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第三季度业绩“失速”,“达链”龙头胜宏科技被股民戏称“原谅概念股”
经济观察报· 2025-10-29 02:13
Core Viewpoint - The quarterly performance of Shenghong Technology has been characterized by significant year-on-year growth but a decline in quarter-on-quarter results, leading to its label as a "forgivable concept stock" in the investor community due to its involvement in the AI sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, Shenghong Technology reported revenue of 5.086 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 78.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.102 billion yuan, up 260.52% year-on-year [2]. - However, the net profit for Q3 showed a quarter-on-quarter decline of 9.88% compared to Q2 2025, where it was 1.223 billion yuan [2][6]. Market Position and Technology - Shenghong Technology has established itself as a Tier 1 supplier for NVIDIA and holds the largest market share in high-performance AI and computing PCBs globally as of Q1 2025 [5]. - The company is recognized for its advanced technology, being one of the first to achieve large-scale production of 6-layer 24-layer HDI PCBs, which are essential for high-density wiring and high-speed signal transmission in AI servers [5][6]. Management Insights - The management attributed the quarter-on-quarter decline in net profit to three main factors: product upgrades, increased labor costs due to new hires, and rising R&D expenses from new product introductions [7]. - The management indicated that future performance growth would not be linear but rather a stepwise process, with expectations for new products to ramp up in the following quarters [7][8]. Capacity Expansion and Investment - As of September 30, 2025, Shenghong Technology's construction in progress amounted to 3.548 billion yuan, a significant increase of 1283.08% from the beginning of the year [11]. - The company has also increased its long-term borrowings from 2.31 billion yuan at the start of the year to 3.866 billion yuan to support its investments [11]. Strategic Changes - The company plans to undertake "fast board" tasks starting in 2025, which involves rapid prototyping for PCB designs, significantly reducing the time from validation to mass production [12][13]. - This strategic shift aims to bridge the gap between prototyping and large-scale production, potentially shortening the timeline by at least six months [13]. Insider Activity - Notably, the founder's family and executives have engaged in significant share sell-offs, with a total of over 2.1 billion yuan in shares sold between May and August 2025 [14][15][16].
第三季度业绩“失速”,“达链”龙头胜宏科技被股民戏称“原谅概念股”
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-10-29 01:56
Core Viewpoint - Shenghong Technology's stock price has surged by 682.48% in 2025, driven by demand for high-end PCBs in AI servers, but the company's Q3 earnings report revealed a mixed performance, leading to investor concerns about growth sustainability [2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Shenghong Technology reported revenue of 5.086 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 78.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.102 billion yuan, up 260.52% year-on-year [2]. - However, the net profit decreased by 9.88% compared to Q2 2025, raising concerns among investors about the company's growth trajectory [2][3]. Market Position - Shenghong Technology has established itself as a Tier 1 supplier for NVIDIA and holds the largest market share in the AI and high-performance computing PCB sector as of Q1 2025 [4][5]. - The company also supplies AI server and data center PCBs to major cloud service providers like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google, showcasing its technical capabilities [5]. Operational Challenges - The management attributed the Q3 net profit decline to three main factors: product upgrades leading to production line adjustments, increased labor costs due to new hires, and rising R&D expenses from new product introductions [6]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 35.19%, down from 38.83% in Q2, but management expects it to improve in Q4 and beyond [7]. Capacity Expansion - Shenghong Technology has significantly increased its construction projects, with "in-progress construction" balances rising from 257 million yuan at the beginning of 2025 to 3.548 billion yuan by September 30, 2025, marking a 1283.08% increase [11]. - The company is also expanding its production capacity in Thailand and Vietnam, targeting the AI server market [10]. Business Model Evolution - Starting in 2025, Shenghong Technology will undertake "fast board" tasks, which involve rapid prototyping for PCB designs, a shift from traditional small-batch manufacturers [13]. - This change aims to shorten the time from prototype validation to mass production by at least six months [14]. Insider Activity - Despite the positive growth outlook presented by management, there has been significant insider selling, with the controlling shareholder and executives collectively cashing out over 2.1 billion yuan in two rounds of share reductions [15][17].