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中金:首予津上机床中国(01651)“跑赢行业”评级 目标价38.6港元
智通财经网· 2025-09-24 09:23
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the company, Tsugami Machine Tool (01651), is expected to achieve an EPS of 2.6 and 3.1 CNY for FY2026/2027, with a CAGR of 22%, and a target price of 38.6 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 17.1% based on current P/E ratios [1] - The company has a strong foothold in China's manufacturing sector, with a product matrix primarily focused on screw machines and supplemented by machining centers and grinding machines. For FY2025, the company is projected to generate revenue of 4.262 billion CNY and a net profit of 780 million CNY, reflecting year-on-year growth of 36.6% and 63% respectively [2] - The company is actively expanding its production capacity to reinforce its leading position in the market. The metal cutting machine tool sector is influenced by capital expenditures in the automotive and general manufacturing industries. The production growth rate for metal cutting tools in China from January to August 2025 is 14.6%, indicating a recovery in the market [3] Group 2 - The company's profitability has significantly increased, maintaining a dividend payout ratio above 40% since FY2023, reflecting its strong operational quality [4] - The company is strategically investing in AI liquid cooling connectors and humanoid robot components, which are expected to drive its second growth phase. Potential catalysts include advancements in liquid cooling infrastructure and humanoid robot grinding machines [5]