100mW CW光源

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源杰科技(688498):2024年年报、2025年一季报点评:25Q1快速增长,数通占比持续提升
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-05-08 08:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Insights - The company has experienced rapid growth in Q1 2025, with a revenue increase of 40.5% year-on-year, reaching 0.84 billion yuan, while the net profit rose by 35.9% to 0.14 billion yuan [1][6] - The company is transitioning to a dual-engine model focusing on telecommunications and data communication, leveraging opportunities in the AI-driven data center market [1][2] - The company has successfully launched CW laser chips for AI data centers, achieving significant sales volume and establishing a strong foothold in the high-power laser market [2][3] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 74.6%, but a net loss of 0.06 billion yuan, reflecting a decline of 131.5% [1] - The gross margin for 2024 was 33.32%, down by 8.56 percentage points, while the net margin was -2.43%, down by 15.92 percentage points [1] - The company’s R&D expenditure in 2024 was 54.52 million yuan, an increase of 76.17% year-on-year, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [5] Business Segments - The data communication segment achieved a revenue of 48.04 million yuan in 2024, a staggering increase of 919% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 71.04% [2] - The telecommunications segment generated a revenue of 202 million yuan in 2024, up by 52% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 24.62% [4] - The company has optimized its product structure in the telecommunications sector, focusing on 10G EML products and successfully shipping next-generation 25G/50G PON optical chips [4] Market Outlook - The market for silicon photonic chips is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to rise from 800 million USD in 2023 to over 3 billion USD by 2029 [3] - The penetration rate of silicon photonics in the 400G and above high-speed data communication optical module market is anticipated to reach 48% by 2028, indicating a substantial market opportunity [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.04 billion yuan, 1.6 billion yuan, and 2.48 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a projected PE ratio of 109X for 2025 [6]