47% [2]. Product Development - The company is advancing in both power and energy storage sectors, with the sodium-ion battery recently passing national standards, becoming the first of its kind globally. The commercial vehicle sector is experiencing rapid growth, with an electrification rate of 23%. The company is also enhancing its heavy-duty truck battery-swapping ecosystem [3]. Operational Performance - In Q3 2025, the total shipment of power and energy storage batteries reached nearly 180 GWh, with energy storage batteries accounting for about 20%. The company is on track with its overseas factory construction, particularly in Hungary, which is expected to be completed by the end of 2025 [4]. Financial Forecast - The revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted to 446.23 billion CNY, 536.86 billion CNY, and 636.28 billion CNY, respectively. The net profit forecasts for the same period are 70.87 billion CNY, 91.63 billion CNY, and 110.78 billion CNY, corresponding to P/E ratios of 24.0, 18.6, and 15.4 [11][12].