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网络安全 2026 展望:平台还有上涨空间吗?-Cybersecurity-2026 Outlook Any More Room on the Platform
2025-12-19 03:13
Summary of Cybersecurity Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **cybersecurity industry** in North America, particularly the performance and outlook for 2026. - **Platforms** have been identified as the primary source of excess returns in 2025, with a notable performance disparity between platform companies and other cybersecurity names. Key Points Performance Metrics - Platforms (e.g., Palo Alto Networks (PANW), CrowdStrike (CRWD), Zscaler (ZS), CyberArk (CYBR)) saw an average return of **~30%** in 2025, while other cybersecurity names were down **~12%** [3][7]. - The overall cybersecurity market was largely flat, with platforms being viewed as multi-year compounders due to their growth potential [3][14]. Growth Expectations - Continued favor for platforms is expected, but M&A activities in the first half of 2026 may create volatility and present opportunities for other companies [4][31]. - Companies like Netskope (NTSK) and SailPoint (SAIL) are highlighted as potential outperformers with expected growth rates of **20%+** [3][9]. M&A Impact - The ongoing M&A activities, such as PANW's acquisition of CyberArk and ZS's acquisition of Red Canary, may create short-term noise around organic growth metrics [8][31]. - Despite the potential for dilution and integration challenges, these acquisitions are expected to enhance long-term growth prospects [8][31]. Valuation Insights - PANW is noted as a top pick due to its reasonable valuation at **25x EV/27e FCF**, which is in line with large-cap software [7][31]. - Other companies like SAIL and NTSK are seen as undervalued with significant upside potential, trading at lower multiples compared to their growth prospects [9][35]. Market Dynamics - The cybersecurity market is characterized by a trend towards consolidation, with enterprises increasingly looking to reduce the number of disparate security tools [54]. - The shift towards platformization is expected to continue, driven by the need for integrated solutions that enhance security effectiveness [54]. Additional Insights Emerging Opportunities - The AI security segment is growing rapidly, with Zscaler's AI Security revenue expected to exceed **$500 million** by year-end, reflecting a **80%+ YoY growth** [32]. - SailPoint is positioned to benefit from the transition to cloud and AI, with multiple avenues for growth including a **$2 billion+ legacy replacement opportunity** [35]. Cautionary Notes - Companies like Fortinet (FTNT) are viewed with caution due to potential downward revisions in growth expectations, particularly related to firewall refresh cycles [38][45]. - Qualys (QLYS) faces longer-term growth concerns despite recent performance, with a need for clearer visibility into future growth drivers [46]. Conclusion - The cybersecurity industry is poised for continued growth, particularly among platform companies, despite potential short-term challenges from M&A activities. - Investors are encouraged to consider both established platforms and emerging players with strong growth narratives as they navigate the evolving landscape of cybersecurity.
Should You Buy the Post-Earnings Dip in Zscaler Stock?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-26 21:29
Zscaler (ZS) shares tanked significantly, closing down 13% on Nov. 26, even though the cybersecurity company posted exceptional financials for its first quarter. The selloff is puzzling particularly because ZS raised its full-year guidance as well on Wednesday. It now sees $3.29 billion in revenue on up to $3.82 per share of earnings, both ahead of consensus estimates. More News from Barchart Following the post-earnings plunge, Zscaler stock is down some 25% versus its year-to-date high. www.barchart.c ...
Zscaler(ZS) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-25 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong start to fiscal year 2026, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth accelerating to 26% year-over-year and remaining performance obligation (RPO) growth accelerating to 35% [7][23] - Q1 revenue was $788 million, growing 26% year-over-year and 10% sequentially, exceeding the high end of guidance [23] - The gross margin was reported at 79.9%, down from 80.6% in the same quarter last year, influenced by new product introductions [24] - Free cash flow margin for Q1 was 52%, with cash and short-term investments totaling $3.3 billion [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ARR from the three growth pillars—AI Security, Zero Trust Everywhere, and Data Security Everywhere—accelerated in the quarter [7][23] - AI Security pillar grew over 80% year-over-year, exceeding the FY 2026 target of $400 million ARR three quarters early [8] - Data Security Everywhere ARR accelerated to approximately $450 million [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Geographically, the Americas accounted for 58% of revenue, EMEA for 27%, and APJ for 15% [23] - The company closed Q1 with 698 customers generating over $1 million in ARR and 3,754 customers exceeding $100,000 in ARR [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to exceed $10 billion in ARR, leveraging its leadership in Zero Trust security and comprehensive AI Security offerings [22] - The introduction of the Z-Flex program is driving meaningful upsells and reducing sales cycles, generating over $175 million in total contract value (TCV) [20][21] - The company is focusing on expanding its Zero Trust Everywhere initiative, having secured over 450 enterprises, surpassing its goal three quarters ahead of schedule [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while IT budgets remain tight, there is less pressure on cybersecurity spending, with strong interest in Zero Trust Security and AI Security [65] - The company is optimistic about the future, citing strong demand for its solutions and a robust pipeline [66] Other Important Information - The company announced the transition of its Investor Relations leader, with Kim Watkins joining in early December [4] - The integration of Red Canary is progressing well, with the majority of the pipeline coming from existing Zscaler customers [48] Q&A Session Summary Question: About Zero Trust Branch and its future acceleration - Management indicated that the technology for Zero Trust Branch is in great shape, with significant demand from customers, and sees a big opportunity for growth [31] Question: Regarding the growth of the $2 billion ARR segment - Management confirmed that a significant part of the remaining $2 billion is from ZIA and ZPA, which are growing well, but the core business will grow at a slower rate than the overall business [40][42] Question: Performance of Red Canary and its integration - Management stated that the integration of Red Canary is going well, with its contribution trending slightly better than previous guidance, although it is not material to overall business [48][49] Question: Breakdown of revenue strength - Management highlighted that all three growth pillars—Zero Trust Everywhere, AI Security, and Data Security—are growing well and accelerating [53] Question: Competitive landscape and core business performance - Management noted that the competitive landscape has not changed significantly, with Zscaler's brand becoming stronger among large enterprises [58] Question: Customer spending priorities for 2026 - Management observed that while IT budgets are tight, there is strong interest in Zero Trust and AI Security, which are driving pipeline creation [65] Question: Trends in the SASE market - Management expressed confidence in their position within the Zero Trust market, stating that their expansion is driven by new functionalities [71] Question: Organic net new ARR in the quarter - Management indicated that organic growth in Q1 was consistent with Q4 and exceeded internal expectations [78][79] Question: Synergies between Red Canary and data security portfolio - Management discussed the integration strategy, emphasizing the potential for enhanced threat detection and governance capabilities [119]
Zscaler(ZS) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-25 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong start to fiscal Q1 2026, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth accelerating to 26% year-over-year and remaining performance obligation (RPO) growth accelerating to 35% [7][23] - Q1 revenue reached $788 million, growing 26% year-over-year and 10% sequentially, exceeding the high end of guidance [23] - The gross margin for Q1 was 79.9%, down from 80.6% in the same quarter last year, influenced by new product introductions [24] - Operating margin was 21.8%, with a free cash flow margin of 52% [25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ARR from the three growth pillars—AI Security, Zero Trust Everywhere, and Data Security Everywhere—accelerated in Q1 [7][23] - AI Security pillar grew over 80% year-over-year, exceeding the FY26 target of $400 million ARR three quarters early [8][15] - Data Security Everywhere ARR accelerated to approximately $450 million [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Geographically, the Americas accounted for 58% of revenue, EMEA for 27%, and APJ for 15% [23] - The company closed Q1 with 698 customers generating over $1 million in ARR and 3,754 customers exceeding $100,000 in ARR [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to exceed $10 billion in ARR, leveraging its leadership in Zero Trust security and comprehensive AI security offerings [22] - The introduction of the Zflex program is driving meaningful upsells and reducing sales cycles, generating over $175 million in total contract value (TCV) [20][21] - The company is focusing on expanding its Zero Trust Everywhere initiative, having secured over 450 enterprises, surpassing its goal three quarters ahead of schedule [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while IT budgets remain tight, there is less pressure on cybersecurity spending, with strong interest in Zero Trust and AI Security solutions [65] - The company is optimistic about the future, expecting AI Security ARR to surpass $500 million by the end of fiscal 2026 [15][21] Other Important Information - The company announced the transition of Ashwin Kesireddy to a new role as Product Manager of AI Security, with Kim Watkins joining as the new head of Investor Relations [4][27] - The integration of Red Canary is progressing well, with its contribution trending slightly better than previous guidance, although it is not expected to be material to overall business [48][116] Q&A Session Summary Question: About Zero Trust Branch and its future acceleration - Management indicated that the technology for Zero Trust Branch is in great shape, with significant demand from customers, and they see a big opportunity for growth [30][32] Question: Regarding the growth of the $2 billion ARR segment - Management confirmed that a significant part of the remaining $2 billion is from ZIA and ZPA, which are growing well, but the core business will grow at a slower rate than the overall business [40][42] Question: Performance of Red Canary and its integration - Management stated that the integration of Red Canary is going well, with its go-to-market team uncovering opportunities within Zscaler's customer base [48][116] Question: Insights on revenue strength and core business performance - Management highlighted that all three growth pillars are accelerating, contributing to strong overall performance, and they are seeing organic growth consistent with previous quarters [54][56] Question: Competitive landscape and customer priorities - Management noted that the competitive landscape has not changed significantly, with Zscaler's brand becoming stronger and customers prioritizing Zero Trust and AI Security solutions [58][66] Question: Trends in the SASE market - Management emphasized that Zscaler remains strong in the Zero Trust market, differentiating itself from other vendors claiming to offer SASE solutions [70][72] Question: Organic net new ARR in the quarter - Management confirmed that organic growth in Q1 was consistent with Q4, exceeding internal expectations [78][116] Question: Synergies between Red Canary and data security portfolio - Management discussed the integration strategy, highlighting opportunities for remediation and governance within the data security portfolio [119]
Zscaler(ZS) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-25 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1, annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth accelerated to 26% year over year, with ARR reaching over $3.2 billion [5][18] - Remaining performance obligation (RPO) grew approximately 35% year over year to $5.9 billion [19] - Q1 revenue was $788 million, growing 26% year over year and exceeding guidance [18] - Gross margin was 79.9%, slightly down from 80.6% in the previous year [19] - Operating margin was 21.8%, with a free cash flow margin of 52% [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - AI Security pillar grew over 80% year over year, exceeding the FY26 target of $400 million ARR three quarters early [6][12] - Data Security Everywhere ARR accelerated to approximately $450 million [16] - Zero Trust Everywhere achieved over 450 enterprise customers, surpassing the goal set three quarters ahead of schedule [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Americas accounted for 58% of revenue, EMEA for 27%, and APJ for 15% [18] - The company is one of only five enterprise SaaS companies with over $3 billion in ARR growing at over 25% [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on three growth pillars: AI Security, Zero Trust Everywhere, and Data Security Everywhere, which are driving strong top-line performance [5][12] - The introduction of the Zflex program is aimed at providing customers with flexibility and driving upsells [16][53] - The company is positioned to exceed $10 billion in ARR by leveraging its leadership in Zero Trust security and comprehensive AI security offerings [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while IT budgets remain tight, there is less pressure on cybersecurity spending, with strong interest in Zero Trust and AI Security solutions [32][34] - The company expects to continue investing aggressively to position itself for long-term growth and profitability [21] Other Important Information - The company announced a leadership transition in Investor Relations, with Kim Watkins joining to lead the team [3] - The acquisition of Red Canary is expected to enhance the company's threat intelligence capabilities [39] Q&A Session Summary Question: About Zero Trust Branch and its adoption - Management indicated that Zero Trust Branch technology is in great shape, with significant demand and a growing customer base [23][24] Question: Growth of the $2 billion ARR segment - Management confirmed that a significant portion of the $2 billion ARR comes from ZIA and ZPA, with a focus on transitioning customers to Zero Trust Everywhere [25][26] Question: Performance of Red Canary - Integration of Red Canary is progressing well, with contributions trending slightly better than previous guidance, though not material to overall business [27][28] Question: Drivers of revenue strength - Management highlighted that all three growth pillars are accelerating, contributing to strong overall performance [29][30] Question: Competitive landscape - The competitive landscape remains stable, with the company's brand recognition growing among large enterprises [31] Question: Customer spending priorities for 2026 - Customers are prioritizing Zero Trust Security and AI Security, with a focus on cost savings and improved cybersecurity [32][34] Question: Demand for Zero Trust Gateway - Management noted that Zero Trust Cloud simplifies deployments and reduces the need for traditional firewalls, enhancing customer buy-in [44][45] Question: SAP RISE migration opportunity - The migration to SAP RISE is expected to provide significant opportunities for the company, similar to past migrations like Microsoft Exchange to Office 365 [50][51] Question: Zflex program impact - Zflex is gaining traction, providing customers with flexibility and longer-term visibility on future ARR [52][53]
Zscaler Q1 Earnings: Analysts Bet On AI While Management Targets Margin Recovery - Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS)
Benzinga· 2025-11-25 02:31
Core Viewpoint - Zscaler Inc. is experiencing a balance between stabilizing growth and aggressive innovation as it approaches its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings report on November 25 [1] Management's Forecast: Margins And Milestones - Zscaler projects revenue between $772 million and $774 million, indicating approximately 23% year-over-year growth [2] - The company aims to recover gross margins to 80% after a decline in the previous quarter due to a one-time, hardware-heavy government deployment [2] Growth Vectors and Acquisitions - CEO Jay Chaudhry highlights three major growth areas: AI Security, Zero Trust Everywhere, and Data Security Everywhere, which have collectively surpassed $1 billion in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) [3] - The acquisition of Red Canary is expected to contribute $95 million in ARR for the fiscal year [3] Market Sentiment and Strategic Positioning - Wall Street sentiment is largely positive, with Cantor Fitzgerald raising its price target to $365, driven by confidence in the Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) opportunity and anticipated synergies from the Red Canary acquisition [4]
Zscaler Beats Q4 Estimates, Analysts Mixed On Price Targets Despite Growth
Benzinga· 2025-09-03 16:01
Core Insights - Zscaler Inc reported strong fiscal fourth-quarter results, with annual recurring revenues (ARR) increasing by 22% and initial guidance for fiscal 2026 indicating 19% growth [1][7][8] Financial Performance - Billings reached $1,202 million, a 32% year-on-year increase, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1,145 million [3][8] - Revenue for the quarter was $719 million, exceeding expectations of $708 million [3] - ARR for the fourth quarter was $3.015 billion, remaining flat sequentially, but net new ARR growth accelerated to 16% year-on-year from 6% in the previous quarter [3][11] Guidance and Future Outlook - Management guided for an operating margin expansion of approximately 65 basis points for fiscal 2026, indicating potential for upside [2] - The ARR guidance for fiscal 2026 is set at $3.676-$3.698 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 22%-23% [8] - The guidance does not include contributions from Red Canary contracts, which are up for renewal in fiscal 2026 [9] Market Position and Growth Areas - Zscaler is experiencing strong momentum in the Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) market, with a robust portfolio of emerging products [4][6] - The company's emerging growth categories, including AI Security, Zero Trust Everywhere, and Data Security Everywhere, now represent over $1 billion in combined ARR and are growing faster than the overall business [11] - Customers contributing $1 million in ARR grew by 18% year-on-year, while those spending over $100,000 increased by 13% [11] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have noted that Zscaler's results substantially exceeded expectations across growth and profitability metrics [4][10] - The company is well-positioned to maintain a 22% year-on-year revenue growth trajectory [5]