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上海合晶(688584):高端产能持续扩产
China Post Securities· 2025-08-13 08:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [5][13]. Core Views - The company is expected to experience a recovery in demand and an increase in the domestic market share of 8-inch epitaxial wafers due to high barriers to entry and the ongoing trend of domestic substitution. The company aims to become a benchmark for 8-inch products, focusing on high-barrier specialty products [3][4]. - The company plans to expand its 12-inch product capacity significantly, with a phased approach to increase production from over 40,000 pieces per month to a total of 100,000 pieces per month by the end of 2026. This includes a focus on power devices and CIS (CMOS Image Sensors) [4]. - Revenue projections for the company are optimistic, with expected revenues of 1.33 billion, 1.66 billion, and 2.00 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of 151 million, 188 million, and 236 million yuan for the same years [5][9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price is 22.86 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 15.2 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 7.8 billion yuan. The company has a total share capital of 6.65 billion shares, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 9.4% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 127.00 [2]. Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.11 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of -17.76%. This is expected to rebound to 20.21% in 2025, 24.63% in 2026, and 20.56% in 2027. The net profit is forecasted to decline to 120.78 million yuan in 2024, followed by increases to 150.69 million yuan in 2025, 188.42 million yuan in 2026, and 235.69 million yuan in 2027 [9][12].