Key Takeaways SMCI's server and storage revenues jumped 19% YoY in Q3 FY25, driven by HPC and AI workload demand. The company launched modular DCBBS solutions and new 4-Socket X14 Servers with Intel Xeon 6 processors. SMCI's offerings support SAP HANA, Oracle Linux, and aim to streamline powerful data center deployment.Super Micro Computer’s (SMCI) server and storage segment has experienced massive traction in recent times. The recent growth has primarily been fueled by demand in high performance computin ...

20 July 2025 | 1:49PM HKT Huaqin Technology (603296.SS): 2Q25 guidance beat; AI servers and Switches in strong growth; Buy (on CL) Huaqin announced 1H25 guidance (link), implying: (1) 2Q25 revenues at Rmb48bn to Rmb49bn, or midpoint at Rmb48.5bn (+39% QoQ, +109% YoY), or 43% ahead of our estimates; and (2) 2Q25 net income at Rmb1.0bn to Rmb1.1bn, or midpoint at Rmb1,043m (+24% QoQ, +52% YoY), or 30% ahead of our estimates. Management attributed the strong guidance to growing generative AI, reaffirming our p ...

Dell Technologies (DELL) shares rallied 5.9% in the last trading session to close at $131.24. This move can be attributable to notable volume with a higher number of shares being traded than in a typical session. This compares to the stock's 6.3% gain over the past four weeks.Dell is benefiting from strong demand for AI servers driven by ongoing digital transformation and heightened interest in generative AI applications.This computer and technology services provider is expected to post quarterly earnings o ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Company: Inspur (000977.SZ) Key Points 1. **Upgrade to Buy**: Inspur has been upgraded from Neutral to Buy due to improving GPU supply in the China market, new GPU platforms expected in 2H25, and the growth of local chipset platforms to meet generative AI demand in China. The 12-month price target (TP) has been raised to Rmb77.8 from Rmb55, indicating a potential upside of 39.5% [1][9][10]. 2. **Revenue and Earnings Growth**: Revenue projections for Inspur have been revised upwards by 8% for 2025, 25% for 2026, and 27% for 2027, primarily driven by higher AI training server revenues. The company expects a significant ramp-up in shipments of AI training servers due to better GPU supply and new product cycles [14][18]. 3. **Market Position**: Inspur is positioned as a leading AI server ODM in China, supplying major Chinese cloud service providers (CSPs) and expanding its offerings from global-tier GPU-powered servers to local chipset-powered servers. This transition is expected to enhance its market share and profitability [10][13][14]. 4. **Earnings Revision**: Earnings have been revised upwards by 7% for 2025, 11% for 2026, and 9% for 2027, despite a lower gross margin (GM) and higher operating expenses (Opex) ratio. The expected GM is projected to decline slightly due to the higher contribution from AI training servers, which typically have lower margins [14][18]. 5. **Sensitivity Analysis**: A sensitivity analysis indicates that a 10% increase in AI training server shipments could lead to a 6% increase in total revenues and a 2% increase in gross profit. Conversely, a decrease in shipments would have the opposite effect [17]. 6. **Investment Thesis**: The investment thesis for Inspur is based on the anticipated increase in capital expenditure (Capex) from Chinese CSPs, telecom operators, and government clients focused on AI training and inferencing. The emergence of advanced AI applications is also expected to drive growth [29][32]. 7. **Risks**: Key risks include slower-than-expected ramp-up of AI servers in China, potential GPU supply constraints, and intensified pricing competition among ODM suppliers, which could negatively impact earnings [27][28][32]. Company: Piotech (688072.SS) Key Points 1. **Downgrade to Neutral**: Piotech has been downgraded from Buy to Neutral due to pressures on near-term profitability stemming from new product ramp-up. The revised TP is set at Rmb185, reflecting a 17% upside potential [2][33]. 2. **Profitability Concerns**: The company's gross margin fell to 20% in Q1 2025 from 47% in Q1 2024, attributed to higher delivery and service costs associated with new products. The expectation is that it will take time for margins to recover to the historical average of around 40% for deposition tools [35][37]. 3. **Earnings Revision**: Earnings estimates have been reduced by 3% to 5% for 2025-2027, primarily due to lower margins and adjustments in government subsidies. The target P/E multiple has been reset from 42.5x to 37.7x to reflect these changes [34][38]. 4. **Market Position**: Piotech is recognized as a local leader in deposition tools, expanding into high-end products. However, the company faces challenges due to its exposure to competitive mature nodes and the costs associated with new product delivery [34][39]. 5. **Government Subsidies**: Expected government subsidies have been lowered, reflecting the company's shift towards self-funding for new production facilities. Despite this, there is an ongoing effort to deepen cooperation with government entities [37][39]. Conclusion Inspur is positioned for significant growth in the AI server market, supported by favorable supply conditions and increasing demand. Conversely, Piotech faces challenges that have led to a downgrade, highlighting the importance of managing new product costs and maintaining profitability in a competitive landscape.

Global Tech: Raising 2026E on ASIC rising liquid cooling trend and rack-level AI servers ramp up; +66% TAM growth in 2026E We update Global Server Cooling TAM following recent updates of our global server estimates. We expect the adoption of liquid cooling to accelerate as computing power of AI servers increases (e.g. GB200 AI server rack TDP at ~120kw, vs. HGX at 60-80kw). The liquid cooling adoption is across GPU and ASIC AI servers, and we expect liquid cooled AI training server penetration rates to reac ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Foxconn Industrial Internet is "Buy" with a target price of Rmb26.00, indicating an expected return of 11.1% [3][20]. Core Insights - Foxconn Industrial Internet (FII) reported a net profit guidance for 2Q25 of Rmb6.73-6.93 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 48%-52%, which exceeds CitiE and BBGe estimates by 12% and 26% respectively [1][2]. - Cloud computing revenue for FII increased by over 50% in 2Q25, with AI server revenue growing by over 60% year-over-year, although this was below the initial guidance of 100%+ [1][2]. - The revenue from CSP servers rose by more than 150% year-over-year in 2Q25, and significant growth was observed in GPU module and compute tray shipments [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FII's net profit guidance for 2Q25 is as follows: - High-end: Rmb6.93 billion, a 52% increase year-over-year - Medium: Rmb6.83 billion, a 50% increase year-over-year - Low-end: Rmb6.73 billion, a 48% increase year-over-year [4]. Valuation - The target price of Rmb26.00 is based on a valuation of 17.0x 2025E earnings, which is justified by an earnings upcycle expected in 2025-2026 [6]. - The valuation multiple aligns with a blended P/E approach, applying 15x P/E to the non-AI segment and 20x P/E to the AI segment [6]. Market Context - The market capitalization of FII is approximately Rmb476.23 billion (US$66.46 billion) [3]. - The expected dividend yield is 2.7%, contributing to the overall expected return of 11.1% [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Foxconn Industrial Internet (FII) with a revised target price of Rmb31.11, reflecting an upside potential of 17.9% from the current price of Rmb26.38 [16][17]. Core Insights - FII's 2Q25 net income guidance is between Rmb6.7 billion and Rmb6.9 billion, with a midpoint of Rmb6.8 billion, representing a 31% quarter-over-quarter increase and a 50% year-over-year increase [1]. - The company is experiencing significant growth in cloud computing revenues, projected to exceed 50% year-over-year, and AI server revenues are expected to grow over 60% year-over-year [1]. - FII's revenues from cloud service providers (CSPs) increased by over 150% year-over-year in 2Q25, and revenues from 800G switches are projected to be three times higher than in 2024 [1]. - The report anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29% for net income from 2025 to 2027, with AI server revenues expected to rise from 29% in 2024 to 68% by 2027 [1]. Financial Projections - The report revises net income estimates upward by 3%, 4%, and 6% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, due to higher revenue expectations [5]. - FII's revenue projections for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are Rmb850.1 billion, Rmb1,130.6 billion, and Rmb1,274.5 billion respectively, reflecting increases of 5%, 10%, and 9% from previous estimates [8]. - The gross profit (GP) for 2025E is revised to Rmb49.9 billion, with operating profit (OP) at Rmb31.4 billion and net income at Rmb27.6 billion [8]. Market Position and Competitive Analysis - FII is positioned as a leading supplier in the AI server market, particularly in rack-level AI servers, supported by a comprehensive supply chain and global production capabilities [5][9]. - The target price is based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 16x for 2026E, reflecting a market re-rating on AI servers [10][15].

Core Insights - The server market is projected to experience significant growth driven by artificial intelligence, with revenues expected to grow at a 25% annual rate from 2024 to 2030, while unit shipments will increase at a 7% annual pace [1][10]. Company Insights - Dell Technologies is identified as a major beneficiary of the rising AI server demand, with an AI server backlog of $14.4 billion as of the first quarter of fiscal 2026, and projected AI server revenue growth from $9.8 billion in 2024 to over $44 billion by 2027 [5][6]. - Hewlett Packard Enterprise is also expected to benefit significantly, with AI server revenue projected to grow from $4.5 billion in 2024 to $20 billion by 2027, and an APU backlog of $3.2 billion at the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2025 [7]. Market Dynamics - AI server revenues are anticipated to grow at a 28% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2030, outpacing the overall server market growth of 25% CAGR, while non-AI server revenues will grow at about 4% annually [3]. - AI server unit shipments are expected to increase at a 15% CAGR, compared to total server units growing at a 7.2% annual rate during the same period [4]. Product Segmentation - Early AI-related demand is expected to focus on mid-range and high-end training servers, with inference server demand rising in later years, primarily in the mid-range segment [11]. - Volume servers priced below $10,000 are projected to grow at a 5% CAGR, while mid-range server units will grow at a 19% CAGR, and high-end server units will grow at a 39% CAGR, driven by the need to train AI models [12]. Competitive Landscape - The server industry is expected to face pressure on profit margins due to intensifying competition, with operating margins likely to remain in the low-to-mid single digits in the near term [9]. - Newer GPUs, such as Nvidia's Blackwell, require significant power, leading to the integration of liquid cooling systems, which currently command premium pricing but are expected to see price reductions over time [8].

Group 1 - BofA Securities has resumed coverage on Super Micro Computer (SMCI) with an 'Underperform' rating and a price target of $35, indicating a potential downside of approximately 28.5% from current levels [1] - SMCI stock closed at $49.11 on July 8, reflecting a 4.25% gain from the previous session, but experienced a 1.34% decline in premarket trading [2] - Despite BofA's bearish outlook, the broader Wall Street sentiment is more optimistic, with a "Moderate Buy" consensus based on 13 analysts' price targets, including 6 Buy ratings, 6 Hold ratings, and 1 Sell rating [3] Group 2 - The average 12-month price target for SMCI is $41.42, suggesting a potential downside of 15%, with forecasts varying from a high of $70.00 to a low of $24.00 [5] - Super Micro is projected to achieve strong revenue growth, with sales expected to increase nearly 48% to $22 billion in FY'25 and continue growing by 35% to approximately $30 billion in FY'26 due to robust data center spending [6] - The company's close ties to Nvidia's GPU ecosystem position it favorably to benefit from the upcoming Blackwell GPU ramp, although margin pressures from costly liquid-cooling systems and heightened competition may impact profitability in the near term [7]

Group 1 - Supermicro plans to increase its investment in Europe, focusing on ramping up manufacturing of AI servers in the region [1][2] - The company currently has manufacturing facilities in the Netherlands and is considering expanding to other locations due to rapidly growing demand in Europe [2] - Global demand for AI servers is expected to continue improving over the coming years, indicating a strong market outlook [3] Group 2 - Supermicro's servers are equipped with Nvidia chips, which are essential for training and implementing large AI models [2] - The comments from Supermicro's CEO follow Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's recent visit to Europe, where he signed infrastructure deals and encouraged the region to enhance its computing capacity [3]