Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, adjusted diluted earnings per share grew by 4.4% and the company returned $8 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases combined [4] - The smokable product segment delivered over $11 billion in adjusted operating income (OCI) for the full year, expanding adjusted OCI margins by 1.8 percentage points to 63.4% [18] - For the fourth quarter, adjusted OCI declined by 2.4%, and adjusted OCI margins contracted by 0.8 percentage points to 60.4% [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic cigarette volumes declined by 7.9% in the fourth quarter and 10% for the full year [18] - The oral tobacco product segment retail share was 29.6% for the fourth quarter and 31.9% for the full year [23] - Total segment reported shipment volume decreased 6.3% for the fourth quarter and 5.5% for the full year [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The estimated number of adult consumers in the e-vapor and oral tobacco categories grew to almost 30 million, reflecting the potential for tobacco harm reduction in the U.S. [7] - The e-vapor category grew approximately 15% in 2025, with illicit products representing approximately 70% of the category [8] - The nicotine pouch category drove overall oral tobacco volume growth, which increased an estimated 14% over the past six months [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on advancing its smoke-free portfolio and building a portfolio of FDA-authorized smoke-free products for adult smokers [16] - Strategic collaborations, such as with KT&G, aim to enhance international modern oral and U.S. non-nicotine growth [5] - The company plans to maintain a measured approach to investments in e-vapor until the regulatory framework is functioning effectively [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the growth in disposable vapers moderated in 2025 compared to the prior year, indicating a potential stabilization in the market [9] - The company expects to deliver 2026 full year adjusted diluted EPS in a range of $5.56-$5.72, reflecting a growth rate of 2.5%-5.5% from a $5.42 base in 2025 [16] - Management expressed confidence in the company's strategy and the opportunities ahead, emphasizing the importance of responsible participation in the e-vapor category [17] Other Important Information - The company recorded non-cash impairment charges of $1.3 billion related to e-vapor definite-lived intangible assets and goodwill [23] - The company paid $7 billion in dividends in 2025, marking its 60th increase in the last 56 years [25] - The total debt-to-EBITDA ratio as of December 31 was 2x, in line with the company's target [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide any color on the scope of the import/export program? - Management indicated that the program involves both upfront investments and the opportunity for duty drawback, setting up manufacturing capabilities for international markets [32] Question: Is the elevated CapEx associated with the investments for import/export? - Management confirmed that the primary driver of the increase in CapEx is the investments for the import/export business, but they did not provide guidance for future CapEx [34] Question: How is the promotional strategy behind Basic affecting net price realization? - Management clarified that the strategy around Basic is independent of the duty drawback and is aimed at capturing consumers under economic pressure [41] Question: Are there any signs of increased smoking incidence among younger legal-aged nicotine users? - Management stated that there are no trends indicating increased incidence among younger cohorts, emphasizing the need for expedited authorization of smoke-free products [52] Question: What is the pricing strategy for on! PLUS? - Management believes that on! PLUS is a differentiated product that commands a premium in the marketplace, with various introductory price promotions planned [53]

Altria Group (NYSE:MO) Q4 2025 Earnings call January 29, 2026 09:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsBilly Gifford - CEOBonnie Herzog - Managing DirectorDamian McNeela - Head of Consumer ResearchEric Serotta - Executive DirectorFaham Baig - Executive DirectorMac Livingston - VP of Investor RelationsMatthew Smith - Managing DirectorPallav Mittal - VP of Equity ResearchSal Mancuso - CFOOperatorGood day, and welcome to the Altria Group 2025 fourth quarter and full year earnings conference call. Today's call is schedu ...

Altria Group (NYSE:MO) Q4 2025 Earnings call January 29, 2026 09:00 AM ET Speaker7Good day, and welcome to the Altria Group 2025 fourth quarter and full year earnings conference call. Today's call is scheduled to last about 1 hour, including remarks by Altria's management and a question and answer session. In order to ask a question, please press star followed by the number 1 on your touchtone phone at any time. Representatives of the investment community and media on the call will be able to ask questions ...

Core Insights - Altria Group, Inc. is increasingly focusing on its discount cigarette offerings due to rising costs making adult smokers more price-sensitive, with discount retail share in the U.S. cigarette industry rising to 32.2% in Q3 2025, a 2.4 share point increase year over year [1][8] - Altria's flagship premium brand, Marlboro, experienced an 11.7% volume decline and a 1.2-point drop in total cigarette retail share, indicating pressure on premium-priced products [1][8] Group 1: Altria's Performance and Strategy - Altria's discount cigarette shipment volume surged 74.5% year over year in Q3 2025, reaching over 1.2 billion sticks, which helped offset some overall volume decline and reflects a focus on the value segment [2][8] - The Basic brand is playing a crucial role in retaining consumers who are shifting to lower-priced options, helping stabilize volumes during economic pressure rather than driving growth [4] - Despite a 2.8% decline in smokeable products net revenues, a favorable volume mix and pricing actions contributed to a 0.7% increase in adjusted operating companies income for the segment [3][8] Group 2: Comparison with Peers - Philip Morris International Inc. has taken a different approach, with limited emphasis on discount cigarettes, experiencing a 3.2% decline in combustible cigarette volumes but offsetting this with strong pricing and a favorable mix [5] - Turning Point Brands, Inc. is focusing on its Modern Oral segment, with sales surging 627.6% year over year, now accounting for 30.8% of total business, aiming for double-digit market share [6] Group 3: Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Altria's shares have lost 0.2% in the past month, while the industry has grown by 3.1% [7] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 10.33X, below the industry average of 14.37X [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Altria's earnings implies year-over-year growth of 6.3% for 2025 and 2.3% for 2026 [11]

Valuation and Market Position - Altria Group, Inc. is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.46, which is below the Tobacco industry's average of 13.89, the Consumer Staples sector's 16.02, and the S&P 500's 23.46, indicating an attractive valuation [1] - Compared to major peers, Altria remains discounted, with Philip Morris International Inc. at 18.12, Turning Point Brands, Inc. at 24.78, and British American Tobacco p.l.c. at 11.82 [1] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Altria's stock rose 1.1%, outperforming Turning Point Brands' 0.9% gain and Philip Morris' 3% decline, while British American Tobacco led with a 3.4% increase [6] - The Consumer Staples sector and the tobacco industry saw declines of 0.3% and 1.2%, respectively, while the S&P 500 gained 0.8%, highlighting Altria's strong positioning [7] Financial Fundamentals - In Q3 2025, Altria's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 3.6% to $1.45, with year-to-date EPS up 5.9%, driven by higher adjusted operating companies income (OCI) and a lower share count [11] - The smokeable products segment maintained impressive adjusted OCI margins of 64.4%, supported by effective pricing strategies [11] Product Strategy - Marlboro's premium-segment share expanded to 59.6%, reinforcing Altria's pricing power and brand strength, while the Basic brand gained share without detracting from Marlboro [12] - Altria's oral tobacco portfolio, particularly the on! brand, showed growth with a nearly 1% increase in volume and adjusted OCI margins expanding to 69.2% [13] Strategic Initiatives - Altria's collaboration with KT&G aims to enhance international modern oral expansion and explore operational efficiencies in traditional tobacco [14] - The company has consistently returned cash to shareholders, marking its 60th dividend increase in 56 years, which supports its stability and long-term growth [14] Volume Challenges - Altria faces significant volume pressures, with cigarette shipment volumes falling 8.2% in Q3 and 10.6% year-to-date, attributed to macroeconomic strains and competition from unregulated flavored disposable e-vapor products [15] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Altria's earnings has seen mixed revisions, with the 2025 EPS estimate increasing by 1 cent to $5.44, while the 2026 estimate decreased by 1 cent to $5.56 [18] - Altria is projected to deliver solid earnings growth of 6.3% in 2025 and 2.3% in 2026, despite modest adjustments [18]

Financial Performance - For the third quarter, adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 3.6%, and for the first nine months, it grew by 5.9% [5][20] - Adjusted operating companies income (OCI) for the smokeable products segment grew by 0.7% to nearly $3 billion in the third quarter and by 2.5% to $8.4 billion for the first nine months [20] - Adjusted OCI margins expanded to 64.4% for both the third quarter and first nine months, representing margin growth of 1.3 percentage points and 2.7 percentage points, respectively [20] Business Segment Performance - Domestic cigarette volumes declined by 8.2% in the third quarter and 10.6% for the first nine months when adjusted for trade inventory movements and calendar differences [21][22] - Marlboro expanded its share of the premium segment by 0.3 to 59.6% in the third quarter, while the discount segment of the industry expanded by 2.4 share points year over year, with Basic capturing over half of that growth [22][23] - In the oral tobacco products segment, adjusted OCI declined by less than 1% in the third quarter, but adjusted OCI margin expanded by 2.4 percentage points to 69.2% for the first nine months [24][25] Market Data - The nicotine pouch category saw an estimated 14.5% increase in industry volume over the past six months, with ON's retail share of the total oral tobacco category at 8.7% for the third quarter [6][8] - The e-vapor category included approximately 21 million vapers at the end of the third quarter, up nearly 2 million from a year ago, with flavored disposable e-vapor products representing over 60% of the category [13][15] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company announced a collaboration with KT&G to explore opportunities in international innovative smoke-free products and non-nicotine products [5][18] - The FDA's pilot program to streamline PMTA reviews for oral nicotine pouches is seen as a positive development, with ON+ applications included in the program [16][17] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumers are under pressure but are seeing some consistency in gas prices and inflation, which may influence purchasing behavior [33] - The company raised the lower end of its 2025 guidance range, now expecting adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $5.37 to $5.45, representing a growth rate of 3.5% to 5% from a base of $5.19 in 2024 [26][27] Other Important Information - The company returned nearly $6 billion to shareholders in the first nine months, including $5.2 billion in dividends and $712 million in share repurchases [27] - The board authorized the expansion of the share repurchase program from $1 billion to $2 billion, which now expires on December 31, 2026 [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on fourth quarter earnings growth and smokeable OCI - Management acknowledged the impact of share repurchase and MSA legal fund expiration on earnings growth, emphasizing the need to monitor consumer spending in a dynamic marketplace [30][31] Question: Drivers behind moderation in cigarette industry decline - Management indicated that consistency in consumer pressures, such as gas prices and inflation, may be contributing to the moderation observed [32][33] Question: Performance and initiatives for the nicotine pouch category - Management expressed satisfaction with ON's performance despite competitive pressures and highlighted the importance of retail takeaway volume as a measure of consumer demand [36][38] Question: KT&G partnership and operational efficiencies - Management outlined three prongs of the partnership: expanding ON and ON+ internationally, exploring non-nicotine opportunities, and improving operational efficiencies [39][41] Question: ON+ pricing strategy and controllable costs - Management confirmed ON+ is positioned as a premium product and discussed the importance of long-term cost management strategies in the smokeable category [46][49]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 3.6% in Q3 and by 5.9% for the first nine months [20] - Adjusted operating companies income (OCI) for smokeable products grew by 0.7% to nearly $3 billion in Q3 and by 2.5% to $8.4 billion for the first nine months [20] - Adjusted OCI margins expanded to 64.4% for both Q3 and the first nine months, representing margin growth of 1.3 percentage points and 2.7 percentage points respectively [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic cigarette volumes declined by 8.2% in Q3 and 10.6% for the first nine months when adjusted for trade inventory movements [21] - The oral tobacco products segment saw adjusted OCI decline by less than 1% in Q3, but adjusted OCI increased by 3.3% with margin expansion of 1.8 percentage points to 69% [24][25] - Helix's reported shipment volume for on! increased by nearly 1% in Q3 and approximately 15% for the first nine months [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The nicotine pouch category grew to 55.7 share points, an increase of 11.1 share points year-over-year [7] - The e-vapor category included approximately 21 million vapers, up nearly 2 million versus a year ago [13] - The discount segment of the industry expanded by 2.4 share points year-over-year, with Basic capturing over half of that growth [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its smoke-free portfolio and exploring international opportunities through a collaboration with KT&G [5][18] - The launch of on! PLUS is seen as a premium product aimed at appealing to both adults who dip and competitive nicotine pouch consumers [10] - The company is committed to returning value to shareholders, as evidenced by a recent dividend increase and an expansion of the share repurchase program [5][27] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumers are under pressure but are seeing some consistency in gas prices and inflation [33] - The company is optimistic about the regulatory environment, particularly with recent FDA actions that may streamline product authorizations [16] - The company raised the lower end of its 2025 guidance range, expecting adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $5.37-$5.45, representing a growth rate of 3.5%-5% from a base of $5.19 in 2024 [26] Other Important Information - The company returned nearly $6 billion to shareholders in the first nine months, including $5.2 billion in dividends and $712 million in share repurchases [27] - The balance sheet remains strong, with a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2x as of September 30 [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on fourth quarter earnings growth and smokeable OCI - Management acknowledged the impact of share repurchase and MSA legal fund expiration on earnings growth, while monitoring consumer spending in a dynamic marketplace [31] Question: Drivers behind the moderation in cigarette industry decline - Management indicated that consistency in consumer pressures and stepped-up enforcement in e-vapor are influencing market dynamics [34] Question: Performance and positioning of on! in a competitive environment - Management expressed satisfaction with on!'s performance despite competitive pressures, highlighting steady retail takeaway volume [37] Question: Opportunities from the KT&G partnership - Management outlined three prongs of the partnership: expanding modern oral initiatives, exploring non-nicotine opportunities, and improving operational efficiencies [40] Question: Pricing strategy for on! PLUS - Management confirmed that on! PLUS is positioned as a premium product, with introductory price promotions planned for its launch [48] Question: Impact of FDA pilot program on product launches - Management emphasized the importance of a functioning regulatory system and indicated that decisions will be made in the long-term best interest of the company [57]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 8.3% to $1.44 in the second quarter and by 7.2% for the first half [19] - Adjusted operating companies income in the Smokable Products segment grew by 4.2% to $2.9 billion in the second quarter and by 3.5% to $5.5 billion in the first half [19] - Adjusted OCI margins expanded to 64.5% for both the second quarter and the first half [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Smokable Products segment, domestic cigarette volumes declined by 10.2% in the second quarter and 11.9% for the first half [20] - Oral nicotine pouches, particularly ON!, reported a shipment volume increase of 26.5% to 52.1 million cans in the second quarter [11] - Adjusted OCI for the Oral Tobacco Products segment grew by 10.9% in the second quarter and 5.5% in the first half [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The e-vapor category included over 20.5 million vapers, up by over 1.9 million year over year [14] - Disposable vapers increased by an estimated 2.7 million to approximately 14.4 million, representing over 60% of the e-vapor category [14] - Domestic cigarette volumes at the industry level declined by an estimated 8.5% in the second quarter [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to shape a fully regulated industry and provide expanded product choices for adult nicotine consumers [8] - Continued focus on driving trial, building long-term equity, and increasing profitability in the ON! brand [12] - The company is actively exploring potential next steps regarding the nJoy e-vapor product line, including an appeal against patent disputes [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the strong performance of operating companies despite challenging market conditions [18] - The macroeconomic environment remains dynamic, with inflation and consumer confidence being key factors to monitor [32] - The company raised the lower end of its 2025 guidance range, expecting adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $5.35 to $5.45 [25] Other Important Information - The company returned over $4 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in the first half of the year [8] - The total debt to EBITDA ratio as of June 30 was 2.0 times, in line with the target [26] - The company is advocating for more coordinated actions against illicit e-vapor products to clean up the marketplace [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on the raised guidance range and consumer environment - Management highlighted the dynamic market and the need to monitor adult tobacco consumer behaviors due to inflationary pressures [31] Question: Update on nJoy e-vapor product development - Management confirmed that product development for the nJoy ACE device is progressing, with plans to file for FDA approval [35] Question: Long-term EPS growth outlook - Management remains confident in achieving mid-single-digit EPS growth through FY 2028, despite economic strains on consumers [44] Question: Strategy for the Basic brand - The company is using targeted analytics to maintain consumer loyalty and expand the Basic brand's presence in discount segments [49] Question: Impact of illicit vape crackdowns - Management noted that while enforcement actions are increasing, it is too early to determine their overall impact on the market [58] Question: Tariff impacts on business - Tariffs have had some impact on costs, particularly in supply chain materials, but are not viewed as material to overall business performance [98]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 8.3% to $1.44 in Q2 2025 and by 7.2% for the first half, driven by robust adjusted operating companies income growth and share repurchases [19][25] - Adjusted operating companies income for the Smokable Products segment grew by 4.2% to $2.9 billion in Q2 and by 3.5% to $5.5 billion in the first half [19][20] - Adjusted OCI margins expanded to 64.5% for both Q2 and the first half [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Oral nicotine pouches, particularly ON!, were the primary growth driver, with reported shipment volume increasing by 26.5% to 52.1 million cans year-over-year [9][23] - Domestic cigarette volumes in the Smokable Products segment declined by 10.2% in Q2 and 11.9% for the first half, with adjusted estimates showing declines of approximately 10.5% [20][21] - The Oral Tobacco Products segment saw adjusted OCI grow by 10.9% in Q2, primarily driven by ON!'s strong performance [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The e-vapor category included over 20.5 million vapers, up by 1.9 million year-over-year, with disposable vapers increasing to approximately 14.4 million [14][15] - The flavored disposable market continues to drive e-vapor category growth, representing over 60% of the category [15][16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on shaping a fully regulated industry and expanding product choices for adult nicotine consumers, while also advocating for enforcement against unregulated products [7][14] - The strategy includes targeted launches and promotions for the Basic brand to retain consumers in the portfolio while addressing macroeconomic pressures [21][49] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the strong performance of operating companies despite challenging market conditions and inflationary pressures [18][32] - The company raised the lower end of its 2025 guidance range, expecting adjusted diluted EPS to be in the range of $5.35 to $5.45, reflecting a growth rate of 3% to 5% from 2024 [25][26] Other Important Information - The company returned significant value to shareholders, paying approximately $3.5 billion in dividends and repurchasing 10.4 million shares for $600 million in the first half of the year [26][27] - The total debt to EBITDA ratio as of June 30 was 2.0 times, in line with the target [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on the raised guidance range and expectations for the second half - Management acknowledged the strong first half results and the dynamic market conditions, emphasizing the need to monitor consumer behavior amid inflation [30][32] Question: Update on nJoy e-vapor product development - Management confirmed that product development for the new nJoy device is progressing, with plans to file for FDA approval once ready [34][36] Question: Long-term EPS growth outlook - Management remains confident in achieving mid-single-digit EPS growth through FY 2028, despite current economic strains on consumers [43][44] Question: Strategy for the Basic brand and discount share - The company is strategically repositioning Basic as a discount brand while using data analytics to target consumers effectively [49][50] Question: Impact of enforcement on illicit vapes and cigarette volumes - Management noted that while enforcement actions are increasing, it is too early to determine their full impact on the market [55][58] Question: Clarification on tariff impacts - Management indicated that while tariffs have affected costs, they do not view them as material to overall business performance [96][97]