天孚通信（300394.SZ）2025 年半年报点评 AI 需求驱动，Q2 业绩同环比高增 2025 年 08 月 26 日 ➢ 事件：8 月 25 日，公司发布 2025 年半年报，上半年实现营收 24.56 亿元， 同比增长 57.8%，实现归母净利润 8.99 亿元，同比增长 37.5%，实现扣非归母 净利润 8.67 亿元，同比增长 35.3%。Q2 单季度来看，实现营收 15.11 亿元，同 比增长 83.3%，环比增长 60.0%，实现归母净利润 5.61 亿元，同比增长 49.6%， 环比增长 66.3%，实现扣非归母净利润 5.35 亿元，同比增长 43.9%，环比增长 61.1%。 ➢ AI 需求驱动，光有源器件业务增速显著，助力公司业绩高增：公司上半年业 绩高增，营收和归母净利润分别实现同比 57.8%和 37.5%的高增长，其中，下游 电信侧市场需求平稳，AI 驱动高速光器件产品需求持续增长，助力公司业绩高 增。按产品拆分来看，1）光无源器件：上半年实现营收 8.63 亿元，同比增长 23.8%，毛利率为 63.57%，同比下降 5.37pct；2）光有源器件：上半年实现营 收 15.6 ...

1H25业绩符合预期，外销占比持续增长。近日，公司发布2025年中报。 2025年上半年公司实现营收 8.28亿元，同增62.49%，实现归母净利润1.73 亿元，同增118.02%；2Q25实现营收4.58亿元，同增 59.80%，环增23.58%，实现归母净利润0.94亿元，同增96.77%，环增18.42%。利润率方面，1H25 公司 实现毛利率38.94%，同增7.11pcts，实现净利率21.27%，同增5.44pcts 2Q25实现毛利率36.39%，同增 3.84Pcts，实现净利率20.71%，同增 3.81pcts。收入结构方面，公司光器件产品增速较快，同时海外业 务增速及占比持续增长，1H25国外地区实现营收4.06亿，同增60.24%，占收比同增 7.36pcts至80.27%。 公司需求持续向好，收入高增，海外业务占比持续提升。 行业景气度较高，MPO+CPO紧密布局：公司是全球最大的光密集连接产品制造商之一，部分无源光器 件产品（如MTP/MPO高密度光纤连接器、光柔性板）的技术水平在细分行业中处于领先地位，产品广 泛应用于全球范围内的大型数据中心、电信网络等建设。公司深耕中高端市场 ...

Core Viewpoint - The core viewpoint emphasizes that technological breakthroughs, commercial logic, and resource integration are essential for Chinese optical chip companies to thrive in international competition [1][12]. Company Overview - Shijia Photonics is a high-tech enterprise focused on the research and production of passive and active optical chips, optical fiber connectors, and related products [3]. - The company achieved a significant milestone in 2012 by developing PLC chips, breaking foreign monopolies, and capturing over 50% of the global market share by 2015 [3]. Market Position and Achievements - In the gigabit network era, Shijia Photonics has become a key supplier of DFB chips, holding a substantial market share [3]. - The company has also emerged as the largest supplier in the AWG wavelength division multiplexing chip segment, contributing to advancements in high-speed optical modules [4]. Domestic Industry Landscape - The "bottleneck" issues in the domestic optical chip industry have largely been resolved, with most vacuum and testing equipment now domestically produced [5]. - The focus has shifted from merely breaking technological barriers to building ecological advantages within the optical electronics sector [5]. Global Competitive Strategy - Chinese optical chip manufacturers are increasingly gaining market share globally, with seven Chinese companies listed in the top 10 global optical module rankings [6]. - The advantages of Chinese firms include a strong engineering workforce, rapid response to customer needs, and a complete supply chain [6][7]. Future Directions - The future development focus includes silicon photonics and integrated optical chips, with significant investments planned in these areas [11][12]. - Shijia Photonics is also exploring applications in emerging fields such as lidar, gas sensing, quantum networks, and vehicle communication [12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the semiconductor industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector in the next 6 months [1][7]. Core Insights - The rapid development of AI computing demand is a key driver for the semiconductor industry, with domestic equipment manufacturers expected to benefit significantly [1][4]. - The high-end SoC testing machine market presents substantial opportunities, necessitating breakthroughs from domestic manufacturers due to the complexity of testing [4]. - The demand for AI is driving the equipment supply chain, with advanced processes continuing to expand, particularly in domestic IC design companies [4]. - Silicon photonics equipment leaders are seeing a surge in orders, benefiting from the industrialization of silicon photonics driven by AI [4]. - Investment recommendations include focusing on advanced packaging, backend testing, front-end processes, and silicon photonics equipment [4]. Industry Trends - The semiconductor industry is projected to outperform the CSI 300 index, with a forecasted growth trajectory that shows a significant increase in demand for AI-related technologies [3][4]. - The report highlights the importance of domestic supply chains in the production of inference chips, which are becoming increasingly competitive on cost [4]. - The anticipated expansion in advanced logic and memory sectors is expected to lead to new project launches in the coming year [4].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommended" rating for the telecommunications industry, considering the sustained high prosperity of the sector driven by AI, 5.5G, and satellite communications [2][5]. Core Viewpoints - The overall market performance for the week (June 22-28, 2025) shows the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.91%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.73%, and the ChiNext Index by 5.69%. The telecommunications sector, represented by the Shenwan Communications Index, increased by 5.53% during the same period [2][10]. - Within the telecommunications sector, the highest increase was seen in the communication application value-added services, which rose by 10.06%. The lowest increase was in communication cables and supporting services, which rose by 4.97% [2][13]. - Notable individual stock performances included Zhongguang Fanglei with a rise of 47.26%, Hengbao Co. with 30.27%, and Youfang Technology with 22.85% [2][15]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Overview - The telecommunications industry index increased by 5.53% during the week [10]. - The communication application value-added services sector had the highest weekly increase at 10.06% [13]. - The top three individual stock performers in the telecommunications sector were Zhongguang Fanglei (47.26%), Hengbao Co. (30.27%), and Youfang Technology (22.85%) [15]. Industry News - China Mobile announced a centralized procurement project for G.654E optical fiber cables, with an estimated procurement scale of approximately 2.29 million kilometers, equivalent to 314 million core kilometers [17]. - As of the end of May, the total number of 5G base stations in China reached 4.486 million, reflecting a net increase of 235,000 from the previous year [17][19]. Company Announcements - Key announcements from the telecommunications sector for the week included: - Shijia Photon is in the process of acquiring control of Dongguan Fuke Xima Communications Technology Co., Ltd. through a combination of issuing shares and cash payments [18]. - Robotech signed a significant contract with a leading U.S. company, with a total contract value of approximately €17.1 million (over 100 million RMB), which exceeds 12.82% of Robotech's audited revenue for 2024 [18].

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the "Silicon Photonics Future Industry Fund Matrix" and the launch of the "Light启天地" project in Shanghai signify a strategic move to foster innovation and development in the silicon photonics sector, which is seen as a transformative technology with vast application potential in various fields [1][3][4]. Group 1 - The "Light启天地" project officially commenced construction in the Pudong New Area, with eight enterprise representatives signing agreements with Zhangjiang Hi-Tech [3]. - The Shanghai Future Industry Fund, in collaboration with eight high-quality market-oriented funds, announced the launch of the Silicon Photonics Future Industry Fund Matrix, alongside the initiation of the silicon photonics concept verification platform [3][4]. - The "Zhangjiang Cup: Silicon Photonics Innovation and Entrepreneurship Competition" was also officially launched during the event [3]. Group 2 - Silicon photonics is recognized as a disruptive technology that combines the characteristics of large-scale, high-precision, and low-cost manufacturing of integrated circuits with the advantages of photonic technology, such as ultra-high speed, low power consumption, and high anti-interference capabilities [3]. - The project aims to leverage Shanghai's advantages in design, advanced manufacturing platforms, and strong research capabilities to cultivate an innovative industrial ecosystem and create a distinctive industrial cluster [4]. - The initiative is expected to accelerate the large-scale application of silicon photonics technology in high-speed optical communication and artificial intelligence computing clusters, fostering the emergence of benchmark enterprises and significant achievements [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company is optimistic about its operations in the second half of the year, driven by the demand for advanced packaging due to the AI application boom, projecting a 10% year-on-year increase in advanced process packaging revenue for the year [1]. Group 1: Company Operations - The company plans to invest $200 million in large-size fan-out panel packaging (FOPLP) and has already begun equipment installation in the second quarter, with shipments expected by the end of the year [1]. - Advanced packaging and testing revenue is projected to reach $600 million in 2024, accounting for approximately 6% of total packaging revenue, with an additional increase of over $1 billion expected this year [1]. - The company is actively planning a testing facility in the U.S. to meet the complex packaging needs of AI chips, responding to the expansion of clients like NVIDIA [1]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - The semiconductor industry is expected to reach a global market value of $1 trillion by 2030, with the company expressing confidence that this target will be met, even if slightly delayed [2]. - AI is anticipated to drive significant changes in data centers, cloud infrastructure, and robotics, with the company emphasizing the need for Taiwan to enhance its peripheral technologies to capitalize on the upcoming AI robotics market [2].

Group 1: Company Overview and Market Context - The company is actively engaged in the international photovoltaic market, particularly in India, to counteract the cyclical demand shrinkage in the domestic market [2] - The CPO market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 172% from 2023 to 2030, potentially reaching $9.3 billion by 2030, with optimistic scenarios suggesting $23 billion [3] Group 2: Orders and Contracts - ficonTEC has signed significant contracts amounting to €17.1 million (over ¥100 million) with a major U.S. client, which is expected to positively impact the company's performance in the current and future years [5] - The company will disclose orders that meet voluntary or regulatory disclosure standards while adhering to confidentiality agreements [6] Group 3: Future Capacity and Integration - ficonTEC will adapt its production capacity based on customer demand, leveraging its light asset model to avoid significant capital expenditure for capacity expansion [9] - The company aims to enhance ficonTEC's operational capabilities and efficiency through comprehensive integration of business, assets, and personnel post-acquisition [8]

Group 1: Stablecoins and Digital Assets - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority will expedite the processing of stablecoin license applications following the enactment of the Stablecoin Ordinance, in response to the growing demand for digital assets [1] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Innovation - The National Medical Products Administration plans to complete the review and approval of clinical trial applications for innovative drugs within 30 working days, aiming to enhance the efficiency of clinical research and support the development of urgently needed drugs [2] Group 3: Investment in Chinese Private Enterprises - Goldman Sachs reports an improving mid-term investment outlook for Chinese private enterprises, highlighting a list of ten favored companies with a total market capitalization of $1.6 trillion, representing 42% of the MSCI China Index [3] Group 4: Foreign Trade Performance - China's foreign trade maintained steady growth in May, with total imports and exports increasing by 2.7% and exports rising by 6.3%, attributed to the country's commitment to expanding openness and upgrading its industrial structure [4] Group 5: Unicorn Enterprises Policy - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is formulating policies to cultivate and grow unicorn enterprises, enhancing support for specialized and innovative small and medium-sized enterprises [5] Group 6: Quantum Computing Development - China's first superconducting quantum computing measurement and control system, designed for a thousand-bit scale, has been delivered, laying a solid foundation for the development of larger-scale fault-tolerant quantum computers [6] Group 7: Technology Insurance Policy - Shanghai has introduced new policies to support high-quality development of technology insurance, focusing on future industries and cutting-edge technologies to foster a partnership between the insurance industry and emerging sectors [8] Group 8: Agricultural Innovation - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has issued measures to enhance the management of crop varieties, emphasizing the collection and utilization of genetic resources and the breeding of breakthrough new varieties [9] Group 9: 3D Printing and Intellectual Property - The popularity of Labubu models has raised concerns about potential legal issues related to copyright and trademark infringement in the 3D printing community, as unauthorized reproductions could lead to significant legal consequences [10] Group 10: Payment and Clearing Business Continuity - The China Payment and Clearing Association has issued guidelines to ensure the continuity of payment and clearing services during peak marketing periods, emphasizing the importance of preparedness for extreme weather events [11]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Financial Regulatory Bureau and the Shanghai Science and Technology Commission have issued guidelines to develop a high-quality technology insurance system that aligns with the construction of an international technology innovation center in Shanghai [1] Group 1: Framework and Objectives - The guidelines propose a comprehensive insurance development framework that covers the entire chain of technological innovation and the full lifecycle of technology enterprises [2] - The initiative aims to inject stability into key areas such as technological breakthroughs, industrial upgrades, and international expansion of enterprises [2] - The guidelines emphasize the importance of supporting major scientific research tasks and nurturing future industries through technology insurance [2] Group 2: Product and Capability Innovation - The introduction of "Shanghai Science Points" aims to explore precise pricing in insurance and promote the deep application of artificial intelligence in the insurance sector [2] - Large insurance institutions are encouraged to play a leading role in building specialized products, professional talent, and dedicated systems [2] - The guidelines advocate for the development of specialized regulatory methods that align with technology insurance [2] Group 3: Partnership and Long-term Vision - The guidelines focus on creating a "partnership" between the insurance industry and future industries, emphasizing a win-win process and the importance of long-term commitment to innovation [3] - Shanghai's technology insurance initiatives began in 2010, with the establishment of a tripartite risk-sharing model [3] - As of the first quarter of this year, Shanghai's technology insurance provided risk coverage of 2,572 billion yuan, marking a 16% year-on-year increase [3] Group 4: Ecosystem Development - The guidelines promote an "ecological, systematic, and international" approach to provide comprehensive risk protection and development engines for technological innovation [4] - The development emphasizes deep collaboration among government, insurance institutions, research institutes, and enterprises [4] - A technology insurance expert database and data-sharing mechanisms are proposed to enhance standardized evaluations [4] Group 5: Systematic and International Integration - The policy aims to cover the entire chain of technological innovation and the lifecycle of technology enterprises, focusing on key stages such as research and development, pilot testing, and industrialization [5] - The guidelines leverage Shanghai's international reinsurance center to provide cross-border risk defense capabilities for enterprises expanding globally [5] - The introduction of special risk transfer tools and the integration of insurance and loan services are aimed at creating a sustainable and manageable technology insurance ecosystem [5]