机器人的关节：轴承 20250821 摘要 全球轴承市场稳定增长，汽车、航空航天、工业设备等传统需求构成基 本盘，风电、光伏、新能源汽车及智能基础设施等新兴需求快速放量， 共同驱动市场结构升级。 人形机器人商业化落地打开高精度、高附加值轴承市场，单台机器人轴 承价值量可达数千元人民币，显著提升行业营收弹性，如特斯拉 Optimus 潜在市场空间达数十亿人民币。 汽车行业是轴承最大应用领域，占比超 32%，新能源汽车对高精度轴承 需求更高。家电、工程机械、风电等领域需求分散但总量可观，人形机 器人进一步拓展了市场空间。 头部企业积极布局机器人轴承应用，如智远机器人和小米的专利显示， 通过关节轴承和鱼眼轴承提升机器人手臂灵活性和脚踝自适应性，预示 未来产品发展方向。 国内高端轴承（P4 级以上）营收占比逐步提升，2023 年达 18%，但航 空航天等关键领域仍依赖进口，磨床进口额高企，反映国产替代空间巨 大，相关设备类公司值得关注。 Q&A 人形机器人对轴承的需求为何如此重要？ 人形机器人在逐步商业化和产业化过程中，对高精度、高可靠性的轴承需求快 速释放，成为轴承行业新的增长曲线。轴承作为人形机器人关节的重要零部 ...

Core Viewpoint - Longxi Co., Ltd. (600592) is currently in the development or small batch sampling and testing phase for its humanoid robot joint bearings, indicating that the technology and product iterations are rapid and the market competition is intense [1] Company Summary - The company acknowledges that the business in the humanoid robot sector has significant uncertainties and that short-term contributions to its operating performance are extremely limited due to high research and development investments [1]

Company Overview - Longxi Co., Ltd. specializes in high-margin joint bearings, maintaining a stable gross margin of over 40% for the past three years, indicating strong profitability [1] - The company has nearly 70 years of experience in the bearing industry and is one of the top three joint bearing companies globally, with a domestic market share exceeding 75% and an international market share of 15% [2][5] - Longxi's annual production capacity exceeds 20 million sets, with projected revenue from bearing products reaching 904 million yuan in 2024 and a gross margin of 40.5% [1][2] Market Position and Growth Potential - The joint bearing market in China is expected to reach 1.6 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15% from 2020 to 2024, significantly higher than the overall bearing market growth rate of about 5% [2] - Longxi has broken the technological monopoly of international leaders through continuous innovation, positioning itself as the only Chinese company in the global top tier of joint bearing manufacturers [2] Technological Advancements - The company has established a high technical barrier in self-lubricating joint bearings, with PTFE fabric lining technology as its core competitive advantage [3] - Longxi has developed three key technologies: preparation of PTFE self-lubricating linings, molded linings, and precision simulation extrusion, creating a complete process chain from structural design to lining integration [3] Application in Robotics - The value of joint bearings combined with link assemblies for humanoid robots is expected to exceed 5,000 yuan per unit, with potential increases as demands for dexterity and lightweight designs grow [4] - Longxi has engaged with several humanoid robot companies, including Zhiyuan, to explore commercial opportunities in the robotics sector, with a projected market size for joint bearings and link products reaching 5 billion yuan based on an estimated shipment of 1 million humanoid robots [4] Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 161 million yuan, 200 million yuan, and 245 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 28.1%, 24.4%, and 22.8% [5] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 57, 46, and 37 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, compared to comparable companies' PE ratios of 84, 69, and 58 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing challenges faced by foreign trade enterprises due to global trade uncertainties, emphasizing the need for efficient financial support to help these companies navigate risks and enhance their resilience in international markets [1][12]. Financial Support Mechanisms - The Liaocheng Financial Regulatory Bureau is focusing on providing precise, convenient, inclusive, and efficient financial services to support foreign trade enterprises, aiming to strengthen the basic foreign trade framework and enhance development resilience [1][12]. - A financing coordination mechanism has been established to improve service levels of financial institutions, facilitating connections between foreign trade enterprises and effective resources [1][12]. Innovative Financial Products - Shandong Hongyuan Metal Materials Co., Ltd. has benefited from tailored financial products such as "Foreign Trade Loans" and "Technology Compensation Loans," which have significantly reduced financing costs and financial burdens [2][3]. - The "Technology Compensation Loan" is designed specifically for technology innovation enterprises, offering preferential interest rates and targeted support for product development and technology implementation [3][4]. Efficient Financing Processes - The article describes improvements in financing processes, allowing small foreign trade enterprises to apply for loans easily through mobile applications, thus reducing the time and effort previously required [6][8]. - Liaocheng's financial institutions have optimized their service processes, increasing credit availability while minimizing intermediary steps, resulting in faster funding for small enterprises [6][11]. Case Studies of Successful Financing - The article provides examples of successful financial interventions, such as the rapid loan approval for Shandong Hailin Group, which faced challenges due to international economic fluctuations [3][4]. - Liaocheng's financial institutions have established dedicated service teams to address urgent financing needs, exemplified by the swift response to Yanggu Xinhui Cable Co., Ltd.'s temporary order requiring immediate funding [7][9]. Overall Impact on Small Enterprises - The financial support provided has led to a significant increase in the loan balance for small enterprises, with the total amount exceeding 7.2 billion yuan and over 6,700 clients served [11][12]. - The cumulative credit granted to small foreign trade enterprises reached 6.084 billion yuan, with 4.916 billion yuan disbursed, demonstrating the effectiveness of the financing coordination mechanism [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the humanoid robot industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the benchmark index by more than 10% [25]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot concept index increased by 2.33% from June 1 to June 6, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.45 percentage points. Year-to-date, the humanoid robot index has risen by 34.13%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 32.72 percentage points [12][16]. - Significant investments and policy support are being directed towards the humanoid robot industry, with a 5 billion yuan investment fund established in Hubei Province to promote the sector's development [20]. - Major companies are experiencing a surge in orders, with some reporting order growth of up to 200% in the first quarter of 2025 [22]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - From June 1 to June 6, 2025, the humanoid robot concept index rose by 2.33%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.45 percentage points. The year-to-date performance shows a 34.13% increase, exceeding the CSI 300 index by 32.72 percentage points [12][16]. Weekly Hotspots Review Policy News - Hubei Province is accelerating the high-quality development of the humanoid robot industry, aiming to create a nationally influential R&D innovation base. The provincial government emphasizes the importance of integrating AI into production and life [18]. - The establishment of the Guangdong Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Industry Alliance marks a significant step towards industry chain integration and technological advancements [19]. Product Technology Iteration - Amazon is adopting open-source large language models for robot control and is preparing to test humanoid robots for package delivery [21]. - The humanoid robot sector is witnessing a surge in orders, with companies like Yushu Technology and Leju Robotics reporting significant order increases [22]. Investment and Financing - Precision Forging Technology plans to invest 50 million yuan in Wuhan Gelanruo Intelligent Robot Company, acquiring a 10% stake to enhance its position in the humanoid robot supply chain [22]. Key Company Announcements - iFlytek's robot super brain platform covers 90% of domestic intelligent robot manufacturers, indicating a strong market presence [23]. - Longxi Co. is still in the development phase for its humanoid robot joint bearings, highlighting the competitive and rapidly evolving nature of the market [24].

Summary of Longxi Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Longxi Co., Ltd. specializes in joint bearings, holding a global market share of over 15% and a domestic market share exceeding 75% [2][5][19] - The company has been recognized for its products used in strategic fields such as the C919 large aircraft and Shenzhou spacecraft, and has received the highest level of certification from the U.S. Navy [2][5][7] Industry Insights - The humanoid robot sector has experienced significant growth, with many stocks doubling or tripling in value from October 2024 to May 2025, but has entered a correction phase since May 2025 [3] - The global bearing market is valued at over 800 billion RMB, with the domestic market exceeding 250 billion RMB [2][10] Key Points on Longxi's Competitive Advantage - Longxi is the only domestic company that self-develops and produces self-lubricating fabric for joint bearings, utilizing PTFE friction pairs, which provides a unique technological edge [4][20] - The company has achieved a significant increase in revenue from joint bearings, growing from 400 million RMB in 2015 to 900 million RMB in 2024, with a projected net profit of 200 million RMB in 2025 [4][24] Humanoid Robot Business Development - Longxi has actively entered the humanoid robot market, achieving over 1 million RMB in revenue in 2025, equivalent to the sale of over 150 sets of joint bearings [6][9] - The company plans to use joint bearings in critical areas such as wrists, ankles, hips, and waist joints, enhancing potential value [6][8] Financial Performance - Longxi's overall revenue has seen rapid growth, particularly since 2018, driven by trade business, while joint bearing revenue has steadily increased [24] - The company's net profit has fluctuated, but the non-recurring net profit has remained stable at over 100 million RMB [24][25] Future Outlook - The company expects a 15% growth in key bearing product revenue in the coming years, supported by demand recovery in military and engineering machinery sectors [25] - Longxi's gross margin for bearing products has improved from 29% in 2015 to 47% in 2023, indicating a strong market position and technological advancement [25] Additional Insights - Longxi's trade business, initiated in 2018, contributes approximately 4 million RMB in net profit annually, enhancing synergy with its main operations [23] - The company has established itself as a core supplier in the humanoid robot supply chain, reflecting its significant investment and achievements in this area [9][21]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: 弘信电子 (Hongxin Electronics) - **Industry**: Electronic Manufacturing, focusing on flexible printed circuits (FPC), AI computing servers, and robotics applications Core Insights and Arguments - 弘信电子 has signed guarantee contracts for financing projects totaling **1.92 billion RMB** and **60 million RMB**, with total external guarantees amounting to **30.21 billion RMB**, which is **262.34%** of the company's audited net assets for 2024 [1][2] - The company is strategically positioning itself as a provider of computing hardware and solutions, particularly in AI computing servers, and has begun operations in this area since 2023 [2] - 弘信电子 has successfully provided a complete circuit board solution for Xiaomi's Iron Egg robot, indicating its strong technical capabilities in the robotics sector [3] - The company is actively involved in the military sector through its subsidiary, 新华海通 (Xinhua Haitong), which has obtained military qualifications and is developing products for aerospace and defense applications [3] - 弘信电子's cloud platform, 安联云 (Anlian Cloud), is equipped with GPU servers for high-performance computing applications, with projected revenue from the computing segment reaching **1.988 billion RMB** in 2024, achieving a gross margin of **19.72%** [4] - The company has become a core supplier for Huawei's Mate60 series smartphones, indicating a significant market position in consumer electronics [5] Additional Important Information - 龙溪股份 (Longxi Co.) is a major player in the joint bearing sector, focusing on humanoid robots and has been recognized as a leading supplier in this field [6][7] - 佰维存储 (Baiwei Storage) anticipates a **500%** year-over-year revenue growth in AI glasses products by 2025, with a strong focus on partnerships with major brands like Meta [9] - The company has successfully launched its first main control chip, SP1800, which has met performance requirements for domestic clients, indicating advancements in semiconductor technology [10] - 佰维存储's ePOP series products are being utilized by major companies such as Google and Meta for smart wearable devices, showcasing its competitive edge in the market [11] This summary encapsulates the key developments and strategic directions of 弘信电子 and related companies within the electronic manufacturing and AI sectors, highlighting their growth potential and market positioning.

3连板龙溪股份（600592）发布股票交易风险提示性公告，公司注意到近期市场上关于人形机器人相关 热点概念的关注度较高。公司人形机器人领域配套产品关节轴承目前仍处于研制或小批送样、试验阶 段，且该领域技术与产品迭代更新快，市场竞争激烈，研发投入大，未来该领域的业务存在重大不确定 性，短期内对公司经营业绩的贡献极为有限。 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company is a leading manufacturer of joint bearings, benefiting from the growth opportunities in humanoid robotics [1][4]. - The joint bearing market is a niche with high technical barriers, and the company holds over 75% market share in China [2][3]. - The company has established itself as a core supplier for humanoid robots, with significant growth potential in this sector [4][3]. Company Overview - The company has over 60 years of experience in joint bearings and is the largest supplier and exporter in China [1][15]. - It has participated in key national projects, including C919 and Shenzhou, and has a strong presence in both domestic and international markets [1][27]. - The company has a complete manufacturing chain with over 10,000 varieties of joint bearings [21]. Financial Analysis - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with a CAGR of 17.60% from 2017 to 2023, reaching 1.904 billion yuan in 2023 [32][33]. - The net profit is projected to grow from 171.4 million yuan in 2024 to 259.8 million yuan in 2026 [4][5]. - The joint bearing segment has a gross margin exceeding 45%, contributing significantly to the company's profitability [32][42]. Market Trends - The global joint bearing market is estimated at approximately 10-15 billion yuan, with the company positioned to capture a significant share due to its technological advantages [2][3]. - The demand for joint bearings in humanoid robots is expected to drive future growth, as traditional bearings cannot meet the multi-degree-of-freedom requirements [3][4]. Profitability and Valuation - The company's stock is valued between 21.58 and 24.27 yuan, with projected PE ratios of 36, 29, and 24 for the years 2024 to 2026 [4][6]. - The company has maintained a stable net profit margin, with a recovery to 10.11% in the first three quarters of 2024 [42][43].

证券代码：600592 证券简称：龙溪股份 编号：2025-004 福建龙溪轴承（集团）股份有限公司 股票交易异常波动公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ●福建龙溪轴承（集团）股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）股票于2025年2 月25日、2月26日、2月27日连续三个交易日内收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过20％， 属于股票交易异常波动。 二、公司关注并核实的相关情况 ●经公司自查并通过向控股股东、实际控制人书面发函查证，截至本公告披 露日，不存在应披露而未披露的重大事项或重大信息。 （一）生产经营情况 ●公司主营业务为关节轴承、圆锥滚子轴承、齿轮/变速箱的研发、生产与销 售。公司基本面未发生变化，但今年以来，面临着市场竞争日趋激烈、人工成本 持续攀升及产品出口加征关税等诸多困难和挑战，公司将积极主动采取措施，力 争主营业务及经营业绩保持平稳。敬请广大投资者理性投资，注意投资风险！ 公司主营业务为关节轴承、圆锥滚子轴承、齿轮/变速箱的研发、生产与销 售。公司基本面未发生变化，但今年以来，面临着市场竞 ...