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天孚通信(300394):1.6T产品有望步入收获期
HTSC· 2025-10-30 08:51
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 211.92 [2][9]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the release of demand for its 1.6T optical engines, with a strong outlook in the CPO field [6][9]. - The company reported a revenue increase of 64% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit increase of 50% [6]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 51.87%, showing a year-on-year decline but a quarter-on-quarter improvement [7]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: RMB 3,252 million (up 67.74%) - 2025E: RMB 5,736 million (up 76.41%) - 2026E: RMB 7,392 million (up 28.86%) - 2027E: RMB 8,710 million (up 17.84%) [5]. - Net profit forecasts are: - 2024: RMB 1,344 million (up 84.07%) - 2025E: RMB 2,320 million (up 72.71%) - 2026E: RMB 3,041 million (up 31.04%) - 2027E: RMB 3,601 million (up 18.41%) [5]. - The company’s EPS is projected to be: - 2024: RMB 1.73 - 2025E: RMB 2.98 - 2026E: RMB 3.91 - 2027E: RMB 4.63 [5]. Market Position and Trends - The company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing demand for AI computing power, with expectations of continued growth in the global 800G optical communication industry [8]. - The company has established itself within the supply chain of major global clients, enhancing its market position [8]. - The anticipated upgrade to 1.6T optical modules is expected to contribute significantly to the company's revenue growth [8].