2026年的A股市场，指数在震荡中缓慢上行，但个股行情却冰火两重天。 很多散户朋友每天追逐涨停板、跟风热门题材，结果往往是高位被套、来回亏损。 然而，就在市场喧嚣的背后，一股"聪明钱"正在悄然行动。 以社保、公募、外资为代表的主力资金，正避开人声鼎沸的热门股，默默建仓一批看似低调、 实则内核强大的公司。 这些公司不是靠故事和概念炒作，它们普遍拥有五大特征：身处国家重点支持的高景气赛道、近三年业绩持续增长、当前估值处于 历史低位、拥有难以替代的技术壁垒、并且获得了中长期机构的持续加仓。 它们就像武侠小说里的"扫地僧"，平时不显山露水，却身怀绝技。 本文将为你 揭开这10只被主力悄悄看中的"隐形冠军"面纱，看看它们究竟凭什么能成为穿越市场周期的底气。 厦门钨业是一家拥有钨、稀土、锂电材料三大主业的资源巨头。 市场通常把它看作传统的周期品公司，忽视了其在新材料领域的成长性。 2025年，公司实 现营业收入464.69亿元，同比增长31.37%；归母净利润23.11亿元，同比增长35.08%。 在钨业务上，它是全球APT产能第一的企业，光伏切割用的钨丝全球 市占率超过80%。 在新能源材料领域，它的子公司厦钨新能是宁 ...

春节小长假前夕，汇绿生态发布重组进展公告。公司拟发行股份购买武汉钧恒科技有限公司49%股权， 这笔交易作价11.27亿元，标的增值率高达317.72%。 2025年上半年，汇绿生态完成并表钧恒科技51%股权后，汇绿生态营收同比大增。 本次交易的一个争议点在于估值。以2025年6月30日为基准日，钧恒科技净资产仅5.52亿元，收益法评 估值却高达23.06亿元，增值率317.72%。 值得关注的是，钧恒科技在短短9个月内经历了两次评估：2024年9月估值6.61亿元、2025年6月估值 23.06亿元。不到一年时间，估值暴涨2.5倍。 交易对方承诺，2025年-2027年净利润分别不低于1.39亿元、1.83亿元、2.32亿元，合计5.54亿元。 这无疑是典型的跨界并购。一家做园林工程、苗木种植的公司，如何与光模块产生协同？公司解释是： 通过收购进入高科技领域，形成"生态+科技"双主业。 截至2025年半年报，光通信业务已占汇绿生态营收的78.85%，实际上主业已彻底切换。 标的公司钧恒科技成立于2012年，总部位于武汉光谷，主营业务是以光模块、AOC、光引擎为主的光 通信产品的研发、生产和销售，客户包括Coh ...

Group 1 - Lumentum has secured several hundred million dollars in CPO-related orders, expecting CPO revenue of approximately $50 million in Q4 2026, with a significant surge anticipated in the first half of 2027 [2][3][14] - The CPO supply chain is recommended for attention, including components such as optical engines, FAU, laser ELS, MPO, Shuffle box, and polarization-maintaining fibers [2][13] - The optical fiber industry has shifted to a phase of "tight supply and rising prices," with a focus on companies with optical rod capacity and those with significant or specialty fiber production [5][16] Group 2 - North American CSPs are showing strong growth in capital expenditures, with a total of $127 billion for Q4 2025, representing a 60% year-over-year increase and a 12% quarter-over-quarter increase [6][16] - Amazon, Google, and Meta have optimistic capital expenditure guidance for 2026, with a combined expected spending of approximately $505 billion, a 71% year-over-year increase [6][18] - The AI demand is robust, with Amazon's Q4 2025 capital expenditure at $39.5 billion, a 42% year-over-year increase, and an expected $200 billion in 2026, primarily directed towards AI [17] Group 3 - The domestic AI market is experiencing a "red envelope war," with Alibaba's promotional event generating over 10 million orders in just 9 hours, indicating a significant demand for AI resources [10][19] - By December 2025, the user base for generative AI in China is projected to reach 602 million, with a penetration rate of 42.8%, suggesting substantial growth potential [10][19] - 2026 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for AI applications, driving further growth in computational power and model training [10][19]

Core Insights - The rapid growth of AI computing is driving an explosive demand for high-speed optical interconnect solutions, positioning companies in the CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) sector as key players in the industry [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35][36][37][38][39][40][41][42][43][44][45][46][47][48][49][50][51][52][53][54]. Company Summaries - **Guangzhou Technology (光库科技)**: Based in Shenzhen, focuses on high-speed optical engines and silicon photonics integration, providing critical components for CPO. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical engines and silicon photonics technology, achieving efficient co-packaging of optical and switching chips, and has partnered with leading computing firms for products compatible with 800G and above [1][31]. - **Tianfu Communication (天孚通信)**: Located in Suzhou, it is a global leader in optical communication precision devices, with a full industry chain advantage in passive optical devices, optical engines, and CPO components. The company has developed self-researched optical engines and co-packaged components, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips, and has deep collaborations with major computing firms [2][31]. - **Taicheng Light (太辰光)**: Headquartered in Shenzhen, it specializes in optical communication devices and system integration, with a focus on high-speed optical modules and CPO components. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical modules and co-packaged components, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips, and has partnered with leading computing firms [3][31]. - **Dongtian Micro (东田微)**: Based in Yichang, it is a leader in optical materials and optical components, focusing on optical filters and CPO core optical components. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical engine core optical components, enhancing optical interconnect efficiency and integration, and has partnered with leading computing firms [4][33]. - **Changxin Bochuang (长芯博创)**: Located in Beijing, it is a leader in optical communication chips and modules, with a focus on optical chips and CPO core components. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical engines and co-packaged components, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips, and has partnered with leading computing firms [5][34]. - **Saiwei Electronics (赛微电子)**: Based in Beijing, it is a global leader in MEMS sensors and semiconductors, with a focus on MEMS processes, optical chips, and CPO core components. The company has developed optical engines and co-packaged components leveraging MEMS process advantages, enhancing optical interconnect efficiency and integration [6][35]. - **Changfei Fiber (长飞光纤)**: Headquartered in Wuhan, it is a global leader in optical fiber and cable, with a full industry chain advantage in optical fiber, optical modules, and CPO optical transmission links. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical modules and optical transmission link components, achieving efficient transmission and integration of optical signals [7][36]. - **Zhaochi Shares (兆驰股份)**: Based in Shenzhen, it is a leader in consumer electronics and semiconductors, focusing on LED chips and optical modules. The company has developed co-packaged components leveraging its technology in LED chips and optical modules, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips [8][37]. - **Anfu Technology (安孚科技)**: Located in Ningbo, it is a leader in energy storage and optical communication, focusing on energy storage systems and optical modules. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical modules and co-packaged components, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips [9][38]. - **Robotec (罗博特科)**: Based in Suzhou, it is a leader in intelligent manufacturing and optical communication equipment, focusing on photovoltaic equipment and optical engines. The company has developed co-packaged components leveraging its technology in intelligent manufacturing and optical engines [10][39]. - **Liant Technology (联特科技)**: Headquartered in Wuhan, it is a leader in high-speed optical modules, focusing on 400G/800G optical modules and CPO components. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical modules and co-packaged components, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips [11][40]. - **Zhishang Technology (致尚科技)**: Based in Shenzhen, it is a leader in precision manufacturing and optical communication components, focusing on precision components and optical engines. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical engine core components, enhancing optical interconnect efficiency and integration [12][41]. - **Xinyi Sheng (新易盛)**: Located in Chengdu, it is a global leader in high-speed optical modules, focusing on 400G/800G optical modules and CPO components. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical modules and co-packaged components, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips [13][42]. - **Huanxu Electronics (环旭电子)**: Based in Shanghai, it is a global leader in electronic manufacturing services, focusing on SiP packaging and optical engines. The company has developed co-packaged components leveraging its SiP packaging technology, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips [14][43]. - **Xiechuang Data (协创数据)**: Headquartered in Shenzhen, it is a leader in data center and smart terminal solutions, focusing on data center equipment and optical modules. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical modules and co-packaged components, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips [15][44]. - **Huilv Ecology (汇绿生态)**: Based in Wuhan, it is a leader in ecological restoration and digital economy integration, focusing on ecological restoration and digital technology. The company has developed co-packaged components leveraging its digital technology and optical module expertise [16][45]. - **Ruijie Networks (锐捷网络)**: Located in Fuzhou, it is a leader in network equipment and solutions, focusing on network devices and optical modules. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical modules and co-packaged components, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips [17][46]. - **Yihua Shares (意华股份)**: Based in Wenzhou, it is a leader in connectors and optical communication components, focusing on high-speed connectors and optical modules. The company has developed self-researched high-speed connectors and co-packaged components, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips [18][47]. - **Zhili Square (智立方)**: Headquartered in Shenzhen, it is a leader in precision manufacturing and optical communication devices, focusing on precision components and optical engines. The company has developed co-packaged components leveraging its precision manufacturing and optical engine technology [19][48]. - **Guangli Micro (广立微)**: Based in Hangzhou, it is a leader in semiconductor testing and optical communication devices, focusing on semiconductor testing and optical engines. The company has developed co-packaged components leveraging its semiconductor testing and optical engine technology [20][49]. - **Sijia Technology (世嘉科技)**: Located in Suzhou, it is a leader in precision manufacturing and communication devices, focusing on precision components and optical modules. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical modules and co-packaged components, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips [21][50]. - **Yintang Intelligent Control (英唐智控)**: Based in Shenzhen, it is a leader in electronic distribution and optical communication components, focusing on electronic distribution and optical modules. The company has developed co-packaged components leveraging its electronic distribution and optical module technology [22][51]. - **Guangxun Technology (光迅科技)**: Headquartered in Wuhan, it is a leader in optoelectronic devices and modules, focusing on optoelectronic devices and optical engines. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical engines and co-packaged components, achieving efficient integration of optical and switching chips [23][52]. - **Woge Optoelectronics (沃格光电)**: Based in Xinyu, it is a leader in optoelectronic display materials, focusing on optoelectronic display materials and optical engines. The company has developed self-researched high-speed optical engine core optical components, enhancing optical interconnect efficiency and integration [24][53].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 59.195 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.853 billion yuan, an increase of 12% [1] - In Q4 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 15.554 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7%, with a net profit of 590 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 66% [1] Business Segment Performance - Communications segment revenue was 18.386 billion yuan, down 11.53% year-on-year, primarily due to the introduction of self-developed products by major North American clients, leading to a decrease in procurement costs [1] - Consumer electronics segment revenue reached 21.3 billion yuan, up 10.92% year-on-year, driven by increased sales from market promotions by downstream customers [1] - Industrial/cloud storage/automotive segments generated revenues of 7.585 billion, 6.082 billion, and 4.511 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of +2.48%, -0.23%, and -24.45%, indicating significant pressure on automotive electronics due to reduced outsourcing orders from downstream clients [1] Strategic Developments - The company has accelerated its optical communication business by acquiring control of Chengdu Guangchuanglian, which focuses on the R&D, manufacturing, and sales of high-speed optoelectronic integrated components and optical engine products [2] - Plans to build a production line in Haiphong, Vietnam, capable of producing 100,000 units of 800G/1.6T silicon optical modules per month, including optical engines, module assembly, and terminal testing [2] - The acquisition and expansion are expected to create synergies with Guangchuanglian, enhancing the company's core R&D capabilities and facilitating rapid product mass production and delivery to overseas core CSP clients, thereby driving revenue growth in the optical communication business [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company raised its 2025 EPS estimate by 2% to 0.78 yuan, and the 2026 EPS estimate by 8% to 1.08 yuan, while introducing a 2027 EPS estimate of 1.51 yuan [3] - The current stock price corresponds to 31.7x and 22.8x P/E for 2026 and 2027 estimates respectively [3] - The target price has been increased by 34% to 43.0 yuan, reflecting a 25% upside potential compared to the current price, driven by strong expectations from the optical module acquisition and expansion [3]

Summary of NVIDIA Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) Conference Call Company and Industry Overview - **Company**: NVIDIA - **Industry**: Technology, specifically focusing on AI server architecture and optical networking solutions Key Points and Arguments 1. **Introduction of CPO**: NVIDIA's Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) was first introduced two years ago, with a formal announcement of its product portfolio at the GTC conference in March last year. However, there have been no significant developments in the CPO field until recent discussions about its application in the upcoming Rubin Ultra racks [4][5][6] 2. **CPO Vision**: NVIDIA aims to create AI server racks with Optical Input/Output (OIO) all-optical interconnects, co-packaging GPU and switch chips with optical engines to eliminate intermediate optical-electrical conversion steps [7][9] 3. **Gradual Implementation**: The implementation of the OIO design will be gradual, starting with CPO switches for Scale-Out networks, followed by adoption in NVSwitch trays for Scale-Up networks, and finally on GPGPU chips [9][10] 4. **Rubin Ultra Rack Configuration**: The CPO solution for Rubin Ultra racks will feature an NVL72 x 2 configuration, allowing for 144 GPGPU cards interconnected via CPO and optical fiber [13][14] 5. **Switching Capacity**: Each NVSwitch chip in the CPO solution will have a switching capacity of 14.4T, with a total capacity of 86.4T per NVSwitch tray. The entire Rubin Ultra rack will require 144 CPO NVSwitch chips and 648 optical engines [15][16][17] 6. **Bandwidth Upgrades**: The per-GPU card bandwidth will be upgraded to 28.8 Tb/s, leading to a total bandwidth of 4147.2T for the entire Rubin Ultra racks [17] 7. **CPO Adoption in Scale-Out Network**: The backend Scale-Out network will also utilize CPO, with each CX10 NIC co-packaged with a 3.2T optical engine [19][20] 8. **Serviceability Challenges**: A major criticism of CPO is its serviceability; if an optical engine fails, the entire switch chip must be replaced. NVIDIA addresses this with a detachable design in its Quantum X800 CPO switch [27][29] 9. **Supplier Insights**: The suppliers for the CPO solution remain largely unchanged from previous discussions, with additional companies like LOTES and Teradyne identified as beneficiaries of the CPO architecture [24][26][36] 10. **Financial Projections for Suppliers**: - LOTES could see additional revenues of $82.5 million in 2027 and $247.5 million in 2028 from the CPO version of Rubin Ultra racks, accounting for 8% and 25% of its total revenue, respectively [34][35] - Teradyne could generate $1.1 billion in 2027 and $1.8 billion in 2028 from CPO testing systems, representing 35% and 57% of its total revenue, respectively [51][52] 11. **Emerging Japanese Players**: Mipox and Seikoh Giken are identified as niche players in the CPO market, providing materials and equipment for optical fiber ferrule polishing, with both holding approximately 60% of the global market share [61][62] 12. **Market Growth**: The transition to optical fiber connections in NVIDIA's CPO-version Rubin Ultra racks is expected to create a new market for suppliers of high-speed fiber ferrules and related equipment [70][71] Additional Important Content - **Technical Challenges**: The heterogeneous architecture of NVIDIA's CPO optical engines presents significant challenges for testing equipment, which FiconTEC addresses with its unique double-sided wafer testing solutions [42][44] - **Market Dynamics**: The rapid growth in optical fiber usage in data centers is driving demand for polishing machines and inspection equipment, indicating a robust market outlook for companies involved in this segment [63][65]

Summary of Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) for Nvidia Company and Industry - The focus is on Nvidia and its upcoming Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) technology, which is expected to revolutionize optical module integration in high-speed data communication systems [3][4][8]. Core Points and Arguments - **CPO Concept**: CPO integrates optical modules into compact optical engines, which are packaged with compute chips to reduce signal loss and improve performance as SerDes speeds increase [4][5]. - **Product Launch Timeline**: Nvidia plans to release its first CPO product, an Infiniband (IB) switch, in Q4 2024, with mass production of the CPO version starting in Q3 2025 [10][11]. - **Switch Specifications**: The Quantum 3400 X800 IB switch will feature 144 ports, each supporting 800G, and will be designed as a fully liquid-cooled system [14][15]. - **Internal Structure**: The switch will utilize four 28.8T switch chips, providing a total switching capacity of 115.2T, with a chiplet architecture that enhances integration density [18][20]. - **Multi-Plane Topology**: The architecture allows multiple independent switch planes to operate simultaneously, improving efficiency compared to traditional single-chip designs [21][23]. - **Optical Engine Integration**: The optical engines will be integrated with the switch chips, reducing physical space requirements and increasing the overall integration density [29][32]. Additional Important Content - **Component Suppliers**: Key components for the CPO switch will be supplied by various companies, including TSMC for packaging, Corning for MPO fibers and connectors, and Lumentum for laser chips [35][36]. - **Content Value Estimates**: The estimated content value for key components includes: - Switch chips: $12,000 for four 28.8T chips - FAUs: $3,600 for 72 units - Optical engines: $36,000 for 72 units - MPO connectors: $7,200 for 144 ports [36][38]. - **Market Misunderstanding**: There is a common misconception that Nvidia's first CPO product will be a CPO rack system, while it is actually an IB switch [8]. This summary encapsulates the key aspects of Nvidia's CPO technology and its implications for the industry, highlighting the innovative approach to optical integration and the anticipated product launch timeline.

Group 1 - Apple plans to officially launch smart glasses by the end of 2026, which may reshape the global AR/VR device supply chain [1][3] - The entry of Apple is expected to be a key catalyst for the large-scale commercialization of smart glasses, driving the industry into a phase of explosive growth [1][3] - Core suppliers in the optical industry are increasing capital expenditures and shifting R&D focus towards key AR technologies, driven by potential demand from Apple [3] Group 2 - Kinko Optical has invested approximately $5.6 million to establish an AR/VR/MR research center, focusing on core technologies such as nano-imprint waveguides and optical engines [3] - Kinko Optical plans to initiate joint development projects with clients in 2026, aligning with the rumored launch of Apple's new product [3] - Other companies like Asia Optical, Young Optics, and Aiimax Innovation are also adjusting strategies to seize opportunities in the smart glasses market through expansion, acquisitions, or technological collaborations [3] Group 3 - Despite Apple not officially confirming the smart glasses project, supply chain dynamics indicate its strategic intentions [3] - Competitors like Meta and Snap have launched smart glasses with some sales success, but have not triggered a consumer explosion due to limitations in technology maturity and ecosystem integration [3] - Apple's advantages in chips, operating systems, and ecosystem synergy are seen as crucial to breaking the current stagnation in the market [3]

Summary of CPO Industry and Company Insights Industry Overview - The CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) industry is expected to accelerate its development, with 2026 being viewed as a pivotal year for its establishment from 0 to 1 [1][3] - AI demand is driving the development of computing power, with a focus on computing power chips, optical connections, electrical connections, and AI infrastructure [1][2] Key Insights - TSMC has achieved early mass production of CPU optical switch packaging technology, which is expected to boost the entire industry chain [1][3] - Global CPO switch shipment forecasts for 2026 have been significantly revised upwards, with NVIDIA potentially increasing its shipment expectations from 10,000 units to 15,000-20,000 units [1][4][5] - The demand for computing power is forcing the CPO industry chain to mature, addressing communication bottlenecks in AI data centers [1][6] Market Trends - The CPU industry is expected to mature rapidly in 2026, with exponential growth in demand for NPO and OIO in-cabinet optical communication [1][7] - The value breakdown of NVIDIA's upcoming CPU switch indicates that the optical engine accounts for over 40% of the value, with a unit price of approximately $30,000 to $35,000 [1][8] Competitive Landscape - Several Chinese companies, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu, are actively participating in the CPO field, particularly in optical engines and FAUs, and are expected to capture significant market share and profit [1][9] - Traditional companies in the optical module sector may benefit from the CPO era, as they have invested heavily in R&D for CPO and NPO technologies, potentially leading to increased market concentration and profit elasticity [1][10][11] Additional Considerations - The overall technology industry in 2026 is expected to experience fluctuations but also present opportunities, particularly in computing power and domestic substitution [2] - The focus on optical connections and liquid cooling technologies is emphasized as critical areas for investment in the upcoming year [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [7]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading manufacturer of optical devices in China, benefiting from the accelerated development of the artificial intelligence industry and global data center construction, leading to significant growth potential in high-speed optical device products [7]. - The company's projected revenue for 2025-2027 is estimated at 54.19 billion, 83.29 billion, and 106.19 billion yuan respectively, with net profits of 20.9 billion, 30.6 billion, and 38.5 billion yuan, indicating strong growth [7]. - The report highlights the company's efforts to coordinate material supply and improve delivery capabilities, which are expected to alleviate potential bottlenecks in product delivery [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 18.81 billion to 21.50 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 40% to 60% [1]. - The non-recurring gains are expected to impact net profit by approximately 420 million to 520 million yuan [1]. - The adjusted net profit is projected to be between 18.29 billion and 21.08 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 39.19% to 60.40% year-on-year [1]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - The demand for AI computing power is strong, and the company is expected to see stable growth in the optical device sector due to the ongoing global data center expansion [6]. - The company is actively working to enhance its supply chain coordination, particularly in response to material shortages affecting high-speed optical communication [6]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for the company shows a significant increase in revenue and net profit over the next few years, with a projected revenue growth rate of 66.65% for 2025 and 53.69% for 2026 [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 2.69 yuan in 2025 to 4.95 yuan in 2027, indicating a positive outlook for profitability [8].