3D AI DRAM产品

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华安证券:给予北京君正买入评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-04-29 06:25
主要观点: 事件 2025年4月24日,北京君正公告2025年一季度报告,公司1Q25实现营业收入10.6亿元,同比增长5.3%,环 比增长4.8%,归母净利润0.74亿元,同比下降15.3%,环比增长19.6%,扣非归母净利润0.66亿元,同比下 降18.8%,环比扭亏。 行业市场逐步回暖,静待产品周期花开 华安证券(600909)股份有限公司刘志来,陈耀波近期对北京君正(300223)进行研究并发布了研究报告 《行业市场逐步回暖,静待产品周期花开》,给予北京君正买入评级。 北京君正 投资建议 我们预计2025-2027年归母净利润为4.6、7.0、10.5亿元,对应EPS为0.96、1.45、2.17元/股,对应2025年4 月28日收盘价PE为67.8、45.0、30.1倍。我们认为北京君正的主要下游市场可能开始迎来复苏,2025年整 体形势较2024年会更好,从而带动业绩端的逐步修复,另外随着新制程DRAM的开发送样,有望开启公司 新一轮的成长周期,将公司由"增持"评级调整至"买入"评级。 风险提示 市场复苏不及预期;产品价格不及预期;费用端控制不及预期;地缘政治影响超预期。 最新盈利预测明细如下: ...
北京君正(300223):行业市场逐步回暖,静待产品周期花开
Huaan Securities· 2025-04-29 06:25
Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company from "Accumulate" to "Buy" based on expected market recovery and new product cycles [10]. Core Views - The industry market is gradually recovering, and the company is expected to benefit from this trend as its main downstream markets show signs of improvement [5][10]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.8%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 74 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.3% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.6% [5][10]. Financial Performance - The company's Q1 2025 gross margin was 36.4%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.0 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.9 percentage points [5]. - Revenue from the computing chip segment in Q1 2025 was 270 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 12.4% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.7% [6]. - Revenue from the storage chip segment was 660 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 3.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.9% [7]. - The report anticipates a recovery in the storage chip business as the automotive, industrial, and medical sectors begin to rebound in 2025 [7]. Product Development - The company is focusing on enhancing its computing power with the upcoming T42 chip, expected to exceed 2T, and plans to provide engineering samples of new DRAM products based on advanced processes in 2025 [6][7]. - The company is also actively pursuing opportunities in the AI storage market with its 3D AI DRAM products, leveraging its design experience and industry resources [8]. Future Outlook - The report projects net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 460 million, 700 million, and 1.046 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.96, 1.45, and 2.17 yuan per share [10][12]. - The overall market situation in 2025 is expected to improve compared to 2024, leading to gradual performance recovery for the company [10].