齿轮/变速箱

Search documents
龙溪股份(600592):节轴承隐形冠军,有望充分受益人形机器人发展机遇
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-16 06:46
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company is a leading manufacturer of joint bearings, benefiting from the growth opportunities in humanoid robotics [1][4]. - The joint bearing market is a niche with high technical barriers, and the company holds over 75% market share in China [2][3]. - The company has established itself as a core supplier for humanoid robots, with significant growth potential in this sector [4][3]. Company Overview - The company has over 60 years of experience in joint bearings and is the largest supplier and exporter in China [1][15]. - It has participated in key national projects, including C919 and Shenzhou, and has a strong presence in both domestic and international markets [1][27]. - The company has a complete manufacturing chain with over 10,000 varieties of joint bearings [21]. Financial Analysis - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a CAGR of 17.60% from 2017 to 2023, reaching 1.904 billion yuan in 2023 [32][33]. - The net profit is projected to grow from 171.4 million yuan in 2024 to 259.8 million yuan in 2026 [4][5]. - The joint bearing segment has a gross margin exceeding 45%, contributing significantly to the company's profitability [32][42]. Market Trends - The global joint bearing market is estimated at approximately 10-15 billion yuan, with the company positioned to capture a significant share due to its technological advantages [2][3]. - The demand for joint bearings in humanoid robots is expected to drive future growth, as traditional bearings cannot meet the multi-degree-of-freedom requirements [3][4]. Profitability and Valuation - The company's stock is valued between 21.58 and 24.27 yuan, with projected PE ratios of 36, 29, and 24 for the years 2024 to 2026 [4][6]. - The company has maintained a stable net profit margin, with a recovery to 10.11% in the first three quarters of 2024 [42][43].