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Should You Stay Invested in or Sell Nebius Stock Post Q2 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 15:16
Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) stock has increased by 36.7% following the release of its strong Q2 2025 earnings on August 7, with revenues rising 625% year-over-year to $105.1 million, driven by robust performance in its core business and effective execution by the TripleTen team [1][3][8] Revenue Growth - AI cloud infrastructure revenues have grown over nine times year-over-year, fueled by demand for copper GPUs and near-peak GPU utilization, with the company achieving positive EBITDA in its core AI infrastructure business earlier than anticipated [3][8] - The annualized run rate (ARR) revenue guidance has been raised from a previous range of $750 million to $1 billion to a new range of $900 million to $1.1 billion, reflecting the strength of its contracted pipeline and near-term visibility [3][6] Strategic Expansion - Nebius is expanding its data center footprint and GPU deployments, aiming to secure 220 megawatts of connected power and planning to build over 1 gigawatt of power capacity by 2026, which positions the company for sustained growth in the AI compute boom [7][9] - The company has expanded its customer roster to include notable clients such as Cloudflare and Shopify, as well as fast-growing AI startups [6][9] Competitive Landscape - Despite the positive outlook, Nebius faces significant challenges, including intense competition in the AI cloud infrastructure market from major players like Amazon, Microsoft, and smaller companies like CoreWeave, which reported 207% year-over-year revenue growth [13][14] - The competitive environment may lead to pricing pressure and higher customer acquisition costs for Nebius [14][20] Financial Considerations - Nebius has reaffirmed its $2 billion capital expenditure guidance for 2025, which poses a risk if revenue growth does not keep pace with such high capital intensity [12][20] - The company has deconsolidated Toloka, which will reduce projected 2025 revenues by $50-$70 million, with expected group revenues now between $450 million to $630 million [15][20] Valuation and Market Position - Nebius's valuation appears stretched, indicated by a Value Score of F, and its Price/Book ratio of 4.7X is higher than the Internet Software Services industry's ratio of 4.21X, suggesting more risk than opportunity [16][18] - Despite the challenges, the impressive Q2 results position Nebius as an exciting player in the AI infrastructure space, with a promising growth trajectory [19][20]
Nebius Group N.V.(NBIS) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-07 13:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $105.1 million, representing a 625% year-over-year increase and a 106% quarter-over-quarter increase, driven by strong performance in the core business [11] - The annualized run rate revenue guidance was raised from $700 million to a new range of $900 million to $1.1 billion, reflecting strong demand and capacity expansion [4][13] - The company achieved positive adjusted EBITDA in its core AI infrastructure business ahead of expectations [3][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - AI cloud infrastructure revenue increased more than nine times year-over-year, driven by high customer demand for corporate GPUs and near-peak utilization of the platform [11] - The company expects to have 220 megawatts of connected power by the end of the year, with 100 megawatts of active power [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is expanding its customer base significantly, adding large global technology customers such as Cloudflare, Process, and Shopify, while also maintaining a strong position with AI tech startups [6] - The demand for AI compute is expected to grow stronger, with the company ramping up capacity to support this growth [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is aggressively increasing data center capacity and expects to secure over one gigawatt of power by 2026 to capture industry growth [5] - The focus is on becoming a leader in AI cloud infrastructure, with significant investments in capacity to meet growing demand [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong momentum of the business and the exceptionally high demand for AI compute, indicating a bright future for the company [12][15] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing AI market, with a strong balance sheet and access to additional capital [7][49] Other Important Information - The company has raised over $4 billion in capital so far and has access to potentially billions more through non-core businesses and equity stakes [7] - The company is maintaining its CapEx guidance of around $2 billion for 2025 [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: What does the overall demand environment look like as we move into the second half of the year? - The demand environment in Q2 was very strong, with peak utilization achieved by the end of the quarter, and larger clusters attracting new large customers [18][19] Question: How should we think about adjusted EBITDA for the core business and the whole group going forward? - The core business reached adjusted EBITDA profitability this quarter, and the group anticipates turning adjusted EBITDA positive by the end of the year, but it will remain negative for the full year [21] Question: Can you provide an update on ARR this quarter? - ARR grew from $249 million in March to $430 million in June, with strong momentum continuing into July [22] Question: How should we think about revenue for next year with the one gigawatt of contracted power? - It is too early to provide 2026 guidance, but the midterm outlook remains strong, with several billion dollars of revenue expected in the coming years [27] Question: How are tariffs impacting your business and margins? - It is early to determine the definitive impact of tariffs, but the market is expected to balance out any short-term fluctuations [30] Question: What is the return on CapEx? - The company expects to break even on the hopper generation in two to three years, with potential to shorten the return on invested capital as higher margin software and services revenue scales [34] Question: Can you walk us through the timeline for the infrastructure build-out for this year? - The company is ramping up capacity with significant projects in New Jersey and Finland, expecting to have 220 megawatts of connected power by the end of the year [36][37] Question: What partnerships do you think are most meaningful? - The company has made strong progress with partnerships, including integrations with Mistral, Base 10, and Skypilot, which enhance the ease of use of its AI cloud [72] Question: How is NVIDIA Leptin impacting your business? - The partnership with NVIDIA has generated a significant pipeline of customers, enhancing the company's position in the AI ecosystem [91] Question: Do you expect to benefit from Europe's ramping up of AI investments? - Yes, the company is well-connected in Europe and expects to be a major AI infrastructure builder in the region [93]
Nebius Group N.V.(NBIS) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-07 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $105.1 million, representing a 625% year-over-year increase and a 106% quarter-over-quarter increase, driven by strong performance in the core business [11] - The annualized run rate revenue guidance was raised from $700 million to a new range of $900 million to $1.1 billion, reflecting strong demand and capacity expansion [4][13] - The company achieved positive adjusted EBITDA in its core AI infrastructure business ahead of expectations [3][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - AI cloud infrastructure revenue increased more than nine times year-over-year, driven by strong customer demand for corporate GPUs and near-peak utilization of the platform [11] - The company expects to have 220 megawatts of connected power by the end of the year, with 100 megawatts of active power [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is expanding its customer base significantly, adding large global technology customers such as Cloudflare, Process, and Shopify, while also maintaining a strong position with AI tech startups [6] - The demand for AI compute is expected to remain strong, with the company planning to secure over one gigawatt of power by 2026 to capture industry growth [5][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is aggressively ramping up data center capacity and enhancing its software cloud platform to support expanding capacity and meet demand [5][6] - The focus is on becoming a leader in AI cloud infrastructure, with significant investments planned to capture growth opportunities [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the strong demand for AI compute and the company's ability to scale operations effectively [8][12] - The company anticipates turning adjusted EBITDA positive at the group level by the end of the year, with expectations for continued growth in 2026 and beyond [20][12] Other Important Information - The company has raised over $4 billion in capital and has access to potentially billions more through non-core businesses and equity stakes [7] - The company is maintaining its capital expenditure guidance of around $2 billion for 2025 [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: What does the overall demand environment look like as we move into the second half of the year? - The demand environment in Q2 was very strong, with peak utilization achieved by the end of the quarter, indicating growing opportunities in the market [17][19] Question: How should we think about adjusted EBITDA for the core business and the whole group going forward? - The core business is expected to remain positive throughout the year, while group adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to turn positive by the end of the year but will remain negative for the full year [20] Question: Can you provide an update on ARR for the year? - ARR grew from $249 million in March to $430 million in June, with strong momentum continuing into July [21] Question: How should we think about revenue for next year with the one gigawatt of contracted power? - It is too early to provide 2026 guidance, but the company reaffirms its midterm outlook for several billion dollars in revenue [26] Question: How do tariffs impact your business and margins? - The impact of tariffs is still being assessed, but the company is confident that the market will balance out any short-term fluctuations [28] Question: What is the expected return on CapEx? - The company expects to break even on the hopper generation in roughly two to three years, with potential for a shorter return on invested capital as software and services revenue scales [30][32] Question: What is the timeline for the infrastructure build-out for this year? - The company is ramping up capacity with significant projects in New Jersey and Finland, expecting to have 220 megawatts of connected power by the end of the year [34][35] Question: How do you plan to finance the capacity expansion for this year and next year? - The company has significant cash on hand and will approach additional capital raising opportunistically based on market conditions [45] Question: What partnerships do you think are most meaningful? - The company has made strong progress with partnerships, including integrations with Mistral and Base 10, which extend the ease of use of its AI cloud [66] Question: How is NVIDIA Leptin impacting your business? - The partnership with NVIDIA has generated a significant pipeline of customers, enhancing the company's position in the AI ecosystem [82] Question: Do you expect to benefit from Europe's ramp-up in AI investments? - The company is well-connected in Europe and expects to be a major AI infrastructure builder in the region [84]
Down 24%, Should You Buy the Dip on CoreWeave?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-18 11:30
Core观点 - CoreWeave, an AI cloud computing company, has seen its stock price increase by 245% since going public, but has recently experienced a 24% decline from its 52-week high [1][2]. 分组1: 股票表现与估值 - Despite a recent dip, CoreWeave's stock remains expensive, trading at a premium sales multiple of 25 compared to the U.S. technology sector's average of 8.4 [4]. - The stock's decline is attributed to negative Wall Street coverage and concerns over competition from Nvidia in the AI infrastructure market [6]. - Analysts suggest that the company's growth potential justifies its current valuation, as it is expected to reach $5 billion in revenue by 2025, up from $1.9 billion in 2024 [8]. 分组2: 市场需求与增长潜力 - CoreWeave has a revenue backlog of nearly $26 billion, reflecting a 63% year-over-year increase, indicating strong demand for its cloud AI infrastructure [8]. - The company is expanding its data center capacity, having raised $21 billion to meet customer demands in a projected $400 billion addressable market by 2028 [11]. - CoreWeave's acquisition of Core Scientific for $9 billion will enhance its capacity, adding 1.3 GW of existing power capacity and the potential for an additional 1 GW [13]. 分组3: 成本节约与盈利预期 - The acquisition is expected to eliminate over $10 billion in future lease liabilities and generate $500 million in annual cost savings by the end of 2027 [14]. - Analysts anticipate that CoreWeave will become profitable next year, with significant growth in its bottom line expected by 2027 [15]. 分组4: 投资机会 - Given the substantial addressable market and the company's growth trajectory, it may be a favorable time for growth-oriented investors to consider accumulating CoreWeave stock following its recent price decline [17].
AI Infrastructure Is Exploding—Don't Overlook CoreWeave & Nebius
MarketBeat· 2025-07-17 16:22
Core Industry Insights - A significant wave of investment is transforming the AI sector, with specialized computing infrastructure being the driving force behind this change [1] - CoreWeave and Nebius Group are two companies at the forefront of this investment trend, attracting considerable investor interest due to their unique offerings [2] CoreWeave Overview - CoreWeave is focused on dominating the U.S. market through a strategy that emphasizes building a defensible competitive advantage [3] - The company is pursuing a $9 billion all-stock acquisition of Core Scientific to secure critical energy and data center capacity, which is essential for AI operations [4] - This acquisition is projected to eliminate over $10 billion in future lease obligations and generate approximately $500 million in annual cost savings, enhancing future profitability without increasing debt [5] - CoreWeave has established a revenue backlog of $25.9 billion, providing strong visibility into future earnings [6] Nebius Group Overview - Nebius Group is pursuing aggressive international expansion, with a remarkable 385% year-over-year revenue increase reported in its latest quarterly results [7][8] - The company is implementing a $2 billion capital investment plan for 2025 to build new data centers across Europe, the U.S., and the Middle East, which may impact near-term profits but positions it for future growth [8] - Nebius expects to achieve operational profitability, as measured by adjusted EBITDA, in the second half of 2025, supported by a strong balance sheet with a current ratio of 18.0 [9] Competitive Landscape - CoreWeave, valued at around $68 billion, is a larger, more established player focusing on vertical integration, while Nebius, valued at approximately $13 billion, represents a smaller, agile competitor with significant upside potential [10] - Analyst sentiment reflects this dynamic, with CoreWeave holding a Hold consensus rating and Nebius receiving a Buy rating, indicating more growth potential for Nebius [11] Future Outlook - The ongoing build-out of AI infrastructure is characterized as a long-term, generational technology shift, with both CoreWeave and Nebius positioned as key players in this evolving landscape [13] - CoreWeave is seen as a market leader with a secure supply chain, while Nebius offers a compelling case for rapid international growth driven by strategic market capture [14]
Nvidia Backs It. Goldman Sachs Loves It.
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-17 09:09
Company Overview - Nebius Group has experienced a significant stock increase of 92% as of July 16, 2025, driven by a large addressable market and positive sentiment from Wall Street [1] - The company specializes in providing artificial intelligence (AI) cloud infrastructure, allowing customers to rent powerful GPUs for various AI tasks [2] Growth Potential - Nebius has shown rapid growth, with its revenue in Q1 2025 increasing nearly fivefold year-over-year to $55.3 million [7] - The annualized run-rate revenue (ARR) surged by 684% in Q1 to $249 million, with management projecting an ARR of $750 million to $1 billion by the end of 2025 [8] - The company has expanded its data center locations from one to five in just three quarters and is exploring new sites globally [8] Financial Health - Nebius boasts a strong balance sheet with over $1.4 billion in cash and only $187 million in debt, enabling further expansion of data center capacity [8] - The company forecasts revenue between $500 million and $700 million for 2025, a substantial increase from last year's revenue of $117 million [8] Market Opportunity - The cloud AI infrastructure market presents a $400 billion opportunity, indicating significant growth potential for Nebius [9] Analyst Sentiment - Goldman Sachs rates Nebius as a buy, with a 12-month price target of $68, suggesting approximately 30% upside from current levels [11][12] - Despite a high sales multiple of 68 times, the company's growth trajectory justifies its valuation, with analysts considering it undervalued based on future growth potential [13] Investment Appeal - Nebius is positioned as an attractive option for growth-oriented investors, with expectations of continued stock market upside [15]
Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ) Moves 33.0% Higher: Will This Strength Last?
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 13:51
Group 1: Company Overview - Core Scientific, Inc. (CORZ) shares increased by 33% to close at $16.36, with trading volume significantly higher than usual, compared to a 14.1% gain over the past four weeks [1][2] - The company's market capitalization has surpassed $3.7 billion, which is a key factor in the renewed buyout discussions with CoreWeave, an AI cloud infrastructure provider [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - Core Scientific is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.07 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 75%, with revenues projected at $83.33 million, down 41% from the previous year [3] - The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter has been revised 2.6% higher over the last 30 days, indicating a positive trend that may lead to price appreciation [4] Group 3: Industry Context - Core Scientific operates within the Zacks Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, where another company, PJT Partners (PJT), saw a 2.5% increase in its stock price, closing at $166.36 [5] - PJT Partners has a consensus EPS estimate of $1.11 for its upcoming report, unchanged over the past month, representing a 6.7% decline from the previous year [6]
Nvidia-backed stock crashes after Wall Street's extreme bearish report
Finbold· 2025-06-10 14:16
CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) shares plunged Tuesday after a critical analyst note from D.A. Davidson raised concerns about the cloud computing company’s financial fundamentals and outlook.As of press time, CoreWeave’s stock was trading at $150.49, down 7% on the day. The selloff is particularly notable given that shares had rallied approximately 160% over the past month.CRWV one-day stock price chart. Source: Google Finance That impressive run-up has been fueled mainly by ongoing enthusiasm around artificial in ...
3 Intriguing Tech Stocks to Watch After Earnings: CRWV, CSCO, CYBR
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 23:56
Group 1: CoreWeave (CRWV) - CoreWeave reported a net loss of $149.6 million or -$1.49 per share, but Q1 sales surged 420% year-over-year to $981.6 million, indicating strong future earnings potential [2] - Nvidia disclosed a major stake in CoreWeave, owning 24.18 million shares, and has secured a $4.1 billion deal with OpenAI, with other notable customers including Microsoft and Meta Platforms [3] - CoreWeave's stock spiked over 35% this week and has increased over 100% since its IPO, reaching an all-time high of $84 per share [4] Group 2: Cisco Systems (CSCO) - Cisco Systems exceeded both top and bottom-line expectations for its fiscal third quarter, with Q3 sales rising 11% to $14.15 billion compared to $12.7 billion a year ago [5][6] - The company's Security segment revenue climbed 54% to $2.01 billion, and it reported over $600 million in AI infrastructure orders during the quarter [6] - Cisco has announced collaboration with the AI Infrastructure Partnership (AIP) to invest in scalable AI data centers alongside Microsoft, BlackRock, and Nvidia [7] Group 3: CyberArk Software (CYBR) - CyberArk reported Q1 sales of $317.6 million, a 43% increase year-over-year, exceeding estimates of $305.66 million, with EPS rising 30% to $0.98 from $0.75 a share [11] - The company has integrated artificial intelligence into its identity security solutions, enhancing threat detection and response capabilities [10] - CyberArk's stock is trading over $350 a share and has increased 35% in 2025, with an impressive average earnings surprise of 44.33% over the last four quarterly reports [11][12] Group 4: Market Sentiment - The quarterly reports of CoreWeave, Cisco Systems, and CyberArk have generated positive investor sentiment, suggesting potential for further stock price increases as the market sentiment turns bullish and AI continues to drive growth [13]
Treasure Global Inc. Unveils AI Cloud Infrastructure in Malaysia to Power Trillion-Parameter Models
Globenewswire· 2025-03-24 13:09
Core Insights - Treasure Global Inc. (TGL) is launching a strategic initiative to develop an advanced AI cloud infrastructure in Malaysia, capable of supporting AI models with up to one trillion parameters, making it one of the most powerful AI computing environments in Southeast Asia [1][2][3] Group 1: Strategic Initiative - The initiative marks a significant milestone in TGL's expansion into enterprise-grade AI infrastructure, facilitating the development of large language models, computer vision systems, and generative AI applications [2] - The AI cloud platform's development has begun, with phased deployment planned throughout 2025 [2] Group 2: Technological Capabilities - The platform will utilize advanced GPU clusters optimized for large-scale, multi-modal AI workloads, built on DeepSeek's technology, providing high-performance computing for training trillion-parameter models [3] - The global AI infrastructure market is projected to reach USD 60.23 billion in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.60% from 2025 to 2034 [4] Group 3: Market Demand and Applications - Malaysia is emerging as a regional hub for digital innovation, addressing the growing demand for scalable computing infrastructure across various sectors, including finance, healthcare, education, and logistics [4][11] - TGL's AI cloud platform aims to enhance access to high-performance AI capabilities across multiple sectors [5] Group 4: Partnerships and Agreements - TGL has secured a USD 16 million service agreement with V Gallant Sdn Bhd, redirecting a significant portion of the capital commitment towards the AI cloud platform's design and deployment [5][6] - The agreement is effective through December 2025, with both parties focused on accelerating TGL's role in Southeast Asia's AI infrastructure landscape [6] Group 5: Company Vision - The CEO of TGL emphasized the commitment to building world-class infrastructure to support the shift toward AI-native enterprises, aiming to create long-term value for customers and shareholders [7] - TGL is recognized as a key player in Malaysia's digital economy, with its flagship product, the ZCITY Super App, attracting over 2.9 million registered users as of November 2024 [8]