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华鑫证券:首次覆盖潮宏基给予买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-07 05:20
Investment Highlights - The company launched a collaboration series with "Butter Bear," which gained significant attention, including being featured on the cover of the Chinese version of "Figaro" magazine, leading to a sell-out of limited edition products and a record-breaking online presence during the launch [1] - The company is effectively targeting the young consumer market by creating a differentiated IP matrix and enhancing product value through emotional resonance, which drives consumer engagement and social sharing [1] Sales and Expansion - The company has experienced significant growth in average store sales, with a product repurchase rate reaching 60% in the first half of 2025, and stable performance in overseas stores [2] - The company plans to open over 150 new stores this year, including 10 in overseas markets, indicating strong expansion potential and a robust partnership with franchisees [2] Profit Forecast - The company is positioned as a brand targeting young, fashionable consumers, leveraging strong product design capabilities and cultural integration to create potential blockbuster products [3] - Future earnings are projected to be substantial, with estimated EPS of 0.56, 0.70, and 0.86 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 29, 23, and 19 times at the current stock price [3]
潮宏基(002345):公司动态研究报告:终端销售逆势高增,门店扩张稳步推进
Huaxin Securities· 2025-08-07 02:22
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][7]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated significant growth in terminal sales and is steadily expanding its store network, with a projected net increase of over 150 stores for the year, including 10 new stores in overseas markets [6]. - The launch of the "Butter Bear" collaboration series has successfully captured consumer attention, achieving record sales and engagement, particularly among younger demographics [5]. - The company is positioned to benefit from a strong product design capability and a differentiated brand targeting young, fashion-conscious consumers, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of 0.56, 0.70, and 0.86 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7][9]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company's stock price is currently at 16.44 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 146 billion yuan and a 52-week price range of 4.07 to 17.39 yuan [2]. Sales and Expansion - The average sales per store continue to show high growth, with a product repurchase rate of 60% in the first half of 2025, indicating strong customer loyalty [6]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts a revenue growth rate of 21.7% in 2025, with expected revenues of 7,933 million yuan, and a significant rebound in net profit projected at 500 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 158.3% [9][10]. - The report anticipates a gradual increase in return on equity (ROE) from 5.3% in 2024 to 20.9% by 2027, indicating improving profitability [9][10].